- 18 hours ago
This is an in-depth Met Office UK Weather forecast for the next week and beyond.
It's 50 years since the summer of 1976 and the long-standing June temperature records set in 1976 have been broken in the past week as extraordinary heat and humidity affected many (but not all) parts of the UK. But, aside from temperature records, how do the two heatwaves compare?
Bringing you this deep dive is Met Office meteorologist Aidan McGivern.
It's 50 years since the summer of 1976 and the long-standing June temperature records set in 1976 have been broken in the past week as extraordinary heat and humidity affected many (but not all) parts of the UK. But, aside from temperature records, how do the two heatwaves compare?
Bringing you this deep dive is Met Office meteorologist Aidan McGivern.
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NewsTranscript
00:00Last week's heat wave in the UK was absolutely extraordinary.
00:05There are so many things to unpick from that heat wave,
00:08and remarkably, it coincided with the start of the 50th anniversary of the famous 1976 heat wave.
00:16So I thought I'd spend this week's deep dive looking at last week's numbers and comparing them to 1976.
00:24How did last week's heat compare, not just in terms of maximum temperatures,
00:28which of course have been covered plenty by us here and in the media,
00:32but in terms of overnight temperatures, humidity, longevity, and the global context of these heat waves,
00:41as well as the context within the decades in which they've occurred.
00:46Welcome to the Met Office Deep Dive.
00:49Thank you for joining me.
00:51As always, we do these every Tuesday.
00:53They are on our YouTube channel, our Spotify channel as well.
00:57So if you enjoy these in-depth takes on the UK and global weather and climate,
01:03do please keep watching, keep sending in your comments, hit the like button,
01:07and of course, hit subscribe as well, so you never miss one of these when they occur in the future.
01:13Now, I'm aware that there's potentially another heat wave on the way for next week,
01:19and I'll say a few things about that at the end of this week's deep dive,
01:23but I thought I'd save much of the discussion of that heat wave till tomorrow's 10-day trend,
01:29because there's so much to talk about with last week's heat wave.
01:35Records were smashed.
01:36In fact, this is the, at the time of recording, summary of June extremes as they stand,
01:44bearing in mind that some of these temperatures are provisional.
01:47We do rigorous checking and analysis after the event, so it takes some time for them to be confirmed.
01:52But we have a new daily maximum temperature high, 37.7 Celsius at Lingwood in Norfolk.
02:02That was on Friday the 26th of June, and that's also the English high daily max temperature.
02:09Wales beat its previous record as well, 35.9 Celsius recorded last Thursday at Cardiff Butte Park.
02:17And Northern Ireland tied its daily max temp high with 30.8 Celsius at Castle Derg in Tyrone.
02:27That's tied with their previous record set back in 1976.
02:31In fact, the UK record previously was in 1976, so 50 years later that record has been broken.
02:40It previously stood at 35.6 Celsius, which actually, when you look at the whole of the 1976 summer,
02:50that June record was set in June, obviously, but there was a higher temperature set in July,
02:55which was 35.9 Celsius.
02:58That was the highest temperature in 1976.
03:01That's now the Wales record for June.
03:04So, funny coincidence there, 35.9 Celsius is the new Wales record for June.
03:10It's also the highest temperature recorded in 1976, that whole summer from July.
03:16But yeah, the June record for the UK, now 37.7.
03:23How does that stack up compared with 1976, not just in terms of temperature records,
03:30because, of course, that record was broken by 2.1 Celsius.
03:34But it's interesting to look at the maximum temperature through the last, what we're looking at here,
03:40few months for England and Wales, where the heat has been most concentrated the last couple of months.
03:47And this is the maximum temperature trend, the day count here along the bottom,
03:52from the 1st of May for three months.
03:54The dotted line is the maximum temperature averaged over England and Wales from 1976.
04:00So, you can see the day-to-day fluctuations, up and down, up and down.
