- 15 hours ago
This is the Met Office UK Weather forecast for the next 10 days 27/05/2026.
After an historic May heatwave, normal service resumes as June begins. After another few hot days, a gradual cooling trend is expected by the start of June.
Bringing you this 10 day weather forecast is Aidan McGivern.
After an historic May heatwave, normal service resumes as June begins. After another few hot days, a gradual cooling trend is expected by the start of June.
Bringing you this 10 day weather forecast is Aidan McGivern.
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NewsTranscript
00:00Hi there and welcome to the Met Office 10-day trend.
00:04What a week of weather.
00:05The hottest bank holiday on record, the hottest May day on record with 35.1 Celsius at Kew Gardens
00:12and the hottest day in Wales in May on record.
00:17Loads of station records broken, 163 maximum temperature records broken across the UK.
00:24Hey, so many stats to talk about because it has been a truly historic spell of May weather
00:32and it's not quite over yet.
00:34I suspect fewer, if any, records will be broken over the next few days
00:38but it's going to stay hot before eventually, by the start of climatological summer, normal service resumes.
00:46Just to take Kew Gardens as an example because, of course, it was the hottest place in the UK this
00:51week, 35.1 Celsius.
00:53Now, it has been a bit cooler during Wednesday, still above average by a long shot.
00:58By Thursday, temperatures rise again, 32, possibly 33 Celsius before, although staying very warm,
01:06those temperatures begin cooling off and into Sunday, Monday, they're only a couple of degrees above average.
01:12A similar trend for northwest Scotland.
01:16This is Alt-Nahara in the northwest Highlands.
01:17Of course, Scotland started the week with cloud and some rain and hasn't seen the peak of the heat yet.
01:25That occurs during Thursday mid, possibly high 20s in some of the warmer spots across central and northern Scotland
01:33before closer to, if not still slightly above average temperatures expected for the start of next week.
01:41Why has it been so hot?
01:42High pressure has been dominating proceedings.
01:44That very large and very dominant area of high pressure has been sitting right over the UK,
01:51both at the surface and in the upper air.
01:53The jet stream going right the way over the top of the UK.
01:55So there's a big ridge in the atmosphere, allowing air to sink right the way through,
02:00compress and heat up day by day, assisted, of course, by strong sunshine.
02:05We've seen those temperatures rise widely into the low and in some places mid-30s across the southern half of
02:12the UK so far this week.
02:14But this area of low pressure is brewing in the Atlantic and that is eventually going to reach the UK.
02:20However, it's going to take some days to lose this area of high pressure.
02:24It's still with us on Thursday, although despite high pressure in the surface and the upper atmosphere,
02:29still some showers and even some thunderstorms occurring overnight and they're going to be clearing the northeast first thing Thursday.
02:37A very warm start to the day on Thursday.
02:41Not quite a record-breaking night.
02:43We saw the May overnight minimum temperature broken three nights in a row, Sunday night, Monday night, Tuesday night,
02:49with the highest temperature at Camborne, 21.4 Celsius, beating the previous record by two and a half degrees, of
02:59course.
03:00It's a warm start to Thursday, but not record-breaking, like I say.
03:03Plenty of fine weather once the early storms clear to the northeast and plenty of sunshine, certainly for Scotland,
03:10the best of the sunshine in northern Scotland.
03:11And with the winds coming up from the south, I suspect some parts of northern Scotland could reach 25 to
03:1727 Celsius,
03:19mid-20s through the central belt, low to mid-20s across Northern Ireland,
03:22more widely across England and Wales, despite some layers of medium-high-level cloud coming in,
03:27the high-20s and perhaps low-30s.
03:29Now, we've seen the heat peak across southwestern parts of the UK on Wednesday.
03:34That plume of heat shifts further east once again,
03:37with the hot spot likely between London and East Anglia, 32 to 33 Celsius.
03:44Now, that is remarkable.
03:46It might not be record-breaking this time,
03:49but if we hadn't already broken the maximum temperature record twice this week,
03:53we would be talking about the May temperature record being broken,
03:56because previously it was only 32.8 Celsius.
03:59And this is how the temperature on Thursday afternoon compares with Wednesday afternoon.
04:03Much warmer again in the east and across northern parts of the UK.
04:07Cooler across west and south Wales, the south-west of England,
04:10because of a shift in wind direction.
04:12South-west of these coming in ahead of these weather fronts.
04:14And you can see this slow change to more Atlantic-dominated weather begins during Friday.
04:22The first front moves into western Scotland, a marked change to the day.
04:26A lot more cloud for Scotland and showery rain for the north and west.
04:31One or two showers for Northern Ireland and Northern England.
04:32A warm start for many of us, but not as warm as it has been.
04:35A lot more cloud in the sky, I think, during Friday.
04:38Even that will thin across southern and western parts later to allow some very warm sunshine back in.
04:44And temperatures still well above average across many parts of the UK,
04:48just not as high as they have been.
04:4928 to 29 Celsius still possible across south-east England and east Anglia.
04:54Low 20s elsewhere.
04:56High teens across Scotland.
04:58So, markedly cooler, but still well above average for the time of year.
05:03As we end Friday, we've got these low-pressure systems still gearing up to bring their weather fronts in.
05:09And this more active front will bring a much wetter spell for the start of Saturday for Northern Ireland and
05:15western Scotland.
05:16Some heavy and persistent rain, some rumbles of thunder, a gusty wind as well.
05:20It's worth mentioning as well, Friday is going to be notably gusty across northern parts of the UK.
05:24But further spells of wind likely coming in the start of Saturday across the far west and northwest.
05:32Ahead of that, clear spells, but another warm start to the day.
