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00:00let's flip it over to college football why it's week number one the big boys are coming out to
00:05play as we take a look at the odds market texas the favorite to win a championship joe plus 550
00:10right behind them georgia and ohio state plus 650s penn state seven to one bama nine to one
00:16clemson 12 to one the usual suspects up at the top of the odds board joe if it ain't broke don't
00:23fix it we know the national champion is usually always somewhere within the you know the top five
00:32top six here somewhere in that ballpark uh it's not like we're going to get a cinderella and somebody
00:38that was all the way at the bottom number 25 is somehow going to run the table and win the
00:43championship so from a national championship standpoint you gotta figure is it does ohio
00:50state uh compete to go back to back uh if not and you think texas starts the year off by going into
00:56their building and beating them then they are absolutely the favorite and should be considered
01:01the favorite because let's face it they got a ton of returning starters they've got the quarterback of
01:08the nfl future supposedly the number one future pick all is well in texas unless they lose a couple
01:16games early on in the season and then all hell will break loose donnie focusing on the alabama
01:22crimson tie looking to bounce back this year and you don't get too many bounce backs at alabama coming
01:26off of what nick saban did for so long there you might have a down season if you will but you better
01:31not have two down seasons you'll be down and out for the count you look at the alabama crimson excuse me
01:36alabama this year to make the playoffs yes it's a minus 172 it wouldn't be that high if there's only
01:41four teams or six teams to make that play up but we have 12 they'll probably get in or at least the odds
01:45market says so they do take on the florida state seminoles this weekend at doke campbell and
01:51they're laying 13 and a half points in that game joe with a 50 and a half total florida state looking
01:56to break back into college football after having that wonderful year just a few short years ago and
02:01then throwing it all away because they didn't make the college football playoff because their
02:04quarterback jordan travis got hurt looking for that bounce back can they bounce back and beat a
02:08team opening day or is this much more of the choke and doke and we just ain't that good this year fsu
02:14sorry i think the market tells you everything dope campbell used to be one of the toughest places
02:22to play in all of college football and the fact that florida state is getting two touchdowns at home
02:29to start the season tells you everything you need to know and that's not because this is the greatest
02:36alabama team we've ever seen no no no it is not uh and we are still getting 14 points at doke campbell
02:44that tells you everything you need to know about the future of florida state this year
02:48yeah we'll see who's that quarterback too because you have ty simpson having some props at multiple
02:52outlets here we got no props for florida state we don't know who the starting quarterback's going to
02:55be how things are going to work out and we'll see how it plays out but a two touchdown favorite
02:59opening up here for alabama let's take a look at georgia down in the sec they're favored by 39 and
03:05a half points over marshall the total let's list that 55 and a half georgia's playoff odds this year
03:10joe a minus 240 to make the playoff so there's two sec teams as heavy favorites to make the college
03:16football playoff georgia breaking in a quarterback that we saw some spots last year can improve this
03:22you know they got the talent and they're favored by a 40 spot listen it's amazing to me how little
03:31press georgia has been getting uh and talk and you know hey listen keep talking about texas keep
03:38talking about ohio state all good to go meanwhile georgia just re-ups uh they've got a lot of pieces
03:44that they have had to replace over the last couple of seasons but make no mistake about it georgia
03:50very much alive for the college football playoff and a national championship between the hedges at
03:56samford this weekend take it on marshall we'll see if that turns into a bloodbath first quarter that
04:01they lay up in the second half and away you go but some teams have different routes joe you get that
04:05big titanic matchup like we're going to see from ohio state and texas to test you right out of the gate
04:09or the coaches mostly like that that slow roll like give me a 40 point favorite give me at home let's
04:14work the kinks out then we'll get back to work in week number two after this dress rehearsal and the way
04:18it plays out we're going to talk major league baseball in just a few moments but still some hot
04:22topics in college football that we have to get across the board right here on the early line
