- 3 hours ago
This is the Met Office UK Weather forecast for the next 10 days 11/03/2026.
After a wet and windy Thursday, colder air will bring some snow in the north for Friday. Then more changeable weather to come into next week before some tentative signs for high pressure later next week.
Bringing you this 10 day weather forecast is Alex Burkill.
After a wet and windy Thursday, colder air will bring some snow in the north for Friday. Then more changeable weather to come into next week before some tentative signs for high pressure later next week.
Bringing you this 10 day weather forecast is Alex Burkill.
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NewsTranscript
00:00Welcome to this 10-day trend. Now, it's fair to say the weather at the moment is a bit changeable,
00:05a bit unsettled at times,
00:07and there are some signs of something a little bit drier as we go through this 10-day period, but
00:13it's definitely not a certainty.
00:15If we look at this probability plot that I have here and the darker blues indicating that we have a
00:20Wesley-dominated pattern,
00:22so quite a mobile setup, low pressure often nearby, various fronts moving their way through,
00:27but then the colours change as we go through into next week.
00:32There's a bit more uncertainty, you would expect that, as we get further ahead,
00:36but there are some signs of higher pressure around, maybe high pressure developing up from the Azores,
00:42or maybe some Scandinavian high pressure, but nonetheless, it does look like there's the potential for something a bit drier,
00:48definitely drier than what we have at the moment and through the next few days.
00:52So currently, the jet stream, it's running across the Atlantic and it's moving its way across the UK as well,
00:58and it's this that's helping to drive some pretty unsettled weather that we're going to see as we go through
01:03the rest of Wednesday
01:04and more so into Thursday.
01:06Now, the air across us, it's a bit fresh at the moment, something a little bit milder ahead of the
01:12front that's arriving
01:13as we go through Wednesday night and into Thursday, but behind that front, notice markedly colder air.
01:18That's important for what's going to happen as we go through towards the end of the week.
01:22But yes, a front is going to push its way south-southeastwards as we go through Thursday.
01:27It's going to be quite an active front, so there could be some line convection,
01:30some heavy bursts of rain mixed in with it, and watch out for some strong gusty winds.
01:36We do have some warnings out for Northern Ireland, parts of southern Scotland, northern England and north Wales,
01:41because gusts 50, 60, possibly 70 miles per hour are quite likely,
01:45in particular as the heavier bursts of rain come through in association with this front that's making its way south
01:52-eastwards.
01:53Ahead of the front, there will be some cloud, there will be a few outbreaks of rain.
01:56Behind the front, we have some showery bursts of rain, sleet and snow because of that colder air that I
02:03showed you earlier.
02:03So colder air digging in.
02:05As a result, maximum temperatures on Thursday, well, they're going to be much lower in the north compared to in
02:10the south,
02:10where we're looking at highs around 13, 14 Celsius, that kind of thing.
02:14That front continues its progress south-eastwards as we go through the end of Thursday.
02:19It will eventually clear a way towards the south-east, but then we do have this new air mass across
02:24us.
02:24We have that cold Arctic air, which is why we're going to more readily see some sleet and snow,
02:29particularly over parts of Scotland, but not only over Scotland.
02:32Now, I mentioned the strong winds.
02:35We're talking gusts of 50, 60, 70 miles per hour, perhaps.
02:39Let's look at those.
02:40As we go through Thursday, as that front makes its way south-eastwards,
02:43it's along that front that we're really going to see the strongest winds.
02:47So depending on how far north you are, it depends on how early they are going to be.
02:51But do be aware there could be some travel disruption, particularly during the morning rush hour,
02:55the wind's easing as that front pushes its way southwards and becoming less impactful as we go through the day.
03:02So then as we head into Friday, there's colder air coming in the front across parts of the south-east.
03:08So it could be a bit wet there first thing, but that should quite quickly clear away.
03:12And then, yes, there will be some brighter weather, but also some showery bursts of rain, sleet and snow.