04:03And then, actually, it was around the start of June that we started seeing hot weather arrive.
04:09And then, this is the start of the most famous heat wave from 1976, which started on the 23rd of
04:17June.
04:17Here we are.
04:18There's that dotted line.
04:19And it really went up quite significantly.
04:22The line, the solid line here, shows a 25 Celsius baseline.
04:28And the dotted line shows a lot of days there across England and Wales,
04:32on average, above 25 Celsius for the maximum temperature,
04:36before dipping below for the rest of the summer.
04:39And here's the blue line here, showing 2026.
04:44There's the May heat wave, so significantly higher than 76.
04:48Then, it went back down.
04:50We had very changeable weather for the first two to three weeks of June,
04:53before rising again above where 1976 was, in terms of the dotted line.
05:00But, of course, that's come down now.
05:01So, higher peaks than 1976, but a shorter duration.
05:08We've got these spikes, rather than this slow build and this long, drawn-out peak.
05:15And that can be demonstrated when you look at how many days exceeded 32 Celsius in 1976 and 2026,
05:25and how many days exceeded 36 Celsius for each year.
05:30Now, 1976 famously had 15 days in a row in which somewhere in the UK exceeded 32 Celsius,
05:39which really is quite remarkable when you think about that temperature somewhere in the UK 15 days in a row.
05:49In this year, 2026, that temperature has been exceeded 10 days so far.
05:56We're up to the end of June already, but 10 days so far.
05:59So, that's under 1976, but, of course, we've still got two months of the summer to go.
06:04And those are not 10 consecutive days.
06:07I think there were four in May and six last week.
06:11But when you look at how many days exceeded 36 Celsius,
06:15this chart here lists every day on record in which somewhere in the UK has exceeded 36 Celsius.
06:24Now, in the 20th century, three days in total exceeded 36 Celsius.
06:31Those three days were the 2nd, 3rd and 4th of August 1990.
06:36Then, 36 Celsius was exceeded again in 2003, and for three days in total in 2003.
06:44Then once in 2006, and then it became more frequent in the 2020s.
06:49So, we've got three days in 2022, two days, no, three days in 2020, two days in 2022,
06:57and three days so far this year.
07:00So, in other words, we had three days last week in a row in which the temperature somewhere in the
07:05UK exceeded 36 Celsius,
07:06and that's the same number of days in which the temperature somewhere in the UK exceeded 36 Celsius
07:12in the whole of the 20th century.
07:14And the peak temperature, of course, 37.7 Celsius, is higher than any temperature ever recorded in the 20th century,
07:23not just in 1976, but any year in the 20th century, because the peak temperature was in 1990.
07:30That was 37.1 Celsius.
07:33That's the peak temperature of the 20th century.
07:37Then we get on to overnight temperatures, which, in some ways, is more significant,
07:43because if our houses can't cool down at night, most of us don't have air conditioning,
07:48then that can really exacerbate health impacts from heat waves.
07:53And overnight temperatures, just like daytime temperatures, were broken through last week.
07:58We have a new UK high daily min temp, that's 23.5 Celsius, Cardiff Butte Park, last week, last Thursday
08:05morning.
08:07And then a new high for England as well, 23.2 Celsius at Hastings, and therefore Cardiff, I mentioned that,
08:17and 19.1 Celsius, a new high daily minimum temperature in Northern Ireland.
08:24Now, Scotland's the exception here.
08:27England, UK, Wales, and Northern Ireland have all broken their daytime and their nighttime temperature records last week for June,
08:37but Scotland hasn't.
08:39This record here for Scotland, 32.2 Celsius, goes all the way back to 1893, not even 1976.
08:46It goes all the way back to 1893, which is somewhat bizarre.
08:50And the overnight temperature there for Scotland, 2006.
08:55So, Scotland, the one exception for last week, of course, the heat was focused across England and Wales.
09:01It did edge into southern Scotland at times, and central Scotland, as well as Northern Ireland,
09:07but didn't quite affect much of the country.
