NLDS Game 2: Phillies vs. Dodgers & Cubs vs. Brewers

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00:00And the Philadelphia Phillies have a chance tonight

00:01to get back in this series, Joe.

00:03From Philadelphia, 6.08 p.m.

00:06Blake's now going up against Jesus Lozardo.

00:10Lefty versus lefty.

00:12Seven and a half as a total.

00:13Favorite now.

00:14No longer the Philadelphia Phillies

00:16like you saw them with Christopher Sanchez on the mound.

00:18The favorite is towards the Dodgers at a minus 132 price.

00:21Seems like it's do or die for the Phillies

00:23or they're just going to go out and take a vacation in California

00:25and probably get popped in game number three.

00:28Must-win situation for the Phillies.

00:30The question is, can they get it done in your mind, Joe?

00:33Well, they're going to have to, right?

00:35The problem is it doesn't get any easier.

00:39Yes, now you got to deal with Snell

00:41and, of course, you'll have Glass now to deal with.

00:44And then Yamamoto and Sasaki and the list goes on and on and on and on.

00:48So the big question is, and my fear with the Phillies, Donnie,

00:51was they are going to miss Wheeler.

00:54This is where the Wheeler injury will start to rear.

00:57It's ugly head, because do we really want the season

01:01and the balance hanging on Lozardo here?

01:04Because, listen, when he's good, Donnie, he's been great, right?

01:08But which version of him shows up here tonight?

01:11Some of his metrics seem to be better on the road

01:14than they have been at home.

01:15He's given up four runs in two of his last three starts.

01:20This total is sitting at seven and a half.

01:22It wouldn't shock me if the total starts to creep up here.

01:25You know, the Dodgers are built for the postseason.

01:28And if you don't get Harper hitting, then it is over, Donnie,

01:33for the Phillies here.

01:34So I think it's super important for Philadelphia to do again what they did,

01:40play from in front, but they've got to be able to get multiple innings

01:45with runners on and get the ball rolling here.

01:48Otherwise, the longer you let the Dodgers hang around against a guy like Lozardo

01:53or anybody else, the uglier it could get.

01:56Yeah, it certainly can.

01:57And by the way, since August the 1st, these two pitchers, Blake Snell

02:01and Jesus Lozardo, are absolutely loved in the analytical markets, Joe.

02:042.39 XFIP for Snell, Lozardo 2.88 here.

02:08Hint, hint.

02:09Joe might have a little bit something on that just a little bit later

02:11coming up in the next segment here.

02:13But for me, just rooting, and of course I'm rooting for the Philadelphia Phillies,

02:16but I've got to tell you, the favorite side does seem right for the Dodgers

02:18at this point.

02:19It is up to those big boppers early in the lineup because Trey Turner

02:22just came back.

02:23It might take him a little bit of time to get back to that, hey, look,

02:25I'm the best batter in the National League, you know, and see what we can do.

02:28But Schwerber, left-handed batter.

02:31Harper, left-handed batter.

02:32Snell, left-handed pitcher.

02:34You've got to be able to do some damage.

02:35You can't just have strikeouts.

02:36You just need some productive outs.

02:38And the Phillies had their chances too, Joe.

02:39Bases loaded late in that game, got a fly out from Sosa,

02:42and also in the ninth inning had a runner on second base.

02:44Weren't able to get him home either.

02:46Snell, Luzardo today.

02:47We'll see how that one pairs out.

02:48Game number two, 9 o'clock start.

02:51Chicago Cubs and the Milwaukee Brewers.

02:53Imanaga versus Ashby.

02:54Another two lefties on the mound.

02:56But the opener there for Ashby looks like it's probably going to be

02:59Quinn Priester coming in behind him.

03:01The favorites, though, are the Milwaukee Brewers, Joe.

03:03Open up at minus 116, minus 120s, minus 125s out there now

03:07in the sports betting landscape.

03:08And a total, which opened up at 7.5, has moved up to 8 here.