03:18I mentioned the sleet and snow again just to emphasise that colder air that's across us,
03:22and so that's why there's a reasonable chance that we're going to see something wintry.
03:26If we look at the details for Friday, and as I mentioned, a brighter day,
03:29particularly across a central slice of the UK, some decent fine weather here,
03:33a bit more clouds, some outbreaks of rain towards the south,
03:36and plenty of showery bursts of rain, sleet and snow across northern areas.
03:40A bit of hail mixed in with them as well, but, yeah, we could see some snow accumulating,
03:46maybe 5, 10 centimetres over parts of Scotland,
03:48and a little bit of snow maybe over parts of Northern Ireland and Northern England as well.
03:53Well, most of the snow really will be largely confined to higher ground.
03:57We're talking above 200 metres or so, but there could be some to lower levels,
04:01so there could be some impacts as a result of the snow on Friday.
04:05Also need to bear in mind there will be some strong winds still.
04:08The winds won't be as strong as on Thursday, so less likely to be impactful.
04:12But with that colder air across us, temperatures will widely be a little bit lower than on Thursday,
04:18and with the still fairly brisk winds, it's going to feel pretty raw at times,
04:23some places really feeling maybe only around 1, 2 Celsius, that kind of thing,
04:27despite the fact that there will be some sunshine around.
04:31Then as we go into, well, through the end of Friday and into Saturday,
04:35we see something a little bit drier maybe, hints of something calmer,
04:41but we still have that cold air across us.
04:43So a cold start on Saturday morning, and there will be some ice around.
04:48That could cause some problems, particularly for anyone who's heading out early on Saturday morning,
04:52some difficult, slippery conditions.
04:55So no warnings at the moment, but I wouldn't be surprised if we needed one come Saturday morning.
05:00And then actually Saturday itself really looks like the drier day of the weekend for many of us.
05:05Not totally dry, not totally sunny either, a fair amount of cloud,
05:09but some breaks around here and there.
05:11If I put some symbols up, you can see, yeah, there'll be some breaks in the cloud.
05:15It can't be too clever with the positioning of any of those breaks at this sort of lead time,
05:19but yes, there will be some sunshine on offer and just a few spots of rain as well.
05:24Then we have that cold air across us,
05:27and that does mean it's going to feel pretty chilly,
05:30despite the fact that there'll be some fine weather,
05:32and there's always the chance of some further sleet and snow mixed in with it,
05:36with any rain that we see during the day, albeit there's not a huge amount.
05:40Before then, a front comes through again.
05:42Another system rattles its way across the UK as we go through Sunday.
05:46Now, we're looking, what, five days ahead at this point,
05:49so of course there is some uncertainty about the timing of this feature,
05:53but it looks like it should move through relatively quickly.
05:57The rain could be a bit heavy at times as it pushes through,
06:00but exact timing, well, I'm not that confident on at the moment.
06:03But yeah, I do think most of us will see some rain.
06:06It could be a bit heavy as we go through Sunday.
06:09And then behind it, another showery feature developing,
06:11and still some sleet, some snow mixed in with it,
06:14particularly over higher ground of Scotland.
06:16But let's look further ahead.
06:18Let's look towards next week.
06:19And here's the pressure anomaly chart from ECMWF,
06:22and the bluey-greeny colour indicating that lower than average pressure
06:26is most likely, well, across the whole of the country, really.
06:30It looks like it's generally going to be lower than average,
06:33but particularly towards the north,
06:34and I think that's particularly towards the beginning of that period,
06:38with signs of higher pressure, as I mentioned at the start,
06:41developing more so as we go through the week.
06:44But if we look day by day,
06:45and here we have the most likely scenarios from the Met Office model,
06:49and sticking with low pressure to the northwest of the UK
06:53as we go through Monday.
06:55So we have that system coming through on Sunday.
06:57That will eventually clear away,
06:59but then we end up in a showery set-up, cold air again across us,
07:03a showery set-up with low pressure towards the northwest of us.