09:10Actually, I'll go back to that, because I've got some other graphics to show here.
09:16Oh, I've skipped past it.
09:18Bear with me.
09:19Here we go.
09:21So, we're talking about overnight temperatures, and this is a similar comparison.
09:25England and Wales, 2026 compared with 1976.
09:31Dotted line, we've got 1st of May over here, 20th of May, start of June here,
09:37and we've got dotted line showing 1976.
09:412026, up and down, up and down, up and down, and then it really went up, up above 10 degrees
09:47averaged over England and Wales from the middle of June,
09:50and stayed consistently high.
09:53Meanwhile, 2026, overnight temperature across England and Wales, has been consistently high throughout the last couple of months.
10:02So, that's been really significant, and spiking quite significantly last week there.
10:08And this is a similar chart, the one I showed, showing the number of days that have exceeded 36 Celsius,
10:16but this is overnight temperatures, where the temperature hasn't gone below 22 Celsius,
10:21and it lists the number of years.
10:22And the one takeaway from this chart is that in 1976, there were three nights in which the temperature in
10:31one part of the UK didn't get below 22 Celsius,
10:34and in 2026, there were four nights last week in which the temperature in at least one location didn't fall
10:42below 22 Celsius.
10:43But it's become more and more frequent.
10:46We've got the 1970s there, the 90s, and then all of these dates are since 2003.
10:54So, it's become a much more frequent occurrence.
10:59But, 1976 really stands out in our public consciousness, our collective memory.
11:08And one of the reasons for that is because it was so remarkable for the time.
11:13Now, when you look at the temperature anomaly, compared with the 30-year climate, 91 to 2020,
11:21this shows how 1976 is summer, compared with the rest of the globe.
11:26A clear red area across the UK, Ireland, northern France, the Netherlands, Belgium, and so on.
11:34So, North West Europe really stood out as being significantly warmer than average that summer.
11:40The rest of the globe, a lot of blues.
11:45So, a lot of places having a much cooler than average summer, or in the Southern Hemisphere, obviously the winter.
11:51Eastern Europe, really significantly cooler than average.
11:54But, skipping ahead, because I don't have the data for this summer, it's not finished yet,
11:58but skipping ahead to last summer, which was the hottest summer on record for the UK,
12:04and you can see many of those blue colours replaced by reds.
12:07And although the UK experienced slightly higher temperatures through last summer compared with 1976,
12:13it no longer stands out.
12:15Many other parts of the Northern Hemisphere also experiencing a significantly warmer than average summer.
12:22This, then, compares 1976 with 2025.
12:27So, how much colder 1976 was around the globe that summer compared with 2025.
12:36UK, about the same.
12:38That's what the white colours indicate there.
12:39The blues elsewhere, through the Mediterranean, across Eastern Europe, for example,
12:43through the Middle East, much of China, North America.
12:48Significantly colder summer in 1976 compared with 2025.
12:54And this compares how 1976 is summer compared with the previous five years.
13:02So, this is a really interesting comparison to make, because it looks at how 1976 must have felt at the
13:10time,
13:11given that the previous five years weren't that warm.
13:141976 summer was a warm summer, after a cold start.
13:19But the four years before that, we had a run of cool summers.
13:24And this is, you know, really apparent when you see this graphic.
13:28We've got the UK, France.
13:3176 summer was so much warmer than the preceding average five years.
13:37And, you know, other parts of the globe were colder or warmer, depending where you were.
13:43But that part of the globe, we've got some of the darker reds there,
13:47indicating how much 1976's summer must have stood out.
13:51And this is another way of showing that.
13:53It's the maximum temperature in the UK each month of the 70s.
14:00So, how it compares with the average, which is at zero there.
14:04You can see the warmer than average months and the colder than average months.
14:08And here's the 1976 summer.
14:10So, June, July, August, all at or above two degrees higher than average.