05:35Plenty of sunshine for many parts of England and Wales before these systems roll in.
05:39And actually, it's another fine day for many central and eastern areas.
05:43More bearable summertime temperatures, or springtime, because of course it's still May.
05:49And highs 28 to 29 Celsius across the east and south-east.
05:53Low to mid-20s elsewhere across England and Wales.
05:56Much cooler for Scotland and Northern Ireland as these outbreaks of rain set in.
06:00And it's going to be a damp day for Northern Ireland and Scotland.
06:04Showery rain then arriving into West Wales as we end Saturday.
06:08Those outbreaks of rain push eastwards across central and southern parts during Saturday night.
06:15Fizzling away, it's on and off rain before it turns drier later in the night.
06:19And the main, more persistent wet weather moves through Scotland.
06:23Pushes into Shetland with showers following as well as a brisk wind.
06:27Again, not as warm overnight, but still mild for a May night.
06:31Many places staying in the teens.
06:33Sunday then will be notably different for England and Wales.
06:37A lot more cloud, showers especially across Wales, northern and western England.
06:41Dryest towards the south-east and still some bright weather around.
06:45Temperatures reaching the low 20s.
06:47Scotland and Northern Ireland not as wet as Saturday, but changeable with a keen breeze and a lot of cloud
06:53as well as some showery rain.
06:55We end spring with an area of low pressure arriving just in time for the start of climatological summer.
07:02So Monday is likely to bring a spell of wet weather into the north and west before eventually moving its
07:09way eastwards across the UK.
07:11And once that's through, jet stream south-shifted, another low queuing up to come in, albeit with this ridge of
07:18high pressure in between.
07:20And I suspect that's the theme for next week.
07:23There'll be areas of low pressure coming in from the west, driven by an Atlantic jet stream,
07:29which is a bit more south-shifted compared with usual for the time of year.
07:32These low pressure systems will bring spells of rain, followed by showers, followed by a gap, some drier and sunnier
07:39weather, before the next low comes in.
07:42So a changeable week next week.
07:43Not entirely unsettled.
07:46Not a complete washout.
07:47But this basically sums it up.
07:50We've got a probability plot showing the kinds of weather patterns we're most likely to see each day for the
07:55next fortnight.
07:56The reds and oranges are where high pressure is close to the UK.
07:59The blues are where low pressure is close to the UK.
08:01And it's this dark blue that really becomes the most dominant weather pattern from Monday, the 1st of June.
08:10Westerly dominated.
08:11So westerly wins this kind of weather pattern effectively.
08:15Low pressure to the northwest or west of the UK.
08:18And this graphic shows, with this kind of weather pattern, where we're most likely to see the wetter than average
08:24weather.
08:25Western Scotland, of course, on Wednesday, this is the most likely weather pattern.
08:30The most likely weather pattern on Thursday, very similar, low pressure to the north of the UK.
08:34More widespread rain showing up on this weather pattern, or at least more widespread, wetter than average weather for the
08:41time of year, showing up on this weather pattern.
08:43And you can see this keen west to southwesterly wind continuing.
08:47So that, at least, will send bands of rain in quite swiftly.
08:52So the wet weather not lasting too long in any one place.
08:56But progressively, western parts of the UK will wet up through next week.
09:01Eastern parts, seeing some much-needed rain, of course.
09:03But it will always be wettest in the west because of the westerly winds.
09:07And Friday, the most likely weather patterns all show the same sort of thing.
09:12Low pressure to the north or the northwest.
09:16Wettest towards the west.
09:17And tightly packed isobars, so winds often coming from the west or the southwest.
09:22No surprise, then, that there will be a cooling trend through next week.
09:26This is the temperature chart for London from the European model.
09:30The blue lines and boxes are overnight temperatures.
09:33The red lines and boxes are daytime temperatures.
09:36And the thick red line here is the average for the time of year.
09:40So for London, 19, 20 Celsius or so.
09:43But then the thinner red line here is the extreme in the model climate.
09:48And over the next couple of days, temperatures are still close to, if not above, that extreme.
09:54Before gradually, through Friday, Saturday, more especially into Sunday, coming down.
09:58And then the boxes head towards average.
10:00But through the first half of next week, still slightly above average.
10:04Still 20 to 23 Celsius in the southeast.
10:08Before eventually, later next week, they're about average.
10:11Albeit with the box getting bigger.
10:13So that indicates a bit more uncertainty because we're looking further ahead.
10:17Similar temperature trend for Glasgow.
10:20So this just shows that that can be extrapolated across many parts of the UK.
10:25Extreme temperatures, not as high as London, but up into the mid-20s for the next couple of days.
10:31Coming down to average for the first few days of June.
10:35And then an indication there for the first weekend of June, more likely to be a bit below average than
10:41average.
10:42Because more likely to get northwesterlies for a time.
10:46And that really sums it up for next week.
10:49And it shows, this is next week by the way, not week after next.
10:53The warmest weather always to the east and southeast.
10:57Cooler towards the west and northwest.
10:59And the pressure anomaly for the same week.
11:03First week of June, low pressure centred quite strongly there between Iceland and Scotland.
11:10But, if you're thinking, well that's it then, summer is over before it's even begun.
11:16Let's take a look at the week after next.
11:19That shows a greater chance of higher than average pressure emerging once again in the south.
11:25So, there are some tentative signals, albeit a long way off.
11:29We're talking about mid-June onwards of a return to something more like higher pressure, especially towards the south.
11:36But, like I said, that is a long way off.
11:38And plenty of weather to get through before we get there, of course.
11:41Including more hot weather over the next couple of days.
11:43And there are more updates on that through our YouTube channel.
11:46Bye-bye.
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