00:00Hi, you're watching the Paulada na Cara channel, my name is Marcos.
00:03Yesterday, the news broke that the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) had suspended Deltan Dallagnol's campaign for the Senate.
00:09I'll give a very quick summary.
00:13Because of Lava Jato, there was an investigation into Deltan Dallagnol.
00:17whether he had followed all the correct procedures in order to prosecute and arrest several powerful politicians.
00:23In other words, it was an attempt by the politicians to get revenge on him.
00:26And what did he do? He left the Public Prosecutor's Office, where he would have had no defense whatsoever.
00:30so that he could defend himself in the first instance with a judge who would not be a minister or from the Supreme Court or the
00:36Federal Supreme Court,
00:38which are basically nominations from members of the body politic who had nominated most of them up to that point.
00:43So he went out to stand trial in the first instance and took the opportunity to run for federal deputy.
00:47He was elected, but the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) removed him from office, saying that Deltan was doing this.
00:52as a maneuver to keep transferring his trial from the first instance court to the Supreme Court.
00:58and then when it was up to the Supreme Court to leave there and send it back to the first instance and stay there
01:02delaying the trial.
01:03Many politicians do this.
01:04Deltan Dallagnol probably wouldn't need to do it, but if he did, he would have that option.
01:09So they took that possibility away from him.
01:11So far so good, it's all part of the game.
01:13What happens?
01:13Four years later, those lawsuits that had been filed against him were closed.
01:19Because everything he did was within the typical procedures of the Public Prosecutor's Office to which he belonged.
01:25In other words, standard procedure.
01:26In this case, the procedure is ordered, not who applied the procedure.
01:30Beauty.
01:30What is the understanding?
01:31The Regional Electoral Court (TRE) decided that he could now run for Senate because there were no legal proceedings against him.
01:37Beauty.
01:37However, the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) has members who were appointed by Lula at that time.
01:44And there are others that are older.
01:46Ah, but the president of the TSE, Nunes Marques, and the vice-president, Mendonça, are not both appointed by...
01:52Bolsonaro?
01:53Yes.
01:54But there are three that aren't.
01:55In other words, the other three members of the table are not.
01:57And there are several auxiliary judges who were appointed before Bolsonaro, and some who were appointed after him.
02:02And within that group, there are many who are political affiliates of people who are in power.
02:07And what happens?
02:08Gilmar Mendes made half a couple of dismissals.
02:09That Gilmar Mendes is a declared enemy of Dallagnol, because part of the group that was arrested in Lava Jato
02:15She was connected to Gilmar Mendes.
02:16He made some calls to a member of the TSE (Superior Electoral Court), who was connected to these people, and said, "Suspend the guy."
02:22Ah, but there's nothing to be done.
02:23No, it says that the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) did not declare that he could be a candidate.
02:26The understanding of the Regional Electoral Court (TRE) does not invalidate the understanding of the Superior Electoral Court (TSE).
02:30Hold on a minute.
02:31These are two distinct things.
02:32The TSE (Superior Electoral Court) decided that at that moment, since the matter was sub judice, it should be resolved first, and then another matter could be decided.
02:40The fact that there is no decision is a decision in itself.
02:44In other words, there is no contrary decision, because what was being done previously has been shelved.
02:48The article to be discussed no longer exists.
02:50The TSE (Superior Electoral Court) said, no, there has to be a decision now releasing him.
02:54In other words, it's merely a squabble to try and disrupt Deltan Dallagnol's campaign, to prevent him from reaching the Senate.
03:03And now he has the power to confront his adversaries.
03:06Because if those people are his enemies, then he is automatically their enemy.
03:11So, they don't want him to have the power to act.
03:13And they realized that the problem was big, because when you look at the voting intentions for
03:19Senate of Paraná,
03:20Deltan Dallagnol is in first place.
03:23He is 5.3 points ahead of Felipe Barros of the PL party.
03:28Ah, so you mean the PL is interested? No, it's not that it's in the PL's interest.
03:31There is no advantage for the left.
03:33Because this case involving Deltan Dallagnol, in theory, increases the chances of Glaze Hoffman,
03:37Because she's tied with Felipe Barros.
03:38But most of Deltan Dallagnol's votes go to Felipe Barros and Alexandre Cury.
03:44Those who aren't from the left, you see?
03:45It's a situation where you're just taking the guy away for an issue that isn't exactly political.
03:50in an electoral sense, but it's a political issue in the sense of a behind-the-scenes political battle.
03:56And things are so bad, Gilmar is so desperate, because he's next on the list to be...
04:01investigated,
04:02should Alexandre de Moraes' investigation be confirmed later on.