14:15But that summer is surrounded by many more blues than reds.
14:22The blue, the cooler than average months, much more frequent during the 1970s.
14:28So, when that summer occurred, it must have felt, blimey, this is so much hotter than so many of our
14:34other recent summers.
14:36And, well, other months of the year, we had some really quite chilly months, minus three degrees there.
14:43So, three degrees below average for quite a few of these months.
14:47There's the 1975 summer.
14:48So, that was also a pretty warm one, but not many other warm summers.
14:54How does the last ten years compare?
14:56Well, this is the last few months, 2026, approaching the two degrees above average line, but not quite.
15:03However, you can see so many of those blue monthly anomalies have been replaced by reds.
15:09And you can see how many more of these anomalously warm months we've seen in the last ten years compared
15:17with the 70s.
15:21And this chart really sums up what 1976 was all about.
15:26It was about high pressure that turned up and lasted for a good three months.
15:31It was a really anomalous pressure pattern.
15:34This graphic shows the pressure anomaly across the globe during that summer of 1976
15:42and highlights northwest Europe centred over the UK as one of the most anomalously high pressure zones for the whole
15:51of the planet.
15:52So, it's no wonder that it was so warm with high pressure sitting over the UK leading to day after
15:58day of sunny skies.
15:59Jet stream shifted north.
16:01A really unusual circulation set up.
16:06Last summer, remember that last summer is the warmest on record.
16:09You'd kind of expect a similar stubborn high pressure leading to those extreme temperature anomalies.
16:16But this is the pressure anomaly.
16:18We've actually got lower than average pressure over Iceland and Greenland.
16:22Higher than average over the Azores, which kind of affects the south of the UK.
16:27But mostly it's average pressure.
16:29Mostly it's white colours over the UK.
16:31So, when you compare that with 1976 where there was this big dominant high over the UK,
16:35Well, it's no wonder that summer was so sunny and so hot and so dry.
16:42Last summer was neither an extremely sunny and dry summer,
16:48but it was the warmest summer on record, despite the pressure patterns not being particularly unusual.
16:59Another thing to factor in when talking about 1976 versus 2026, of course, is the build-up.
17:07The fact that leading up to the summer of 1976, it was so extraordinarily dry.
17:13This shows the rainfall amount compared with average for December to May 1976.
17:19So, December 1975 to May 1976.
17:24Here's the line showing the accumulated rainfall through that six-month period for 1976.
17:32And, as you can see, the deficit from the average line gets bigger and bigger and bigger.
17:37So, it wasn't just about that anomalous high pressure over the summer itself.
17:42It was about the six months before the summer being unusually dry.
17:47It was also drier than average and warmer than average summer the year before.
17:51But, this period is really interesting because it just shows you the extent to which the ground and the soils
17:59dried out in the lead-up to 1976.
18:04So, that when that high pressure stuck around through the summer,
18:07and we had day after day of sunshine allowing the soils to dry out more and more,
18:11so much more of the sun's energy was available to heat the ground,
18:16which then subsequently heats the air, rather than evaporate the moist ground and so on.
18:23A different story to the six months leading up to this summer.
18:28This is the rainfall amount December to May of this year.
18:31And, you can see, it's been above average.
18:34Not massively, but it has been above average.
18:37Remember, only a few months ago we were talking about this relentless rain.
18:41Day after day of wet weather that we started the year with,
18:45and some places sort of record-breaking consecutive runs of rainfall.
18:49So, actually, the ground in places was fairly wet leading up to this summer.
18:57Not everywhere.
18:58Parts of eastern England, for example, had a rainfall deficit through the spring,
19:03it's worth pointing out,
19:05before some wet weather during the first half of June.
19:08So, it varied from place to place.
19:10It's fairly nuanced.
19:13But, it certainly hasn't been as dry as the build-up to 1976.
