00:00the timing of it all brady how important is that when it comes to betting the super bowl
00:06it's pretty important i think especially for the prop market you know the the point spread hasn't
00:10moved a whole lot since it opened totals moved a little bit um but the prop market is definitely
00:16important and if you haven't gotten down on props yet you probably want to wait and you know you
00:23have to check the numbers and you got to drop around you got to do all that due diligence
00:27but the general rule of thumb is if you're betting on the yes and the overs you want to do it early
00:33and if you're betting on the nose and the unders you want to do it late and the general consensus
00:38thinking there is you know that those numbers like like you alluded to kevin the general public's
00:45going to show up to town and they're going to bet asn over on his receiving yards even if that number
00:50is 150 yards so you know the later you get into the week and the more bets on the yeses
00:57and the overs creates better value on the nose and the under so yeah if you're not involved yet and
01:04you do go to the window on sunday i would concentrate on nose and the under i do want to bring up because
01:11i know you do the show with mike pritchard mike played for seattle and any type of you know information
01:17that he gets i'm always big and when we break down the prop markets brady that secondary options
01:24right when you have the extra week of preparation that's potentially where a different type of game
01:29plan and when we just look at this offense for new england not as a lot of explosive names as opposed
01:37to obviously seattle right shaheed stepped up with a 50 yard reception who do we believe on on new
01:44england potentially could step up and maybe be that guy outside of stefan diggs yeah it's a good
01:52question and mike lends such a great player perspective to the conversation you know we're
01:58talking about handicapping and mike's a very good handicapper but some of the nuggets that he throws
02:03out there from that you know being an nfl veteran for nine years really you can turn it into actionable
02:11information and he said something on our show over the weekend about like the inside zone style
02:18running that new england does versus kind of the outside zone that is a kubiak shanahan type of trait
02:24that seattle does he expects new england will have more trouble rushing the football both of these run
02:30defenses are pretty good another thing that he brought up and our guest paul bovie brought it up as well
02:36you know robert spillane is nursing an ankle injury and a lot of people think about williams
02:42they're clogging up that middle and really when he came back into the lineup that's when this run defense
02:48for for new england kind of reappeared but really if you look i mean spillane's the leading tackler i
02:54believe on the entire team i think his health is more important to that defense being able to stop
03:00kenneth walker and helani uh more so than williams is and and that's something to really look out for
03:07as well joe as far as who on that side is going to be explosive it's going to have to be may
03:12you hope that that shoulder is healthy i believe it'll be fine and then i would probably look to the
03:18tight ends maybe ramond ray stevenson out of the backfield but you know i i think in the super bowl
03:24and you kind of touch on it when you have two weeks to prepare i think you can find some deeper
03:29wrinkles in that playbook that nobody's really seen all season and for me that means something
03:34like austin hooper or or hunter henry and not necessarily stevon uh stefan diggs and keishon
03:41butte you know the less obvious choices i think are directions that make for a good game plan and
03:47also a good betting plan who's going to score the first touchdown who's good you know things like
03:52that different different novelty props like that i like to look at guys that are under the radar
03:57because i think they're i think i mean did we ever see the philly special run during the regular
04:02season and then all of a sudden they pull it out with nick poles and what so i think you have to look
04:07for some obscurity and some under the radar stuff that that's who i would expect to get if new england's
04:12going to do it it's probably not going to necessarily come all from their marquee guys joe
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