07:06The second most likely set-up will be at a markedly lower chance,
07:09but it's not too dissimilar, really.
07:11Actually, around 66%.
07:13I hadn't noticed that.
07:1466%, that's relatively high confidence
07:16for how it's looking at that sort of lead time.
07:20But what happens thereafter?
07:21Well, then confidence really starts to drop.
07:24I think we are going to see another weather system coming through,
07:26maybe Tuesday into Wednesday.
07:28That's going to then clear its way southeastward.
07:30So most of us will see a spell of rain.
07:34But at the moment, can't be too clever with the detail,
07:36but I just do think we'll have some more unsettled weather for a time.
07:39With these features coming in from the west, northwest,
07:42it will be across western, northwestern parts
07:45where we see the highest rainfall total,
07:47so similar to what we see on Sunday, really.
07:49And so it's those areas where it's going to be wettest.
07:52The further south and east you are,
07:53the less rain that's going to be pushing through.
07:55But nonetheless, most of us should see a spell of wet weather.
07:59But then, yeah, so Wednesday's still likely to be dominated by low pressure.
08:04Worth highlighting the pressure percentage.
08:06Chances are getting pretty low at this sort of lead time
08:08because of the slightly lower than usual confidence.
08:12I was going to say higher than usual unconfidence, but that's not right.
08:15Lower than usual confidence as we go through the back end of next week.
08:19But I did just want to highlight that some models are suggesting
08:22that we could start to see high pressure building,
08:24particularly towards the south, but exactly where that high pressure is going to be sitting.
08:27If we look at the third most likely set up for Thursday,
08:30it's a little bit further east, more so over France.
08:33But, yeah, higher pressure likely to be building in,
08:36particularly across southern parts as we go through Thursday.
08:39And then Friday's a bit of a mess,
08:42in as much as there could be low pressure dominating towards the north,
08:45or the high pressure towards the south may be more of a feature.
08:49What this really means, well, if we look at our temperatures, first of all,
08:54and we can see a real drop in our temperatures,
08:57if we take Leeds just as an example,
08:59and we see a drop in our temperatures as we go through Thursday and into Friday,
09:04that cold Arctic air that I mentioned,
09:06bringing the risk of some fairly significant snow for some places,
09:09as we go through towards the very end of the week.
09:11And then we stay on the colder side,
09:13but gradually it's not going to be a rapid rise,
09:16but gradually we're going to see temperatures rising as we go through the week.
09:20And that's because of the change in the direction where we'll be getting our air from.
09:24And so it is set to be slightly milder, warmer air.
09:27And so, if anything, I think by the end of the week,
09:29temperatures are likely to be a little bit above average for the time of year.
09:33But in summary, for next week,
09:36a bit of a north-west-south-east split initially,
09:39so Monday, Tuesday, into Wednesday,
09:43the brunt of the wet weather will be across northern and western parts,
09:47further south and east, a greater chance of staying dry.
09:49And then as we go through the week,
09:51even still with high pressure,
09:53more likely to develop from the south.
09:55It's always southern areas which are going to most likely be dry.
09:59Meanwhile, towards the north-northwest,
10:00always the chance of some fronts pushing through.
10:03But with that high pressure developing,
10:05our weather pattern, which is quite mobile at the moment,
10:08I showed you that probabilistic chart at the start,
10:12showing the westerly being the most common pattern at the moment,
10:15that mobile setup we have at the moment,
10:16that's going to reduce and decline a little bit.
10:19And so, a greater chance of something a bit quieter,
10:23a bit more settled developing.
10:24And as I mentioned with that as well,
10:27temperatures are set to rise a little bit.
10:29So going from quite chilly, really,
10:31as we go through the back end of this week
10:33to rising a little bit above average
10:35as we go through next week.
10:37Of course, details will firm up nearer the time,
10:39so make sure you stay up to date with the forecasts
10:42across our YouTube channel, across Spotify,
10:45across all of our social media.
10:46But I'll see you again soon.
10:47Bye-bye.
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