04:27saturday is going to be something special here we have a monstrous titanic battle two quarterbacks
04:34looking to stake their claim in college football two storied programs the texas longhorns on one side
04:39the ohio state buckeyes on the other and we are getting some line movement here across the sports
04:45landscape in this one here texas takes a look here if i'm looking at the live lines open up around
04:51two and a half and still sitting around that two and a half price point here as a favorite here on
04:56saturday so if we have ohio state as the favorite do you agree with that joe going up against texas
05:02i do uh and home field alone i mean the shoe is possibly the toughest place to play in college
05:11football here and no matter what you think how many more times do we have to see ohio state i mean
05:18yes they won a national championship last year but what you think there's a and they got a lot of
05:23people they got to replace but that is a factory that make no mistake about it much like georgia
05:30the simple fact that yes they won a championship and lost a lot of guys means nothing you're going
05:36into the shoe the hardest place to play in game one with guys that are yeah they're ready for
05:43they've been thinking about this in columbus all off season i promise you i agree with the money
05:49coming in on ohio state they'll be ready and by and by the way looking at bet mgm which is what that
05:54tweet came up with here uh 624 which is june 24th they opened their line at minus three as a favorite
05:59towards ohio state on a month later on july 24th that dropped to two and a half then on the 24th which
06:06was two days ago we dropped that to one and a half and that stayed there until yesterday late
06:11afternoon where went back up to two and a half is where it sits today so we are getting some buybacks
06:15and also some interesting moves here now understand this we'll see where this line factors in by the
06:20time we get to saturday the public starts to really weigh in like i gotta get involved in one of the
06:24best games of the season to see how that plays out but it will be interesting to see how much home
06:28field advantage is going to matter arch manning saying on one side this is going to be a good one to
06:33watch out because somebody's going to get a leg up not only on the season and making the playoffs
06:37joe but also maybe in the heisman race as well so many things to factor into week one in college
06:43football sometimes you just look and say i have to trust the coaches and what do we mean by that
06:47well that means they get their guys prepared they're ready to go week one look at the ats
06:50the best coaches against the spread in week number one bronco mendenhall 11 and 5 jeff munkin 10 and 5
06:56james franklin of penn state always get a kick out of this he's nine to five because usually they play a
07:01tomato can and there's nobody better running up the score than james franklin of the penn state
07:05nittany lions but other guys you know maybe not tony sanchez five and one josh heupel five one
07:10kaylin de boer four and one charles huff by the way charles huff i don't even know who that is who
07:14does charles huff coach for now can you fill me in joe do you even know i have no idea who that is
07:19what isn't it marshall i i have no idea who is it's one of our school isn't it let me look yeah i believe
07:25it is let's go charles huff coach is it he is uh bowl record maybe you wanted to i know he's a
07:34football coach people can you tell me what coach he is charles huff southern miss oh southern miss
07:38yes yeah but he wasn't always in southern miss though yeah he wasn't always in southern miss
07:43the southern miss has been terrible over the last couple of years they've gone through a couple of
07:47coaches how about that it's pretty impressive at that point right now now by the way handicapping
07:53prowess joe do you look at that statistic like oh yeah i'm just gonna bet the coach because he's
07:56really good here week number one does that really enter the equation for you no no absolutely not
08:03does uh listen coaching matters in uh in college but you know the idea that a team in game one is
08:11going to be what that team is in game four or five is crazy uh a lot of uh you're just going to out
08:18talent those guys on that list uh it's not that they out coached the guy on the other side is they
08:24had more talent than the guy on the other side there and usually that's all a scheduling situation
08:31where you're scheduling a team that you know has less talent than you do and you did it four years ago
08:37let's look at some big matchups this weekend joe and by the way here's some statistics for you and i
08:43have to say this like i'm one i'm a handicapper that i don't care at all what happened in the past
08:49i like to put that out there hey last six times they went the eagles went to play in dallas they
08:54lost oh yeah well just so happens that that prescott snapped his leg he's not there and you