04:06And Gilmar is already suggesting that members of the TSE should be removed from their positions.
04:12Which members?
04:13Nunes Marx and André Mendonça, who are not part of his political group and who are adopting a stance
04:20more contrary.
04:21They were quieter before, but now they're taking action.
04:23Then despair set in, because if the right wing confirms a massive victory to the point of securing the presidency with ease...
04:31in the Senate,
04:31The impeachment proceedings against the members of the Supreme Federal Court will take place.
04:39So they are trying to take advantage of those who have nothing they can use to harm them.
04:44Deltan Dallagnol has nothing against him.
04:46Imagine, for the last four years he was an absolutely ordinary man.
04:49He had neither the power of a public official nor of a politician.
04:51And they couldn't find anything to convict him of.
04:55With his power in the Senate, he's an unreachable figure for those ministers.
04:58So they're preferring to see if they can pull Felipe Barros, from the PL,
05:02To see if there's anything against it, so we can do something about it.
05:05Or maybe they get lucky and elect Glaze Hoffman, who would help protect them.
05:10This is despair.
05:11Oh, you think they'll succeed?
05:12Well, it will depend on the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) approving it.
05:16If the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) approves Deltan Dallagnol, he will probably be elected anyway.
05:20Because the difference in voting intentions is very large.
05:23In relation to Glaze Hoffman, the difference is practically six percentage points.
05:27Regarding Felipe Barros, it's more than five.
05:29In other words, even if he loses in the polls,
05:31He must not become so dehydrated that he fails to be elected.
05:35Because even if he loses first place to second, he'll still get elected.
05:38So, it's kind of neither here nor there.
05:40The goal is to permanently exclude him from the election.
05:45Is it possible?
05:46AND.
05:46But I don't believe they'll succeed.
05:48I think they're going to do more things in that direction.
05:52to see if anything fits, to make this final stretch of Deltan's campaign problematic,
05:57And then they'll try to argue anything to prevent him from taking office in January.
06:01That's plausible.
06:02Now, preventing him from participating in the election, with only two weeks to go, is difficult.
06:06I think that...
06:07I think the lawyers connected to Deltan, who is also a very good lawyer,
06:13They are already acting preventively, covering all possibilities.
06:17The only question is the TSE's schedule for judging Deltan's case.
06:23Let's see when the TSE meeting will be to resolve this.
06:29So, the request was...
06:31It had been provoked by PT, PV and PC do B.
06:36In other words, it's Lula's group that's desperate.
06:39And they're using that to try and give Glaze a chance.
06:42Honestly, I don't think it's going to work.
06:43What should happen in Deltan's case is for the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) to approve his candidacy while it is under judicial review.
06:50I think that's going to happen.
06:51If it happens, there will be a subsequent trial, allowing him to either accept or reject the responsibility.
06:56Since it's a Senate matter, it will have priority regarding the trial date.
06:59So, they'll probably have a decision by December, which is when the graduation ceremony takes place.
07:02For the inauguration in January.
07:03So, I think that's what's going to happen.
07:05Let's nitpick, let's try to prevent the inauguration.
07:07But if Glaze finishes in fourth place, as Paraná Pesquisa is indicating here,
07:12If she confirms fourth place, they'll kind of give up on her.
07:15Because the third candidate would be Felipe Barros.
07:18Which, most likely, won't be someone accessible.
07:20Because he'll be in a very powerful party, which is the PL.
07:24Perhaps it won't be pursued.
07:27Now, if Glaze and Hoffman finish third,
07:30then they'll do everything in their power with prayer,
07:31to prevent Deltan from taking the position and put Glaze in his place.
07:35They tried to do that with Moro in the previous round.
07:38But then, what was the problem?
07:39There was only one Senate seat available.
07:40Go ahead and support Moro's candidacy, great.
07:42The runner-up was Paulo Eduardo Martins.
07:44Who, among other things, was the one who created the law that ended the union tax.
07:48And he's even further to the right than Moro.
07:51And nothing against it.
07:52In other words, he's an absolutely inaccessible guy.
07:53While with Moro, you could have some hooks.
07:55to try to get him to adopt an even more moderate stance than he had before.
07:59Did you understand?
07:59So, it's possible that if Felipe Barros confirms this third place,
08:03Deltan Dallagnol will, in fact, keep the position.
08:06But if Glaze manages to finish third,
08:09I can bet fifty bucks then.
08:11Deltan will be prevented from taking office.
08:16Okay, guys.
08:17That's basically it.
08:19So, if you liked the video,
08:21Please like, comment, and share.
08:24Help me with this channel project.
08:26Thanks.
08:26And there
08:28And there
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