- 12 minutes ago
Category
🥇
SportsTranscript
00:00And we take a look here on the 11th of the month, which would be on Saturday, Arizona State and Utah.
00:05This line opened up as a look ahead, Joe, minus two and a half.
00:08Now we're seeing five and a half and even sixes out there in the sports betting landscape.
00:12A total of 52 and a half at the opening number, now dropping to 48 and a half.
00:16Lines are moving between Utah and Arizona State.
00:19What's the spread line here, Joe?
00:21A couple of things in a game like this that you need to know about.
00:25Number one, the early money certainly looks like they favor the home favorite here in Utah.
00:31But understand, this is going to be a line that is going to get a lot of action here during the week, especially on Saturday.
00:40Why, Donnie?
00:41Well, it's the late game.
00:43It's on a major network.
00:44And it's between a playoff team from last season and, well, a Utah team that everybody thought was going to be taking down the Big 12 this year.
00:53So this is a line to keep an eye on simply because right now, Donnie, it's in what we call the dead zone.
01:00Anywhere between four and six, minus four to minus six, the book is telling you, you decide where it's going to go.
01:08And bettors will decide where this is going to go.
01:10So this will either come back down closer to a key number or back up closer to a key number.
01:17Keep an eye on it.
01:19Probably a game you want to bet just before the kickoff.
01:22Let's get some insider information to get these lines moving along.
01:26Let's take a look at another game here.
01:27It's going to take place on Saturday, 3.30 p.m. Eastern.
01:30Old Dominion taking on Marshall.
01:32You look at this opening line under two touchdowns.
01:34We're now over two touchdowns at most outlets at a minus 14.5.
01:37And the total, Joe, nice and right there, 56.5.
01:41The spread line for Old Dominion and Marshall, Joe, is what?
01:43This has been one of the biggest movers from the open, Donnie, that we've seen so far this week.
01:51Old Dominion opened up minus 10.5, minus 11, and they got all the way bet up to minus 14.
01:59And it makes sense because Old Dominion has been a very popular pick among sharper bettors.
02:07They had focused on the group of five schools.
02:09They loved doing that, Donnie.
02:11You know why?
02:12Not as much public action in there.
02:14Lines might be a little bit softer.
02:16And Marshall is a team that nobody had hopes for heading into the season as they pretty much lost their coach
02:23and their entire roster there over the offseason.
02:28So I think we're starting to see ODU.
02:31We're starting to get that books going.
02:33Please bet on Marshall.
02:35Please bet on Marshall because Old Dominion is going to keep getting the money.
02:39But it's not going to be from the public, Donnie.
02:41It's going to be from the pros and the bigger bettors for sure.
02:46Keep an eye on that one.
02:47Hail to the victors.
02:49And some might say champions of the West.
02:52We're talking about Michigan here taking on USC, heading out West to play them.
02:56And this game is going to take place 7.30 p.m. Saturday night.
02:59This line opened up roughly a pick of minus one and a half at most outlets.
03:02Starting to creep more towards USC's direction at minus two and a half and 57 and a half as a total.
03:08The new institution of the Big Ten here.
03:10Michigan goes out West, not to the Rose Bowl, but to play out there in L.A. and take on USC.
03:15The spread line for Michigan-USC, Joe, is what?
03:18Well, I mean, listen.
03:19Michigan, 15th in a country, 4-1.
03:22Just beat Wisconsin 24-10.
03:24But they didn't cover as a 17-point home favorite.
03:28And you've got USC, who came up short against Illinois because they shot themselves in the foot a million times.
03:35They, too, were a six-and-a-half-point road favorite.
03:38They didn't cover.
03:38Now, this line opened USC.
03:41Minus one, minus one-and-a-half is a home favorite.
03:44So, right off the bat, I think this line here spoke volumes where it opened.
03:50Even when you consider home field advantage, why is an unranked team coming off a loss the favorite over a number 15 team in the country coming off the win?
04:02This is shaping up to be a pros versus Joes because the public clearly thinks the wrong team is favored here, Donnie.
04:10Keep an eye on this.
