00:00Hi there, welcome to the latest update from the Met Office.
00:03It is one of those classic, British, messy combinations of rain, sleet and patchy snow
00:10over the next 24 hours for many southern and western parts of the UK,
00:13although some areas are staying dry.
00:16We've got dry weather persisting across Scotland, north-east England.
00:19Cold here as weather fronts approach from the west, bringing milder air and rain.
00:24We've seen the rain on and off through the night, heavy at times,
00:27but it does tend to ease across the south and south-west and northern Ireland.
00:31First thing this morning, patchy, light rain,
00:35but then more persistent and heavier rain moves back in during the rest of the morning.
00:40Across northern Ireland, winds picking up as well throughout much of Wales, the south and south-west,
00:45and most of this at this stage is rain.
00:48Yeah, a few flakes of snow over higher parts of northern Ireland and Wales.
00:51Otherwise, for the vast majority, this is rain through daylight hours.
00:55And it's heavy rain, increasingly so, in the south.
00:59By the end of the period, 15 to 30 millimetres in places,
01:03and as much as 50 millimetres over Dartmoor.
01:06So that could cause issues on top of what we've already seen so much of so far this year.
01:10However, hardly any rain at all.
01:12Northern and eastern England, Scotland, where the cloud will break up in places,
01:17leading to some glimmers of sunlight.
01:19But it will feel cold with a brisk south-easterly wind.
01:23After a frosty start, temperatures remaining at best in the mid-single figures,
01:28and in some spots, lower than that.
01:30And that's how we end the afternoon.
01:33As the sun goes down, we've got this battleground shaping up
01:37between the mild and moist air coming in from the south-west,
01:40and the colder, drier weather to the north and east.
01:43And it's on the boundary of this, across central parts of the UK,
01:48where there is the potential for some wintry weather after dark, predominantly.
01:53So here's a summary of the warnings.
01:55We've got the yellow rain warning there across southern parts of England,
01:58and we've got the snow warning across parts of Wales into central England.
02:04Even if you're in the snow warning zone, there's no guarantee that you'll get snow.
02:09This is where there's the risk of impacts from snow.
02:12But it's a low probability of these risks, because it's going to be that messy mixture.
02:18And the main rule here is that the higher you are from sea level,
02:24the greater the chance of snow.
02:26So we're talking about that rain initially turning increasingly to sleet and snow,
02:32especially overhills, but Apache covering across inland parts of Wales,
02:38away from Cardiff, Newport, Swansea area,
02:40and across parts of the Midlands into central southern England.
02:44So Apache, one to two centimetres possible in some places,
02:48other areas at lower levels not seeing much at all.
02:51Overhills, more substantial amounts likely to build up.
02:55We're talking about two to five centimetres above 150 metres,
02:5815 centimetres perhaps above 300 metres across parts of Wales
03:01and the West Midlands.
03:03But a lot hinges on the exact shape and track of the low pressure
03:07that is delivering this weather and how it mixes with the cold air,
03:12the intensity of the precipitation.
03:13There are so many knife-edge factors that will determine
03:16the nature of the precipitation that falls in all these different places.
03:20So like I said at the beginning, a classic messy mixture that we often see in this country.
03:27So that could cause some disruption overnight where we get the snow,
03:30but it's going to be highly variable in terms of snow amounts across central England and Wales.
03:35Meanwhile, it stays dry for Scotland and northern England,
03:38patchy cloud here and there, brisk breeze,
03:40but still a frost in places where we get some shelter from the wind and clear spells.
03:45Rain on and off for Northern Ireland and a few flakes of snow over the hills here as well.
03:49But much of this precipitation by the start of Thursday is easing away.
03:53It's becoming more patchy and it's tending to sink further south and southeast.
03:59Still, a damp start for parts of the Midlands into East Anglia and the southeast.
04:03A cloudy start for many southern parts as well before that cloud eventually clears away by the afternoon.
04:08Sunshine breaking out for Northern England, the Midlands, parts of Wales and Eastern England.
04:13But it turns cloudy once again for Scotland and Northern Ireland.
04:16After that cold start of the day, we've got further rain moving in from the west.
04:21Brisk winds as well.
04:23So this brief gap between weather systems before the next bout of unsettled weather moves in.
04:28This time on a different direction coming in from the west rather than the southwest.
04:34Five to six Celsius across central parts, turning milder towards the northwest as the next system moves in.
04:40That will topple across the country on Friday.
04:42And then we're into much milder weather this weekend.
04:45Temperatures in some places into the teens.
04:48That will likely be the warmest weather so far this year.
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