00:00and let's talk a little bit about I was curious your take on the Alex Perez fight here he's about
00:06a minus 140 favorite Tom any opinion on Alex Perez another fighter you know we were talking
00:13about an interesting card was sort of you know veteran fighters few still title contender type
00:19guys like you said I think Song has future championship potential still he was he's been
00:24talking all week about you know I want I'm going to be champion soon and that's my goal and he's
00:29so you know he still has a couple of cracks to do this down the road we talked about Matthews
00:34was
00:35kind of a hype kid out of Australia many years ago and you got Perez who you know hard to
00:41believe but
00:41it's going to be his 15 fight in in the UFC Tom any opinion yeah actually that was the the
00:48next thing
00:48I was going to bring up is I to me I don't understand the line minus 145 it just doesn't
00:54make sense to me I think he's substantially better and he's another guy that he's like championship
00:59level he's fought all the best guys and he just can't break through against the elite of the elite
01:05I don't think Sumo Darji's in that ballpark I mean he's good he's he's gotten better he's been in the
01:11UFC you know five or six years now he's he's improved but Alex Perez to me is a guy that
01:17you
01:18know I've lost money on him in the past I because he has he's always been great and then you
01:23know his
01:23last fight I kind of shaded off I was like mate well maybe he just can't win fights and then
01:27he comes
01:27out gets a big knock out and looks like the guy that I always thought he was and I think
01:32he still
01:33is I mean he's got a really well-rounded skill set he's got good striking he can grapple so the
01:39number to me doesn't make sense and that does scare me a little bit because sometimes you see that it
01:44looks like great value and it's like why why is it such great value but to me I like him
01:49on the money
01:49line um and I put him in a parlay with Ray Saruja who I who I like a lot on
01:54this card I think he's got a
01:55really good matchup against Luis Gurriel so uh that was like a plus 133 parlay so I that's one of
02:03the
02:03first bets I placed going into this one good stuff all right Tom she said you know you didn't break
02:09down this prelim card as much as you would like uh but did anything catch your eye on it uh
02:16as of now
02:16before your last second wagers well Saruja is a guy that I like I actually bet Saruja with Asakura too
02:24uh that one was like minus 127 so he's still paying a little chalk there but I just think
02:30Saruja he's fighting Luis Gurriel who I just bet you know two weeks ago to get his first win in
02:35the
02:35UFC and he cashed that ticket but he just fought a couple weeks ago it was a pretty grueling fight
02:41you know both guys landed a lot of strikes now he's taking a fight on short notice traveling across the
02:46world you know I just think Ray Saruja who's a really good grappler is going to be able to control
02:52that fight and I don't have the the takedown lines yet but I'm going to be looking at uh the
02:58laddering the takedowns with Saruja because this is a fight where he could potentially land 10 takedowns
03:04so I like Saruja a lot um and I'm probably I'm probably going to have a pretty hefty ladder on
03:11him
03:11and I do like him as a parlay piece like I said I parlayed him in two parlays which I
03:16don't typically
03:16like to do you know one guy in multiple parlays but to me I feel I feel pretty good about
03:21him
03:22I found a takedown prop for you here over under three and a half takedowns
03:28that's that's a good start that's a great start I love that I probably I'll probably bet him
03:34I'll probably bet him up to seven you know depending on what the numbers are because uh Gurule is a
03:41good
03:41fighter he's a tough guy he's he's tough to put away but uh and you know he bounces back he
03:46gets
03:47up so if he gets taken down he will get up but he does get taken down he can get
03:51taken down so
03:51and Saruja that's his game so I could see myself betting that seven eight you know takedowns and just
03:59just hopefully cash a ticket every couple minutes there as the fight goes long
04:03you
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