03:12Chicago needs to get back into the series.

03:14Is Milwaukee, can those bats stay hot today?

03:18You know, it's interesting.

03:19We watched the Cubs last series roll a starter out there for Imanaga.

03:25And you know why?

03:26Because his numbers in the first two innings, Donnie, have been atrocious.

03:32It takes him a little while to get warmed up.

03:35So they figured if we can get a, you know, a starter out there and then bring

03:39Imanaga in, maybe that'll help.

03:40And it did because they ended up winning that game.

03:43But that's not what they're doing here.

03:45And now they're going up against a Milwaukee team who wastes no time getting it.

03:51You just watch it.

03:52Ask Matthew Boyd how that worked out well.

03:54So I think this is all going to be about, can Imanaga get past the first couple of innings

04:00here with no damage?

04:01If he can, the Cubs have a shot.

04:03If he can't, yikes.

04:06The Brewers playing from in front again is not a situation.

04:09If I'm the Cubs, I want to see price points, Joe, in the NLDS as those two games going

04:14to take place tonight, the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Philadelphia Phillies.

04:17The Dodgers are the favorites at a minus 330 price to win the series.

04:20The Phillies at a plus 260.

04:22If you look at the NLDS between the Brewers and the Cubs, the Brewers are a minus 235 price

04:27and the Cubs are a plus 196 price.

04:30If I were to ask you, forget about the favorites, which are the Dodgers right now and the Brewers,

04:34which underdog team in the National League can come back?

04:37Would you put your money on the plus 260 Phillies or the plus 196 Cubs?

04:42I think the Cubs is the way to go.

04:45I mean, I know.

04:48I mean, it's unfortunately there, there's a lot of, I mean, listen, what they're doing

04:53here, bringing in Ashby and then Priester, you know, water is not, is not on this roster.

04:59Mizorowski, you know, after the all-star break has been, you know, you can't rely on him.

05:06So the pitching woes here for Milwaukee scare me a little.

05:11I don't have those same woes with the Dodgers and who they can roll out in a short five game

05:15set.

05:16So I would say the Cubs have the better shot at this point.

05:19Yeah.

05:20National League takes center stage tonight, Joe.

05:21Tomorrow, the AL gets back into it.

05:23The Mariners and the Tigers, there'll be Tuesday at 4.08 PM.

05:26Then the Blue Jays and the Yankees.

05:28That's the nightcap at 8.08 from the Bronx.

05:30So if we did the same thing we just talked about, Joe, with the National League, let's do it

05:33for the American League, which again is already through their two games.

05:36The New York Yankees to come back and win this series, Joe, a plus 4.40 price.

05:41The Blue Jays as the favorites, minus 600.

05:44And then we take a look at the Seattle, excuse me, Seattle Mariners going up against the Detroit

05:49Tigers.

05:49The Tigers, a plus 106.

05:51The Mariners, a minus 124.

05:54Is it over for the Yankees?

05:56Got to what?

05:56They got to win three straight games, Joe.

05:57Like, I don't know if I want to play minus 600, but I don't know if the Yankees can win

06:02three straight games in a row.

06:04I don't care who's on the mound.

06:06No, it's not.

06:07And again, I would bet the Yankees with the two games at home.

06:12And you know what I mean?

06:14I would go that route before I went ahead and took a shot with them winning the series.

06:19Because again, Toronto gets to go back home for that fifth game.

06:22But Seattle at this price in a 1-1 spot seems to be, I don't trust Detroit.

06:29So it seems like a pretty good number to get Seattle on right now.

06:33Yeah.

06:33Especially with Scooble out of the way, Joe.

06:34You look at the Mariners.

06:35Like the starting pitching.

06:36Like the lineup a lot more than the Tigers.

06:38And I like their bullpen better.

06:39So the minus 124, even though they're split and technically home field advantage is now

06:43with Detroit.

06:43I still like the Seattle Mariners in that spot.