04:12Majority of tickets, majority of the money on Michigan.
04:15But we've seen this line go from minus one-and-a-half to minus two-and-a-half.
04:20And you know what that means?
04:21That means the more respected and bigger dollars are on USC here.
04:26Outside of Oregon, they're allowed to travel and win football games.
04:29Big Ten, if you go over 1,000 miles, there's no chance you have it in winning here.
04:32And obviously, the odds makers are taking that into effect between Michigan and USC.
04:37Big weekend coming up for college football.
04:39And yes, 49 straight days of football.
04:41Oh, it feels so good.
04:43But before we get there, let's take a look at the Heisman Trophy race right now because each and every big game that's played, these numbers are on the move.
04:50Just a week ago, we were talking about Fernando Mendoza.
04:53Look at him leading in the clubhouse in the odds market to win the Heisman.
04:56He now drops back to a 14-to-1 price.
04:59If you look at the top of the leaderboard, it's Dante Moore of Oregon.
05:02Why?
05:02They go on the road and beat Penn State.
05:03You get extra points for that.
05:05Oh, look, there's Carson Beck right behind him here.
05:07Why?
05:07You go on the road, beat a ranked team at Florida State.
05:09You move up and get those bonus points.
05:11Don't look now, though.
05:11Ty Simpson and Alabama up off the carpet.
05:14Another big-time game this weekend to try to steer clear and see if he can sort of add on to his injury.
05:20But also, John Mateer shows up now at a 10-to-1 price in the Heisman Trophy marketplaces, where if he never got injured, he'd probably be the favorite.
05:30Let's start there with Mateer at 10-to-1.
05:31Are we buying into that?
05:33Like, I can't put my money on this kid, can you?
05:38Well, because you just can't – you can't trust it.
05:41He was the favorite prior to the thumb injury and having – going down.
05:45But, again, it's very hard because, you know, on that thumb and the throwing hand and one hit away, Donnie, and it's like, oh, boy, I'm holding a ticket with a guy that can't finish this season.
05:57So, it's far too risky.
05:59And there's far too many guys ahead of him that are going to be playing in much bigger games moving forward.
06:06Like, Dante Moore going – you know, the schedule there for the Big Ten is going to be out of control.
06:12But Simpson is fascinating to me because this could be the best pure-passing quarterback Alabama has had in quite some time.
06:20And he's got a lot of big games coming up where, on a national stage, he could garner a whole lot of eyeballs if he shows up.
06:28How about this national stage?
06:30Chances to win the championship here.
06:31It's Ohio State at a plus-430 price.
06:34Oregon, plus-550, followed by Alabama, plus-650.
06:37Then there's those Miami Hurricanes under 10-to-1 listed at a 9-to-1 price, followed by 10-to-1, the Georgia Bulldogs here.
06:44These numbers will change on a week-to-week basis, no doubt about it.
06:46Ohio State deserves to be the number one team, and I do think – or, excuse me, Oregon does deserve to be number two.
06:51Alabama, interesting one there.
06:53Tough schedule all the way out, but their price at a plus-650 right up there with the big boys again.
06:58Yeah, and listen, they had the one little bump in the road there against Florida State, who is – you know, let's face it.
07:04It was in Doe Campbell.
07:06Florida State rejuvenated here.
07:09And, yeah, but they've righted the ship.
07:11And Kalen DeBoer, you know, that big win against Georgia, no letdown against Vandy.
07:16They beat Vandy rather easily here.
07:20And now they'll have another test because Missouri's 5-0.
07:23They're 14th in the country.
07:25Yeah, this is going to be another test for Alabama, which if they pass, Donnie, you better start taking them seriously here
07:32because nobody's talking about the SEC anymore, if you've noticed.
07:35Ah, got to start talking about the Big Ten here at this point.
07:38Why?
07:38Because Indiana's going cross-country to take on Oregon.
07:41And the big SIG shows up at Autzen Stadium as an underdog of seven and a half points.
07:45And the total, let's listen, at 55 and a half.
07:48I think we're going to get some fireworks in this game.
