00:03It is Sunday the 12th of July and this is your national weather update. It was a relatively
00:07dry week last week but the interesting stuff was the minimum temperatures. It got pretty chilly
00:13especially down in the southeast and as well very foggy with the strongest inversion layer
00:18ever recorded in the southeast so that was pretty epic if you were down there. Fog everywhere.
00:25Otherwise there was large spread frost risk and that is I can tell you not coming in with us
00:31next week which is great news. So let's have a look at what is happening this week unfolding.
00:36In the southeast we have a front moving through the next few days and it weakens progressively.
00:42The worst of it was delivered on Sunday. Then it sort of dries out and stabilizes for most of the
00:48country with a high pressure system moving in. On Thursday in the southwest we have a front moving in
00:54with light to moderate rainfalls and we have an upper level intensification occurring which is
01:01delivering multiple days of light to moderate rain up in the north coast of the New South Wales region.
01:09This is fed by tropical moisture from a very warm Pacific Ocean and as well as like a little
01:15mid-level cutoff flow. Very very cool sort of mid-level dynamics occurring.
01:20Let's have a look at wind very briefly. It is relatively strong in the south at the start of
01:28the week again as those frontal systems move through. You can see gusts 63 to 90 kilometers an hour.
01:35That is leading to these marine wind warnings of gale force winds down in the southeast.
01:42That should weaken as the front moves through over the next few days.
01:48As for temperature it does not get anywhere near as cold as it does last week so the only regions
01:54that are possibly having those negative temperatures is high altitude alpine regions but the frost and
02:01fog is not very high. There's a potential for fog as the high moves over you and it cools down
02:07light winds
02:08as those days progress. Having a quick look at the long-range forecast, the Pacific Ocean continues
02:15to warm and our El Niño continues to intensify in its strength. We still have a split in the models
02:21whether it will be a very strong El Niño or a moderate so no certainty there. The southern angular
02:27mode which has been dominating some of our weather at the moment, it contracts the polar jet which means that
02:36all those big cutoff lows and those fronts are staying down in the southern ocean and not making
02:41their way onto land. It's why we haven't had a super windy or wet winter. That heads back into the
02:48neutral
02:48phase as the next few days continue so that's likely to mean that if those systems do develop that they
02:56can have the possibility of making their way a little bit further onto land than when we had a very
03:01positive
03:01southern annular mode. Finally the Madden-Julian Oscillation seems to be staying in a relatively
03:08neutral phase for the next few weeks coming up ahead. So that is the story for Australia this week.
03:14We have at the start of the week the front moving through the southeast and then it calms down as
03:18a
03:18high pressure system moves over and on Thursday we have the front developing in the southwest and the
03:24rainfall arriving in the northern New South Wales coast. For the rest of the country it's relatively calm and
03:29stable for the week. We have state-by-state breakdowns with more details for you available online through
03:36Farm Online Weather or through the sub emails as well if you're part of that. So look there if you
03:41want a further detailed breakdown of your week ahead. Have a good one and stay safe.
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