06:45But as we said, two games today, two more games tomorrow.

06:48That's how we get down.

06:49Next, we're going to go best bets.

06:51And also, check in to see where the public is going on a certain question that we asked

06:55on our favorite public bowl.

06:56Give the people what they want.

06:58Here comes Bye, Bye, Bye.

07:06It's a Monday, people.

07:08New week.

07:08New money.

07:09Major League Baseball.

07:10NFL.

07:11Where is Joe Ranieri going tonight with his action?

07:14Well, Donnie, I'm going to go with that first game.

07:176.08 p.m.

07:18Game two between the Phillies and the Dodgers here.

07:23And yeah, I think this is going to be an interesting pitchers battle.

07:27I really do.

07:28Lozardo, more than capable and has that he'll be able to get through this Dodgers order,

07:35this lineup here and limit the damage.

07:39Snell, listen.

07:40I mean, you talked about it.

07:41You got Turner.

07:43You got Schwarber.

07:44You got Harper.

07:44Those guys went one for 11 in game one here, Donnie.

07:50Clearly, they need to get better.

07:51But I don't know that it's going to work against Snell here.

07:55To me, I think both of these teams are going to have some issues.

07:59I took the under in the first five.

08:02I think the bullpens are going to have to get involved before the runs start coming tonight.

08:06So it's all about the under in the first five for me, Donnie.

08:10There you go.

08:11Under.

08:11And it does make some sense.

08:12Two good pitchers on the mound, tight, tense environment.

08:15Philadelphia Phillies sometimes struggle with lefties.

08:17Same thing with the Los Angeles Dodgers.

08:18We'll see how that one plays out.

08:20For me, I'm just going to keep it simple tonight.

08:22I'm going to go Major League Baseball as well.

08:23I'm not going to take the Phillies-Dodgers game.

08:25I'm going to move it over to the second game tonight.

08:27That's Chicago and it's Milwaukee.

08:29I just think those bats are on fire for Milwaukee.

08:32I think they stay on fire tonight with a chance for the Chicago Cubs to actually play some runs

08:36themselves since August 1st.

08:38You take a look at Chota Imanaga's 4.38 ERA XFIP of 4.10.

08:42It's not terrible, but it's actually the worst XFIP on the card tonight.

08:46You take a look at Priester and Ashby here who's going to open.

08:48Priester, you can get to him as well.

08:50I need the Cubs, Joe, to get three runs in this game to have a legitimate chance.

08:54I think they can do that, but I think Milwaukee has the chance again.

08:58Boy, would I love nine runs over the first couple innings.

09:00Yes, I would give me the over tonight.

09:02So you go under, I'll go over in game number two, over eight minus 105.

09:07Yeah, and they're going to need to get some runs there, Donnie, without a doubt.

09:13The way Milwaukee swings the bat at home wouldn't shock me at all if the runs are coming.

09:19The Cubs bullpen has been very good since the second half of the season.

09:23They're going to need to be better here if they're going to give that Cub hitter an opportunity

09:29to actually beat this Milwaukee team.

09:31You wait all season long to get to the playoffs, just like my Philadelphia Phillies,

09:35and it could be wiped out tonight with another loss.

09:38Having tough losses, Joe, it's part of the game.

09:40It's part of fandom.

09:41But for me, again, Saturday night, three to nothing lead.

09:44Things are good.

09:45All right, at least my Eagles will handle the business.

09:47They didn't, Joe.

09:48It's a tough weekend for me.

09:49Like, I need some help tonight.

09:50I need some therapy tonight.

09:51Winning money doesn't cover it sometimes, Joe.

09:53I need a Phillies win.

09:54It's what I need.

09:55Yeah, absolutely.

09:57Listen, Yankee fans going through the same thing.

10:00They're going to need a win tomorrow.

10:02And if I'm a Cubs fan, I need a win tonight.

10:05I can't go back home down two games to none.

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