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This is an in-depth Met Office UK Weather forecast for the next week and beyond. The Easter weekend is looking very unsettled, especially towards the northwest with a series of low pressure systems set to push through. We also look at a short burst of strong winds in eastern England on Sunday, chance of seeing the Northern lights and Saharan dust impacting the Canary Islands. Bringing you this deep dive is Met Office meteorologist Alex Burkill.
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00:00Easter is only a few days away, we have a long bank holiday weekend, so of course the
00:05weather is going to turn pretty unsettled, especially towards the north-west.
00:11Thank you for joining me for this week's Deep Dive, I'll be looking at the forecast
00:15in the run-up to and over the Easter weekend, and then I'll also be talking to one of our
00:21deputy chief meteorologists about an MCV, a meter-cell convective vortex that happened
00:28through the weekend just gone. That brought some strong damaging winds to eastern parts of England,
00:34there's also talk of the aurora to discuss, and also dust that's affecting the Canary Islands.
00:39So loads for us to get through in this week's Deep Dive, let's crack on.
00:44So starting off with the picture across, well, nearby the UK at the moment, and as I mentioned at
00:51the start, yes, there will be some very unsettled weather to come as we go through the long bank
00:56holiday weekend. And as we often say, the big driving force for how unsettled it's going to be
01:02is the jet stream. It's pretty active at the moment, it was active over the weekend, and it's still very
01:07active at the moment. And you can see the driving force behind the active jet stream is the huge
01:12temperature contrast, as we often see across parts of North America. Cold air in the north, warm air in
01:18the south, and then we have that ribbon of air that's piling its way towards us. Now as the next
01:23couple of
01:24days go through, let's just run through those briefly, but we don't need to dwell on them too
01:29much. There is a frontal system that's coming in as we go into Wednesday, so a front across parts of
01:35the northwest initially, and then that is going to dig its way further south and east. Just to highlight,
01:40there is slightly colder air behind that front, and so there will be some winteriness on the back
01:44edge of it, some wintry showers coming through as that front makes its way southeastwards across the
01:50country. Let's just dive back a little bit. The rain eases out, so whilst it could be quite heavy
01:55across parts of north and western areas, by the time it reaches the southeast later on Wednesday,
02:01more so Wednesday night into Thursday, it's just going to be a little bit of light rain.
02:06And then Thursday itself actually looks a few spots of rain here and there, but a good deal of dry
02:11weather
02:12to start off with before then some more wet weather comes in from the west as we head towards into
02:17Good Friday. Now this is where things start to get a little bit tricky. There's some mismatching
02:24between the models, even the Met Office model. This is our latest run, but if I'd shown you the previous
02:30run, well it would have had a more developed feature as we go through Good Friday, and actually the ECMWF,
02:37the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting, in their models has quite a developing
02:43feature as we go into Friday. So that's something that we need to pay attention for. But so there's
02:49the potential that we could see an area of low pressure developing as we go through Good Friday.
02:54You can see this feature arriving here. It doesn't look especially developed on our latest model,
02:59but yes, some models are hinting at something a bit more developed. Nonetheless, we are likely to see
03:04some wetter weather and some stronger winds, particularly towards the northwest as we go Good Friday.