08:58have a backup backup quarterback should i still go on that same trend or hey two coaches they're not
09:03even where they're 10 years ago they're not even playing the same stadium i don't care anything
09:06about that but here's a statistic that we'll look at here in the last 10 years in non-conference
09:10matchups of top 25 teams the favorite has gone 49 32 and 1 which is 61 in the regular season
09:18three games that fit that billing this weekend joe ohio state texas clemson lsu and notre dame and
09:24miami yeah all of them uh again great opportunities for all of those teams to get started off on the
09:33right foot but ultimately it's going to have absolutely nothing to do uh with what those
09:39teams trajectory is during the season so we've seen listen i've seen brian kelly at lsu play a lot
09:45of games to start the season i i've also seen him throw up a lot i i don't think any less of him as a
09:51head coach because he doesn't win the first game of the season because he's actually scared he's not
09:56scheduling cupcakes right he's actually going out there and scheduling games that matter at a conference
10:01so a lot of those games with talent equals talent on both sides it's it's who doesn't who doesn't make
10:09the mistake that's not coaching necessarily that's just sometimes variance in the luck of the draw so
10:16uh it's much easier to use coaching ability in week four five and six and beyond in conference than it is
10:24against a out of conference game one to start the season your mind will play tricks on you people
10:29from week one into week two that team stinks wait a second week number two they look good or oh that
10:33team's great wait a second week number two they stunk yeah wait till week number three you get a
10:37better vibe on these certainly seasons on the projections that we're going to have but also
10:41understand this sometimes joe like i want to be commissioner i want to be president sometimes i want
10:46to be head of the sfcc why is that because we will never have streaming services that would be available
10:53to anybody to buy it any single time just give me a dish outside of my house just give me cable tv
11:00just give me rabbit ears on my tv because streaming services are so damn hard to get into and so
11:07unreliable and now we get this ari miroff tweet yesterday this is not good he says youtube tv is in
11:13a carriage dispute with fox they've notified customers they have until wednesday the 27th which
11:18is tomorrow to reach ad or subscribers lose access to fox stations right before the nfl and college
11:23kickoff you got to be kidding me man yeah i got that notification i got the email from youtube tv
11:30yesterday about what's going on here with fox and we want to keep this conversation going we want to
11:36keep our partnership with fox but yeah but here we go guess who loses but out of streaming you're
11:44horrible no way but the questions that we need answered here kevin are texas and ohio
11:48state it's a noon kickoff like did they actually make me commissioner this offseason like every big
11:54game should be at noon so we don't have to wait all day long and waste our time here texas ohio
11:57state slight favor to ohio state but the questions aren't are these teams going to be good yeah we know
12:02they're going to be good but i love the fact that we don't know much about julian saying yeah we're
12:06supposed to be a really good quarterback we'll find out i still don't know about arch manning because
12:10apparently i don't know if he's that good or if we want him to be good and we're going to downplay
12:14the kid what should happen in this game arch manning 22 of 24 365 and four touchdowns that's
12:19how much hype i'm supposed to get on arch manning what are we getting out of arch manning and saying
12:23this weekend and is it going to determine this game so the quarterbacks obviously make a a big
12:30difference in any game i think we know a lot more about arch than saying ultimately like at the minimum
12:36we saw arch manning you know spend some time in for quinn ewers last year and he looked really good
12:42he's a much better athlete than the prior mannings and texas has a ton of talent around him for julian
12:52saying see and this is the thing right college quarterback battles are different than the nfl any
12:59team who has a quarterback battle in the nfl is a total disaster in college it doesn't necessarily
13:04mean it's a disaster but it doesn't seem like saying going down to the wire to actually win
13:10that job was because things were great and it was just a really tough battle it seemed like he was
13:16struggling a little bit so you come out of the gate against maybe the best team in college football
13:22maybe the best defense in college football and ryan day has lost in columbus the thing with so many of
13:31these teams is it's supposed to be so hard to win in their building but this has been going on in ryan