19:18So, at the start of this summer,
19:20there was more moisture on the ground
19:23that then, obviously, when you've got the sunshine coming through,
19:27that heat goes to evaporate the moisture
19:30rather than to build temperatures.
19:33So, yeah, two key things with 1976.
19:37One was the persistence of the high pressure throughout that summer.
19:41Unusually persistent high pressure over the UK,
19:45centred right over the UK,
19:47keeping Atlantic weather at bay.
19:49And, that long build-up, that really dry weather in the build-up,
19:54which meant that a lot of that sun's energy was going to heat the ground.
20:00And, this graphic here looks back at the most widely warm day of 1976.
20:06We've got 28th of June here.
20:09It's not the day where we saw the maximum temperature,
20:11but it's the day where we saw more widespread warmth across the UK.
20:15And, it's a re-analysis chart.
20:17So, it's using the computer to look back at the weather patterns
20:21and the temperatures at 850 hectopascals in the atmosphere
20:25or 5,000 feet or 1,300 metres high up.
20:29So, those temperatures are a reasonably representative height in the atmosphere
20:37to look at when talking about heat waves
20:39because that's representative of the air mass
20:41and it shows a reasonably consistent signal.
20:46And, you can pick out certain temperatures at that height
20:50and say, if the temperature is above 15, 16 degrees or so,
20:55you're more likely to get temperatures on the ground
20:57into the high 20s, low 30s.
20:59And, here's the line that shows the contour of 15 degrees.
21:05This black line here, that's the 15 degree contour at 5,000 feet.
21:11So, that's a good indicator that we've got a heat wave
21:14across the south of the UK, south Wales, the Midlands
21:17into the south of England.
21:19We've also got the white lines here showing high pressure
21:22dominating the weather across the UK that day,
21:25low pressure systems sent north.
21:27So, you can see 15 degrees in the south.
21:30There's no real sign of a 20 degrees line on this graphic
21:35for this day in 1976.
21:38But, what happens if I go forward to the most widely warm day of last week,
21:4425th of June, when that was the second day in a row
21:47in which the June temperature record was broken.
21:50That was last Thursday.
21:51And, there's the 15 degree line.
21:55It's up across central Scotland.
21:57It's north of Northern Ireland.
21:59It covers the whole of England and Wales.
22:00But, we've also got another line here, the 20 degree line
22:04that covers many parts of the south of the UK,
22:08much of France as well.
22:10And so, it was so much more intense,
22:14this heat that built up over northwest Europe
22:18during last week.
22:21And, these days, what some people call this is a heat dome.
22:26An area of high pressure that becomes intense and persistent
22:31and causes air to sink day by day and compress.
22:36And, that leads to extraordinary temperatures rising.
22:39And, at the same time, clears the clouds
22:42and you've got the soils drying out.
22:44And, that leads to more and more of a day by day temperature build up.
22:50And, these heat domes can become quite persistent.
22:53And, you can imagine them as this kind of expanding dome of heat.
22:58That's what we're seeing here across France into the south of the UK.
23:02It's expanding dome of heat.
23:04But, the air over the UK under this heat dome or persistent high pressure
23:11didn't actually come up from Spain or North Africa.
23:14It wasn't dry air.
23:16It originated in the Atlantic to the southwest of the UK.
23:20It got caught up in the area of high pressure.
23:22It got compressed.
23:24But, it kept its moisture signature.
23:27So, what's really significant about last week's heat wave compared with 1976
23:33is that 1976, yeah, we had stubborn high pressure systems
23:37close to the UK throughout.
23:39But, it was drier.
23:41A drier, less humid heat compared with this last week's heat wave
23:46which was so notable for its humidity
23:49because the air ultimately came from the Atlantic.
23:52It then got caught up in high pressure, compressed, heated up.
23:55And, not just across the UK, but remarkable temperatures for much of Europe.
24:00This is just a snapshot here taken from the WMO
24:04and just read you some of the highlights or the lowlights
24:08depending on your point of view.