03:09But exactly how wet, how windy it's going to be, well that's still all to play for. The feature,
03:15however, that's causing us slightly more concerns, and we actually have ever so slightly better
03:20confidence on it, is a feature that arrives as we go through Saturday and then pushes its way
03:26northeastwards. Most likely northeastwards across parts of Scotland, but there is a little bit of
03:31uncertainty about the track that it takes. It could be a bit further south, and then that plays a pivotal
03:36role in how wet, how windy it's going to be, and where we're going to see the wettest and windiest
03:42weather. But nonetheless, it does look like we're going to see a deepening area of low pressure
03:46pushing its way northeastwards as we go through Saturday and into Easter day itself. So it could be
03:52particularly wet and windy through the middle part of the long weekend. That feature then clears through,
03:59and behind it we have some colder air, some wintry showers, and then our attention turns to another
04:04area of low pressure. On Easter day we see that feature clearing away, and so things are settling
04:11down, you might hope. But no, there's another area of low pressure out to the west of us, and that's
04:15set to track towards us as we go towards Easter Monday. Now the most likely track of this one keeps
04:21it
04:21to the west of the UK and then brings it northwards, but it's not out of the question that it
04:27runs across
04:28us. So we need to bear in mind that we could see three relatively deep areas of low pressure
04:33running across the UK as we go through this long bank holiday weekend. I have a nice chart here
04:40to help explain that and a little bit clearer perhaps. So looking at Good Friday, as I mentioned,
04:47there's some discrepancies between different models, and so we need to bear in mind that there's
04:53the potential for a relatively small but deepening area of low pressure to track somewhere around
05:00northeastern parts of Scotland. If this comes off, well we could see gusts 50, 65 miles per hour,
05:05sorry 55 to 60 miles per hour, perhaps in excess of 75 miles per hour. It's one of the worst
05:13case
05:13scenarios in terms of how deep a feature it is and how windy it's going to be. Also the potential
05:19for a
05:19fair amount of rain, 10-20 millimeters, perhaps a little bit more in this kind of purple area of
05:24northern and western Scotland, and also some winteriness, some sleet, some snow following in.
05:29We're talking about 400 meters or so, but nonetheless some snow. And then perhaps the bigger feature,
05:35the one that arrives as we go through Saturday and into Easter day, so into Sunday. This one looks like
05:42it's going to be a deeper, more mature feature, and so as a result the unsettled weather with it is
05:48going
05:48to be a bit more widespread. And whilst the most likely track keeps it just to the northwest of the
05:54UK, it's possible it tracks a bit further south and runs more across the country. And if it does so,
06:00well then the impacts could be even greater. We could see heavier rain and stronger winds. So bear in mind
06:06there's the potential of quite widely in this blue area and also parts of the purple of gusts of 55
06:12to
06:1265 miles per hour and potentially in this blue area towards the northwest gusts in excess of 80 miles an
06:19hour and also a significant amount of rain. We're talking 40 to 60 millimeters in some places, most likely
06:27towards the northwest. And then we have that other low that I mentioned for Easter Monday, most likely tracks
06:33to the west of the UK, but it could come across us. And so whilst we are likely to see
06:37some wet and windy
06:38weather towards the northwest of the UK again, it could track a little bit further east. And so the
06:43potential that the rain, the strong winds could be quite widespread. Worth bearing in mind a few things.
06:49So yes, there's some uncertainty, but because of the time of year, some people will be starting to get
06:55outdoor plans sorted. And there may be some temporary structures up to celebrate the long Easter weekend.
07:04And so they're at risk of being damaged as a result of the very strong winds. There have been some
07:09very
07:10unsettled weather or some wet and windy weather that's caused some problems across parts of western
07:15Scotland already. And so this is adding to that. And so some places more susceptible than they might
07:19otherwise be. The other thing to factor in is whilst it's looking very wet and windy at times,
07:26through large chunks of the weekend across the northern western areas, actually towards the
07:30southeast, yes, there will be some strong winds, particularly Saturday into Sunday,
07:34but not a huge amount of rain. So a lot of dry weather. And yeah, it's going to be windy,
07:40but not as especially windy as it could be towards the northwest. So lots going on as we go through
07:47this
07:47weekend. I will have more details about it as we go through the next couple of days. I'll be doing
07:52the
07:5210 day trend tomorrow. So I'll be able to firm up a little bit more as to exactly how wet
07:57and how windy
07:58it's going to be and those various low pressures systems that are coming through. But it's definitely
08:03something that we're going to be keeping an eye out for, especially the mature deep low that's developing
08:09as we go through Saturday and into Sunday. Now, at the weekend, across some parts of eastern England,
08:17you may have noticed a relatively short spell of some very strong winds, winds strong enough to
08:24cause some damage. There were some power lines blown over and other impacts as well. You may have
08:29also noticed that with the strong winds, temperatures actually rose a little bit, only by a degree or so,
08:36and it was windy at the time. So you probably didn't notice that. But nonetheless, a spell of strong winds
08:42did come through on Sunday evening. But to find out more as to exactly how this occurred and
08:49what actually went on, well, now I'm joined by Deputy Chief Meteorologist Dan Holley to talk us through
08:56exactly what occurred. Because it was, well, there was something called a MCV, a meter scale convective
09:02vortex, which some people may not have heard about. Sounds very exciting, doesn't it? It does sound quite
09:06exciting. And that's why we're here to talk about it. Well, exactly. Because we cover the exciting bits.