13:35day's tenure and look let's just get this out of the way ryan day won a national championship good for
13:40him i still don't necessarily believe that ryan day is all of a sudden now oh he's the best coach in
13:46college football they lose chip kelly to the nfl they lose gym knowles to penn state and there's a
13:52that's a lot of turnover to have for two guys that are arguably head coach level chip kelly obviously
13:58is head coach level there i'll i'll tell you guys right now i like texas in this game i don't care
14:05where the location is and in fact i think it's better because if the game was you know in austin
14:10then we'd have to lay maybe a touchdown so instead we're getting a point and a half getting two and a
14:15half we'll see where this thing finishes up texas to me is better than ohio state with way less
14:20turnover and i like everything i'm hearing out of texas too i'll say this i like that arch manning goes
14:26no no no no target on our back target on everyone else's back because that's the type of delusional
14:32stuff we used to get out of sabins alabama when will anderson's like i think we're a dog against
14:37cincinnati in the college football playoff it's like brother you're laying 21 and a half what are
14:42you talking about here so i think texas has the right mindset entering this game
14:46you know it's funny you mentioned alabama and we talked about it earlier kev
14:52doe campbell in tallahassee and they are a almost a two touchdown dog against alabama that tells you
15:00the state of florida state football right now which is it's not good i'm kind of shocked it hasn't hit
15:0614 yet but there is no way i can back fsu here against alabama in game one if it hits 14 i feel
15:15like you might though because i think i might i at some at some point there there will be a buy point
15:20here on the seminoles to stay close right i listen i no one in florida state would tell you the goal
15:28is to hang within this game right ah we want to win we want to win national but realistically
15:33they just want to hang all that matters for fsu to get themselves back on the right path
15:40is hanging with an alabama team that returns a ridiculous amount of defensive production
15:46maybe the best offensive line in college football they have quarterback questions the same way we
15:51just talked about ohio state and ty simpson but florida state is basically a brand new roster
15:57that does that does add variance they could surprise i think that's why i'd love for that to get to 14
16:04it just feels a little bit comfortable to get to that flat two touchdown number there i really like
16:09alabama i think they are a pure true national title contender but i think fsu can be better than a
16:17potential 14 point spread would suggest let's get to the good stuff here miami hurricanes notre
16:24dame fighting irish notre dame there's nothing irish about notre dame i don't know why irish people
16:29like notre dame names of fighting irish there's nothing irish about them kevin which means
16:33carson back and the boys on their heart you don't just go down to miami and beat them you don't do
16:37that the dog price of plus two and a half i have a feeling now game time decisions next three days
16:42is going to line up money on those miami hurricanes to not i mean lloyd car son starting lloyd car come
16:48on now stop the madness better quarterback in miami better team better coach let's go you agree
16:53no there's not a better coach don't be ridiculous don't be ridiculous you don't you don't you lost
16:59niu can't have it and then and then still went to the national championship game what was
17:04crystal ball's excuse for not getting to the college football playoff with the number one
17:08overall pick i'm not even sure listen honestly if i if i wake you up early enough you may not even
17:14know who the head coach of miami football is i'll tell you this i'm not as worried about the side of
17:18this game this total keeps dropping fine with me i think that miami's offense can actually hold up a
17:25little bit more than everybody else does because the offensive line is always good under crystal ball
17:30and i think that that was the favorite to be the first overall pick entering last season it ended
17:35up being cam ward there's still talent as far as carson beck goes notre dame though brings back the
17:41best running back in college football one of the five best offensive lines in college football and i
17:47think there's enough upside with cj card i expect points here in south beach i like the point in south
17:53beach and also this nevada's going to take on penn state at 330 on saturday that line is 44 and a
17:58half there is no better coach that loves to humiliate other teams that can't compete with
18:03his team more than james franklin and he'll probably get an extension because of that he's kevin walsh
18:08he joined us today catch him on game time decisions 6 30 p.m eastern right here on the sport red network
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