24:1041.7 Celsius recorded in Germany.
24:14New June record there for Hungary, 40.7 Celsius.
24:18New June record for Austria, 40.0 Celsius.
24:21The Netherlands, 39.4 Celsius.
24:24Also a new June record.
24:25And, an all-time high record for Denmark, 37.0 Celsius.
24:30Switzerland, 39.0 Celsius.
24:33And, France, no records broken, but a remarkable temperature at 43.8 Celsius.
24:40And, a lot of impacts making the news across Europe and the UK
24:46from this extraordinary heat.
24:49Because, it wasn't just the temperatures by day and by night.
24:54It wasn't just the extent of the heat across Europe
24:57and into England, Wales, Northern Ireland.
25:00And, it wasn't just the daytime and nighttime temperatures
25:03which mean that while we heat up by day
25:07we struggle to cool down in our un-air-conditioned homes by night.
25:11It was the humidity.
25:13And, I think that really was one of the most remarkable things
25:17about last week.
25:18And, we were making comparisons last week
25:20with the record-breaking heat wave in 2022
25:23when 40 Celsius was exceeded for the first time in the UK.
25:27And, on that day, dew point temperatures,
25:30so that's the temperature in which the air would need to be cooled down to
25:35to reach a relative humidity of 100%.
25:37Dew point temperatures on that day were in the single figures.
25:40Last week, dew point temperatures were in the high teens, low 20s.
25:46Another measure of humidity is the wet bulb temperature.
25:51And, this is the temperature that, when you put a thermometer
25:55in a Stevenson screen, you've got a dry bulb thermometer.
25:59So, that's your typical thermometer that measures the air temperature.
26:02But, you've also got a wet bulb thermometer.
26:04And, that's the same deal except its bulb is wrapped in a wet muslin
26:09and it evaporates water.
26:12And, the more humid the air is,
26:14the slower that rate of evaporation is.
26:16Now, if the, while that evaporation is taking place,
26:20it's taking heat away from the thermometer.
26:22So, the temperature drops.
26:24But, if it's not evaporating very quickly because the air is humid,
26:28the temperature doesn't drop as much.
26:29So, the wet bulb thermometer and the wet bulb temperature
26:32is a really good measure of how humid it is.
26:34And, that is a really important indicator for we humans
26:38because that's our level of comfort.
26:41We need to cool off by sweating.
26:43And, if the air is humid, we can't do that as efficiently.
26:47Here's the wet bulb thermometer through last week.
26:50I think we've got, that's Thursday, Wednesday, Tuesday, Monday.
26:54So, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday for three places.
26:57The orange line is Exeter.
27:00The blue line is Yobleton.
27:03And, the red line is Usk.
27:05And, they're all between 22 and 25 degrees by day through last week.
27:11And, that temperature is remarkable for the UK.
27:14In fact, I was looking at wet bulb temperatures across Europe
27:17and not many places across Europe, even across Spain,
27:20the hottest parts of France during the peak of the heat wave last week.
27:24You know, Greece, not many parts of Europe
27:27had wet bulb temperatures as high as that.
27:30So, it's that humidity.
27:31That's how we experience the heat.
27:36And, that's what leads to health impacts.
27:39It's not necessarily those peak temperatures.
27:41A lot of people were asking last week,
27:44what temperature thresholds are those extreme heat warnings based on?
27:48Well, they're not based on temperature thresholds.
27:50They're based on impacts of the heat and humidity combined.
27:54And, there are lots of factors that go in
27:56to figure out what those impacts are likely to be.
27:59Whether it's power disruption or transport disruption.
28:02Typically, when you get into temperatures of the mid-30s,
28:06those impacts start to escalate.
28:08But, for health impacts, this is a more important measure.
28:11It's the humidity and heat combined.
28:13And, it's that humid feel that made this heat wave more impactful.
28:18And, you know, it felt worse.