09:11So first off, let's set the scene and let's go through exactly what was occurring, what was
09:17happening as we went through. Because there were some heavy thundery showers around, weren't there?
09:21There were some fronts that pushed through initially. Yeah, exactly. So easiest thing to do probably is to
09:25start with the cross section here. Okay. So before we go into it, just to explain, this is a cross
09:32section
09:32through the, well, through the atmosphere, going from this line here. So from to the west of Northern
09:38Ireland, all the way into France. And so you can see that that's this line going along here. And then
09:44we're going up through the atmosphere. And what it's marked on, we have our fronts, which look a little
09:51different to what we often see, but we have our fronts. Then we also see the wind strengthening as we
09:56go up, as you often expect. And we have the hatchet areas showing different areas of humidity. That's right,
10:02isn't it? Yeah. So the, the black hatching here is showing relative humidity through the vertical
10:08where it's above 80%. So it basically tells us where there's lots of cloud. As you'd imagine,
10:13it's in the vicinity of these weather fronts. So there's lots of cloud with height. And then the
10:18blue shading here is also relative humidity, but this is for actually where it's below 30%. So
10:23basically the air is very dry here. Yeah. And so we've got this dry air digging down from aloft.
10:29Why was that happening? Yeah. So this was associated with something called a tropopause
10:33fold. So the tropopause is the boundary between the troposphere where all of our weather takes place.
10:39Yeah. And then the stratosphere above it. And sometimes it can fold over on itself,
10:44particularly in the vicinity of very strong jet streams, which is what we had over the UK on Sunday.
10:50And it's a bit like sort of folding a towel over on itself. It can allow some of the very
10:54dry air in
10:54the stratosphere just to tuck into the into the troposphere. So into this part of the atmosphere.
11:00And so what we see here is this very dry air that's come from the stratosphere and has dug down
11:04to relatively low elevations in the vicinity of the UK on Sunday evening.
11:10And then as it's done so, then that's brought some of the stronger winds, because you can see,
11:15as we usually get, the strong, the strength of the winds higher up is much stronger than
11:19generally near the surface. But it was that dipping down of that drier air that's brought
11:24some of those very strong winds down. Yeah. So as you mentioned earlier,
11:27we've got very strong winds already aloft on Sunday because we had a very strong jet stream.
11:32What we can see here is these stronger winds getting down to lower elevation. So this
11:36white dashed line marks the boundary between winds that are stronger than 50 knots,
11:41so about 60 miles an hour. That's above this white line and winds that are not as strong as that,
11:46to the bottom of that line. And you can see this dip down here of this sort of white line
11:51here,
11:52indicating those strong winds burrowing down to lower elevations. I mean, this is around 500 meters
11:57above the ground, looking at the axis there on the right hand side. So, you know, it's not that far
12:03off the ground that we've got these sustained 60 mile an hour winds. These aren't gusts, these are,
12:07you know, mean speeds. Oh, really strong. And so, yeah, no wonder that there were some impacts when
12:13you've got those kind of mean speeds and then the gas would have been stronger even still. And that
12:17was coming through as this trough made its way across. Yeah, exactly. So probably worth noting,
12:23the coloured shading on here is something called wet bulb potential temperature, which is
12:27basically a combination of temperature and moisture. And it helps us identify different types
12:31of air masses. So we had this frontal system move down across the UK on Sunday, warm front came through.
