00:03Hello Queensland. This is your weather update for the 12th of July. There's pretty stable
00:09conditions across the state for most of the week. Calm winds, mild temperatures, no rainfall. Down
00:16in the southwest we do have a bit of action happening in the mid-levels that could see very
00:21high rainfalls in localised areas but it could also eventuate into nothing. So let's have a look
00:26into that. This is Monday accumulated rainfall, not much happening on Monday, nothing on Tuesday,
00:32nothing on Wednesday. Thursday we can start to see this southwest system developing and on Friday
00:39that's when it looks like it could make its way inland into Queensland. If we zoom in we can see
00:45that there's sort of a skinny ban just under the Toowoomba region 15 to 25 mils but really for most
00:52of the southwest it's only going to deliver between 2 and 10 mils. Saturday then it clears out
00:58and hangs around in the north of New South Wales zooming back out and then Sunday again nothing
01:04much happening in the state. So we're going to have a look at the forecast for Toowoomba which is just
01:09my city of choice this week. You can see the start of the week it's lows in the five degrees,
01:15highs in
01:16the high teens, no rainfall. It's this Friday system that sees it will deliver 13 mils but it's anywhere
01:22between 0 and 63 mils. That is an epic range of uncertainty. Let's have a look at what's actually
01:29going on here with our pro version of Jane's weather. Now this is really really odd. It is the Australian
01:37model and the Australian model only that is throwing all of that rainfall. So that's 63 mils accumulated. Now
01:46that means that like that's very very odd. It's unlikely that that will actually eventuate but
01:54what it shows us is that because of the dynamics occurring that there's a possibility of a lot of
02:01rainfall in localized area but the uncertainty is really high. Now another reason why it's interesting
02:07is in the north of New South Wales the certainty range is quite high. There's a lot of agreeance along
02:13the models but in Queensland it's not the same. So what that's telling me is that there is a system
02:19on the way. It does have a very high potential to deliver a lot of moisture but it might not
02:24wait
02:25make its way up north into Queensland. Now the system if it arrives in Queensland is on Friday. That's
02:32six days from today. So that means that the the forecast inherently already has a lot of uncertainty
02:38around it and because it's only a mid-level dynamic driven system that could also be a reason that
02:44the Australian model is throwing this seven or the 63 accumulated mils. Basically we just don't know
02:51what's going to happen. If this is of a concern to you I would be checking in with the forecasts
02:58throughout the week but it's only in that southwest that I would be concerned sorry southeast. If you're
03:03anywhere else it's definitely not going to hit you. All right so that's the story for Queensland. Calm
03:08and stable across pretty much the entire state. Keep your eye out if Friday delivers rainfall. Other
03:14than that have a great week and we will see you next time.
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