28:20It felt more uncomfortable for us as human beings
28:23compared with when 40 Celsius was recorded with lower dew points.
28:28Now, I want you to imagine a storm in the winter
28:32in which the impacts are so bad
28:35that there are a record number of ambulance call-outs.
28:39Can you imagine that?
28:40Now, when we get storms in the winter
28:42and one or two lives are lost,
28:45it's an absolute tragedy.
28:47But, it's easy to associate the storm with those tragedies
28:54because trees can fall on cars
28:57or houses can be flooded and cars can be swept away.
29:00So, each one of those deaths is a tragedy.
29:04But, heat waves like last week are called a silent killer
29:08because it's less easy to associate the heat and humidity
29:13with issues in hospitals and in the population
29:18with breathing difficulties
29:20and increasing cardiac arrests and so on.
29:23But, last week, sadly,
29:25there were a record number of ambulance calls
29:27in the southwest region and in other parts of the UK.
29:32And so, another unfortunate way
29:37to compare last week with the heat wave of 1976
29:41is to talk about the impacts to the population
29:44and the health impacts.
29:46It's difficult when looking back at 1976
29:49to figure out the health impacts.
29:51There has been a study or two
29:53that looked at the 15-day period
29:56in which temperatures exceeded 32 Celsius each day
29:59somewhere in the UK
30:00and estimated 2 to 250 excess deaths
30:05each day of that period.
30:08But, when you're looking at excess deaths,
30:11it's a tricky thing to work out.
30:13So, it's not always that clear.
30:15What is clear is that heat waves like this
30:17are dangerous even if we don't see
30:20the immediate impacts on the news
30:22of trees falling on cars
30:24or cars being swept away in rivers.
30:27And that's essentially why
30:28we have extreme heat warnings.
30:31It's not just the southwest here.
30:33We've got East Surrey Hospital
30:34declares critical incident
30:36as heat wave overwhelms A&E.
30:38Yeah, a lot of people enjoyed the summer of 76.
30:41A lot of people suffered significantly.
30:44It stood out at the time
30:46as an extraordinary event
30:49not just in terms of the duration
30:51in which high pressure was sitting of the UK.
30:53It remains the sunniest summer on record.
30:55It remains the summer in the UK
30:58with the highest maximum temperature on record
31:00but not the highest mean temperature on record.
31:03And it really stood out for the 70s.
31:06A summer these days like that
31:08would still stand out for sunshine
31:10and it would still stand out
31:12for the dryness of the summer
31:15and the dry period leading up to it.
31:18It wouldn't necessarily
31:19if we had those same temperatures today
31:21stand out quite as much.
31:24Which brings me on to next week's weather.
31:27I said I'd mention it at the end
31:29and it will be covered in greater detail
31:33in tomorrow's 10-day trend.
31:35I'd like to say three things.
31:36Firstly, there have been some charts
31:39that have been suggesting
31:40extreme temperatures next week.
31:42I think the last 24 hours or so
31:45there have been fewer
31:46of those computer model runs
31:48suggesting temperatures
31:49into the high 30s or low 40s
31:51but it remains at the moment
31:53a very, very low risk.
31:57Secondly, it looks like
31:59next week's heat wave
32:00is more likely to be less extreme
32:03than last week's
32:04in terms of peak temperatures
32:05and thankfully the humidity
32:08but it may be longer in duration
32:11and there are question marks
32:13over those peak temperatures
32:14but also question marks
32:15in terms of the extent
32:16of the heat next week.
32:18So, we will cover that
32:20in tomorrow's 10-day trend.
32:22Make sure you tune in for that.
32:24Follow us on YouTube
32:25to stay across all the latest.
32:27But I hope you enjoyed this week.
32:29I know it was a bit of a stat fest.
32:31I think some of you are going to like it.
32:33Some of you aren't going to like it.
32:34Let us know what you think.
32:35But I'm going to finish there.
32:38Thanks for joining me.
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