12:38Then we saw a slight rise in temperature and moisture within the warm sector. And then the cold front
12:43came through to the rear. And this here is a post frontal trough. So it's a small little pocket
12:47of slightly warmer, moisture air, separate feature away from the cold front, which also coincided with
12:53this dip in those stronger winds as well. So this is where we saw the heavy showers and thunderstorms
12:58developing on Sunday evening once all the frontal rain had cleared through. Now, you talked about the
13:03fronts. Now, in this profile from my days in the college, the warm fronts usually lean forward.
13:09That's right, yeah. But the cold fronts usually lean backwards. So why was this one leaning forward?
13:14Yeah, slightly more unusual, this one. So as you say, you'd normally expect that to sort of tilt
13:18like that instead. But because we had this very strong and marked dry intrusion coming in, it sort of
13:25overruns the cold front. And so the upper portion of the cold front ends up being pushed well ahead
13:29of where it is at the surface. So this effectively becomes an upper cold front. And, you know, sometimes if
13:34you're looking at our analysis charts, you'll see a slightly different cold front where the triangles
13:39are hollow in the middle. And that's where the front splits ahead aloft, while the surface portion
13:45of the front is still back here. And this area here where you've got the very dry air that's overrun
13:49this residual moisture at low levels is sometimes referred to as a shallow moist zone. And that tends
13:55to bring lots of cloudy drizzly conditions until the proper front clears through.
14:00So we can see if we look at the radar from Sunday, that's rattling through awfully quickly. So let's
14:06go to Sunday evening, let's get the radar and I'll put the lightning strikes on as well because
14:11it was an active feature. So let's just go back a little bit. And so this is the cold front
14:18that you
14:19just talked about. Yeah, so this is our main frontal zone here, lots of cloud and bits and pieces of
14:24rain.
14:24And then we see a clearance. And then up here is our post frontal trough that came through Sunday
14:28evening. Let's just zoom in a little bit further because then we can really see the detail a little
14:33bit. And let's just try and dart it along as the time of the peak strong winds. It was around
14:39eight,
14:39nine o'clock in the evening, wasn't it, that we saw the really, oh, there we go. That's a,
14:44that's a nice frame. Yeah. So you can see lots of lightning going on over the North Sea,
14:49lots of heavy showers and the odd lightning strike in this, although not too much because the
14:53convection was quite shallow in depth, but a number of very blustery heavy showers running through
14:58across northern and eastern England on Sunday evening. And so we had a spell of very strong
15:02winds with this, but the strong winds weren't confined to just where the heavy showers were,
15:07were they? No, that's right. And we can see that by looking at some of our traces from our various
15:13weather stations across eastern England on Sunday evening. So here we've got a plot of temperature
15:20with time, so time along the x-axis here through Sunday evening. This is in UTC,
15:26so you need to add an hour for local time, of course. So yeah, a plot of temperature in the
15:32green
15:32line here, dew point temperature in white, which is basically a measure of how much moisture there is
15:38in the atmosphere. So where the lines are close together, the air is more humid, and then when they're
15:43further apart, the air is drier. And we've also got on here a one minute mean wind speed in this
15:49sort of
15:49bluey-teal colour as well, from three different sites, as you can see.
15:54And a good example here is Coningsbury. You can see this big spike in wind here,
15:58and then another one here. This is when two showers came through during Sunday evening,
16:02ahead of our main wall of wind that came through on Sunday evening.
16:07And then there's an even bigger spike, yeah, around eight, nine o'clock-ish, albeit nine,
16:15ten o'clock as it actually was, where we see a few things, don't we? It's not just the winds
16:19picking
16:19up, but as mentioned earlier, the temperature also rises a little bit. Yeah, it's quite an
16:23interesting event really. So as you say, you can see the temperature actually going up over about a
16:2920 minute period, it rises one, one and a half degrees or so. And this is, you know,
16:34half nine in the evening in late March. So, you know, why would the temperature be going up in
16:39the evening if you're behind the cold front? Yeah.
16:41So you're cold advecting, bringing cold air in behind the cold front. You're going into the evening,
16:45so temperatures would naturally start falling away at the surface. Why are we seeing this?
16:49And it's not just one site, you know, we're seeing this at Nottingham slightly earlier,
16:53it's displaced to the left here. We see it at Hole Beach as well, slightly later.