07:50And two coaches who have no shame in their game would love to either run it up and also tell the press they're going to run it up on this other team.
07:57Love it.
07:57Yes.
07:58Yeah, no, this is going to be interesting.
08:02And I think this game is going to go very far in dictating exactly what this postseason looks like with these two teams, right?
08:11And we saw nothing but Oregon money early, Donnie.
08:15In fact, the public loves Oregon here, especially at home, right?
08:21But we saw this open up at nine and a half, Donnie.
08:24So if we're all betting Oregon, then why is this down to seven and a half?
08:28Because there is a clear pros versus Joes situation happening here.
08:33The public sees Oregon at home.
08:35They'll lay it.
08:36But we're not getting that line movement towards Oregon.
08:40It's all over a touchdown towards Indiana.
08:44Yeah, looking forward to that game this weekend.
08:46Back to the SEC, Florida and Texas A&M.
08:48New life for Florida.
08:50Not to say they're going to win a national championship, but maybe saving their coach's job and be a respectable team.
08:54They go on the road down to Kyle Field to take on Texas A&M.
08:58They also, just like Indiana, are seven and a half point underdogs.
09:02The total of this game listed around 47 and a half to 46 and a half, depending on where you're shopping at.
09:06Florida, rebirth here.
09:08Does it continue against A&M or is A&M just too strong here?
09:11Sitting there at 5-0, top five in the country.
09:15A&M has looked the part here, Donnie, right?
09:19Certainly, offensively.
09:21Marcel's read there.
09:23I mean, the kid has been fantastic.
09:25The defense has been really, really good for him.
09:28And this is going to be a big test for them.
09:31This is a tough place to play.
09:34But listen, I mean, you're talking about a Florida team.
09:37Let's be honest.
09:37Playing with house money now.
09:39If the team that just showed up, right, against Texas shows up here against A&M, this is going to be a lot closer than people realize here.
09:47I think if Lagway can hold on to the ball and that offense, with that, by the way, might be the freshman receiver of the century there in Wilson, who seems to be unstoppable.
09:58If Florida will hold their own in this game against A&M.
10:03Bo Pribula versus Ty Simpson.
10:05How about this game, Joe?
10:06Opened up six and a half as a favor towards Alabama.
10:09That look-ahead number.
10:10We're down to three and a half at FanDuel.
10:12And threes at many outlets out there.
10:14A total of 52 and a half to 51 and a half, depending where he's shopping at live today.
10:19Bama on the road.
10:20Shrinking marketplace here.
10:22Can Missouri pull the short upset at home?
10:24Yeah, well, that's what we had said, right?
10:27We talked about this Monday on our spread lines, which is why it pays to hang with us here.
10:33Because that line opened up six and a half.
10:36And like I said, it was down to three and a half.
10:38I said, keep an eye.
10:39Will this thing hit three at some point?
10:42Well, guess what, Donnie?
10:43You just said, yeah, three is available in the marketplace here.
10:48And yeah, so we've got a big public play on Missouri in this one here.
10:54But to me, I don't know.
10:57I think Alabama is about to kick this thing into another gear.
11:01Gimme jam Miller in a big spot over 100 yards.
11:04Paving the way there for Ty Simpson and the boys.
11:07Ohio State and Illinois heading to Champaign.
11:09Maybe they'll pop some Champaign bottles this year for Ohio State with a national championship.
11:12But they got to beat the University of Illinois.
11:15They are 14 and a half point favorites with a total of 49 and a half.
11:19Any pushback for Illinois?
11:20Or is that defense from Ohio State?
11:22Hey, your offense is kind of cute.
11:23Stop it.
11:25Yeah, well, that's going to be the thing, right?
11:27I mean, this is going to be the best defense that Illinois will have faced.
11:31And if Indiana was able to stifle you, I can assure you, Ohio State is going to stifle that offense.
11:39This could be a route.
11:40This could be a route.
Recommended
43:20
|
Up next
15:45
2:05
3:19
1:48
2:00
2:56
5:29
1:18:13
Be the first to comment