16:57So clearly there's something big going on here that's warming things up temporarily for 20 minutes.
17:03And the key thing here is we also see the dew point drop off very markedly as well.
17:07So the air is getting much drier during this 20 minute period at the same time that the winds are
17:12increasing. And looking at a lot of the data, it seems that that high momentum air,
17:18the very dry air aloft from the stratosphere, the very strong winds that are just above the ground,
17:22ground was being pulled down to ground level in this sort of 20 minute window from west to east
17:28across northern and eastern England. And because that air is descending, it warms as a result,
17:33similar to the fern effect when air flows over a high ground, it's often warmer to the lee of hills.
17:39So kind of a similar effect. It's sort of turbulent mixing going on that allows that temperature just
17:43to rise a degree, degree and a half. You probably wouldn't notice it if you're outside because the
17:48winds were picking up at the same time. And you know, it's only 11 degrees. It's not exactly going
17:51to feel warm necessarily. But there's no sun. Well, exactly. Yeah. So you're not even getting
17:56the benefits in that respect. But yeah, you can see the winds picking up at the same time. And then
18:00once the winds reach that peak, then beyond that, the temperature drops. The dew point carries on
18:05dropping. But actually, because the temperature and dew point are dropping together, you're no longer,
18:09you know, drying the air out anymore. It stays roughly the same. So yeah, the air cools off behind all
18:15of
18:15that feature coming through. And you can kind of see that actually looking at the the mesoanalysis
18:20panels we've got here, this one here, where the the red shading here indicates what the temperature
18:27was doing between hours. So you can see in this general area in here where we've got red shading,
18:32temperatures have risen in the hour ending at that time. And you can watch the progress of this
18:37moving its way further southeast across eastern England and on into East Anglia through the evening.
18:42So this is kind of a good proxy of when we would have seen that sudden increase in wind.
18:47Generally speaking, we were looking at wind speeds 40 to 50, maybe 55 miles an hour,
18:51something like that. So not desperately extreme. I mean, it's pretty blustery. But yeah,
18:55you know, we've seen much stronger winds, of course. But there was a particular narrow corridor of even
19:00stronger winds that tracks across more parts of sort of western South Yorkshire, north Nottinghamshire,
19:06and into Lincolnshire, which which was tied into the MCV that you mentioned earlier.
19:12And that that wind speeds, it's a bit tricky to know exactly how strong those winds were because
19:17it kind of came in between observation sites. Is that right? And so whilst we can look at the damage
19:23that occurred, and that gives us a good steer, it's difficult to be too precise with exactly how
19:28blustery, how windy it really was. Yeah, exactly. I mean, if we go back to the radar,
19:33you'll see the MCV or mesoscale convective vortex forming through Sunday evening.
19:41You don't see that every day in the UK. You might get a few a year.
19:45Usually they don't have too much of an impact on the surface conditions because they're actually a
19:49feature that's happening in the mid-levels of the atmosphere. But it was quite interesting to see
19:54that sort of evolving through the course of Sunday evening. So where, let's point out where it's
20:00evolving. Yeah, so it's all tied into basically the convection, the showers and thunderstorms that
20:05develop through the evening. Run it a little bit later than that I think. Yeah, it's tied into this
20:11this feature that's running down across the north here. And you'll see this little bow developing on
20:17the leading edge. So it's basically this feature here we're looking at, we get some very strong wind
20:24just tucked in behind this bowing segment here. And then this evolves into a little spiral as that
20:31continues to run. Like a little low of sorts. Yeah, yeah. It's basically a small area of low
20:35pressure in the mid-levels of the atmosphere. And it forms because when you've got very sort of
20:39vigorous convection with lots of rising air, because this is a very dynamically active setup on Sunday
20:44evening, you get condensation taking place that releases latent heat. And so that process warms the
20:50mid-levels of the atmosphere and you get a small area of low pressure forming in the mid-levels.
20:54Which kind of reveals itself when the precipitation starts sort of spiralling around it.
20:59But when you've got this sort of developing low, you know, the changes in pressure gradient and so
21:03on mean that you have to draw air in from around it to sustain it. Yeah, yeah. So we end
21:08up with
21:08something called a rear inflow jet, which is where strong winds get drawn into this system here from
21:14sort of the mid-levels at higher altitudes. And then as it gets drawn in and then gets forced
21:19downwards in the sort of downdraft part of this convection, you're then suddenly transporting
21:24that very strong wind at high elevations down to the surface. And so it's on the southwestern flank
21:30of this that we see this particularly strong core of winds that went across the areas we've just
21:35mentioned and caused some wind damage, which shows up quite nicely actually in this single-site
21:40Doppler data we've got to hand as well. So on this chart? Yeah, so quite noisy. But this is basically
21:48looking at what the winds are doing. And so this is measured by one of our Doppler radars in Lincolnshire.
21:53So where you see these sort of green colours here, that's winds that are blowing towards the radar.
21:58And then the red shading here is where the winds are blowing away. So you can kind of tell
22:01automatically it's kind of a northwesterly wind of some description during Sunday evening. What we see
22:07is this area here of fairly strong winds developing. And as we just run this sequence through, you'll see
22:13this particular tight core starts to form in the Doncaster area there. And you can really see that,
22:19you know, the blue colours really popping out here as we went deeper on into the evening. And so
22:24these wind speeds are 70, 80 miles an hour. They're being measured though by the radar about
22:31five to eight hundred metres above the ground. So these are not at ground level. But it's possible
22:36that within this corridor that ran, as you can see, into northern Lincolnshire and then continues off
22:43moving away from the radar, so it turns to red. It's within that kind of zone in there where we
22:48saw
22:49even stronger winds where certainly 60, 70 mile an hour winds were possible and possibly
22:54stronger than that very locally. Elsewhere, more generally, 40 to 50, 55 miles an hour,
23:00that sort of thing. So a really windy spell, but it's short-lived as we often see with these kind
23:07of events. And very localised in a way. I mean, it was windy in lots of places. We have the
23:13east of
23:14England, but whilst, you know, the front pushed through across most of the UK, it wasn't anywhere
23:20near this windy. And so that's why it's difficult to forecast this kind of thing too precisely
23:26with the lead time. But yeah, a really interesting analysis of what many people in eastern England
23:32would have noticed as an exceptionally windy spell that perhaps would have caught some people off guard,
23:38especially because of the time of the day, as most people were settling down to go to bed,
23:43I imagine. Yes. Thank you so much for joining me,
23:45Dan. It's been a pleasure as always. And I'm sure we'll get you back on another deep dive again soon.
23:49Yeah. Thanks, Alex.
23:52Another thing that we often get excited about is the chances of seeing the northern lights,
23:57the aurora borealis. And well, actually tonight, it's not out of the question. There are some signs
24:04that we could see it coming across parts of the UK. Now, as we often see, it's more likely towards
24:09the
24:10north of the UK. But yes, during the evening, early part of the night, there are some signs with a
24:16CME coming in. And yeah, the signs not too long after sunset, really, that we could see a bit of
24:24the northern lights, most likely across the far north of Scotland. But even a bit further south,
24:29there is the potential can't rule it out. Unfortunately, it does look like it's quite cloudy.
24:35There will even be some rain around across large chunks of Scotland through tonight. So the viewing
24:40not great for it. But if you do get any clear breaks, mainly some, maybe some eastern parts of
24:47Scotland having some clearer skies, why not head out this evening during the early part of night and
24:52let your eyes adjust, give you a bit of time, look north and see if you're lucky enough to spot
24:58it.
24:58There may be a chance to spot it. Tomorrow night, if we dart ahead, the chances aren't
25:04out of the question, but it just looks that little bit less likely. So probably tonight's your best
25:11chance. So actually looking at that, it looks like another pulse, but maybe towards the back end of the
25:16night. So as we head closer towards dawn, so fewer people likely to be awake at that point. So yeah,
25:23bear that in mind. But if you do spot the northern lights, do take some photos. It often looks better
25:27through a camera or on your phone than it does to the naked eye. Do take some photos
25:32and share them with us here. Now, let's look at some things that are happening globally. So
25:39one thing that, well, any people or many people who are in the Canary Islands may be traveling,
25:45maybe on their holidays, because for some is the Easter holidays already. They may have been surprised
25:50to wake up to quite a bit of dust. There's some suspended Saharan dust out there at the moment. You
25:59can see this swathe of dusty skies that have been dragged up from northwest Africa, and they've
26:06really caused some problems. There are warnings out for the suspended dust. There's poor visibility.
26:12Many places have seen the visibility around the Canaries drop to around 3000 meters. And with this,
26:19there's poor air quality. So not really what many people would have been hoping for if they'd gone away
26:24on their holidays. But it shouldn't last especially long. It is going to clear away. And then sticking
26:29with the global theme, because slightly further east compared to the Canary Islands, let's go towards
26:36now the Mediterranean. And there is storm Aminio. Now, this is a very potent feature. It's bringing some
26:43very wet, very windy weather. Rainful totals building up as we go through the next few days. It's affecting
26:49Italy at the moment. But as we run this through, you can see it's also going to push towards Greece.
26:55Northern parts of Africa likely to see some impacts of it. And so I've already talked about dust
27:00further west, but that could lead to some lifted dust in some parts. There's going to be heavy rain
27:06also feeding further eastwards across Cyprus into the Levant, perhaps. And that's going to cause some
27:11impacts as well. There's been some unsettled weather around the Middle East in recent week or so, and
27:18there could be some more unsettled weather pushing in at least into western parts. Iraq, Jordan, for
27:23example, could see some heavy rain as we go through this week and into the weekend. That's storm Aminio.
27:29That's causing problems across parts of the Mediterranean through the next few days. And then
27:35one last thing. We've thrown a lot at you in this week's deep dive, but there's one last thing. I
27:40just
27:40about have time to touch on some March statistics. We've almost come to the end of the month. Today's the
27:4531st,
27:45and so I have statistics up to and including yesterday, the 30th of March. And whilst we'll go into more
27:52detail about the March stats tomorrow, we'll probably issue some more information about the statistics that we
27:59saw through the month. One thing that did stand out to me when I looked at March as a whole,
28:04I mean,
28:05temperatures of slightly warmer sunshine, it was slightly sunnier. The country as a whole rainfall was very close to average,
28:12but that doesn't tell the story. It doesn't usually tell the story anyway. But in this instance,
28:18it doesn't quite tell the story that actually western parts of Scotland, northwest England
28:22was wetter than average, but large parts of eastern Scotland and southern, southeastern parts of
28:28England and also Wales, and parts of Northern Ireland as well, were actually drier than average.
28:34And the reason why this chart really stood out to me was because if we compare it
28:38to the same chart, so comparing what we actually saw to average for winter,
28:44and it's basically the complete opposite. In as much as the western, northwestern parts of Scotland
28:52had a much drier winter than average. Meanwhile, many other parts, particularly eastern Scotland,
28:58southern eastern England, southwest England as well, eastern parts of Northern Ireland, it was much
29:03wetter than average through winter. And I just feel that's kind of interesting showing that the weather
29:08can sort of, you know, help balance things out after a very wet winter for many places, and then dry
29:15in other areas. Then March was the complete reverse, which is something interesting. Like I said,
29:22we'll have more details about the March stats coming out tomorrow, so keep an eye out for those
29:26if you're interested. Thank you so much for watching this week's Deep Dive. Any questions, any comments,
29:31do get them in. There isn't a weather studio live this week because it's Friday, good Friday.
29:37But nonetheless, I'll try to reply to some of the comments in the comment section either today,
29:43or I'll have a look at it tomorrow morning. So do post them in, hit the like button, make sure
29:47you're
29:47sharing this with anyone who you think might be interested in it, and also make sure you're subscribed.
29:53I'll be doing the 10 day trend tomorrow. I'll have more details on those low pressure systems that are
29:58coming through in what is set to be quite an unsettled Easter weekend for many places,
30:04particularly towards the north and west. So make sure you check that out tomorrow.
30:08But thanks again for watching. I'll see you again soon. Bye bye.
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