- 6 hours ago
This is an in-depth Met Office UK Weather forecast for the next week and beyond. A storm will bring heavy rain and strong winds to the Canaries and Madeira, very windy too in Egypt and a tropical cyclone in Australia. Bringing you this global deep dive is Met Office meteorologist Alex Deakin. 🌎🌦️🌀
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00:00Warm spring sunshine is heading for the UK. Well, for most of us. Wales could reach over 20
00:07Celsius. That'll be the first time we've got over that value this year. But on the other side of the
00:13pond, it's 40 degrees Celsius we're looking at across the southwest of the United States. Then
00:19there's some wild winds affecting areas that you'd normally associate with sunshine. Madeira,
00:24the Canaries, Egypt and northern parts of Australia. It's a global deep dive today.
00:32Welcome along. We do this every Tuesday. And if you haven't subscribed yet, then you want to do
00:38that right now. Join 400,000 other people and subscribe to our YouTube channel. We do this
00:43every Tuesday, half an hour or so of intense meteorological mayhem. Thank you very much for
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01:07for hitting the like button and for your comments. Really, really like reading your comments. If you've
01:11got a question about the deep dive, put it in the chat, put it in the comments. We read through
01:16them
01:16and then we often answer a lot of those questions during our live, which we do every Friday at
01:21quarter past 12. Another reason to subscribe. As I said, this week, the deep dive is a very global
01:29feel to it. Yes, we'll be talking about the UK temperatures and how it is going to be pretty
01:34warm a week, but we're also looking further afield. Let's set the scene and take a look at what is
01:40going on. It doesn't look that warm out there at the moment. And for many, it's been quite a cool
01:45day.
01:45The jet stream is pretty active out across the Atlantic, but it's dipping down, creating this
01:51trough, which is helping to push low pressure systems up towards Iceland. But this trough is
01:56really important, not just for our weather, but also for the weather a little further south. If we
02:01just zoom out a little bit and play through what happens, this trough is what we call disrupting.
02:08It stops being this kind of U-shape and breaks away into its own little circulation down here. It's a
02:15disrupting upper trough and the jet stream is part and parcel of that. And as it breaks away, it creates
02:21almost like an oxbow lake down here. Another part of the jet stream getting pretty active up across
02:26Greenland and Iceland, taking the low pressure systems up here, generating low pressure systems
02:31in this cutoff here down to the south, which allows for us a chunky area of high pressure to build
02:39in. And it's that high pressure building in over the next couple of days that will bring many of us
02:45some sunshine. There is this little annoying weather front that is going to provide some zones
02:49cloudier weather, but there will, for many of us under high pressure, be quite a bit of sunshine
02:53that will make for chilly nights because we are close to the equinox. But it will also bring some warmth
02:58and some sunshine by day. More on that in a moment, because first of all, let's deal with what's going
03:04on
03:04down here. This is the cutoff high up in the atmosphere where the jet stream is got a cutoff
03:11low, but that is also generating low pressure systems at the surface. If we take the jet stream
03:17off, you can see this little lower kind of couple of features dumbbelling around each other. And this
03:24low pressure system has been named Storm Therese by the Portuguese Weather Service because it is going
03:28to bring Madeira in particular some strong winds, but also the Azores and the Canaries. So in this
03:36zone, some pretty lively weather. We're going to see some heavy showers over the next few days and also
03:42some gusty winds. Now note particularly as these lows form down near the Canaries, the isobars pinching
03:47together here, some very gusty winds for the Canaries. Now that's an unusual wind direction. I may have seen
03:54in the news last week, the storm that hit Hawaii and caused significant problems there. And one of the
04:00reasons with that was the wind direction, the trade winds, and a low like this generated winds in a
04:07completely different direction from what they're used to. It's a similar scenario for the Canaries.
04:12Not expecting the same kind of devastation, but it's a similar scenario in that the winds normally for
04:16the Canaries come in from the northeast, the trade winds, but with a low like this, the winds at low
04:21level is going to be coming in from the southwest. And that change in wind direction does bring a
04:26different feel. It means air is not exposed to the rain normally or not exposed to the winds normally
04:31get it. And they're not exposed to the waves either. So it's a completely different scenario from what
04:37they're used to. And that can be more disruptive. So we are expecting gusty winds around below, say for
04:42Madeira, the Azores, and the Canaries from this storm system. Some heavy showers will be moving
04:48through. And it really does continue with the lows kind of generating in on themselves because of
04:52what's going on high in the sky because of where the jet stream is. Things are not shifting. The
04:57loads are kind of spinning around each other and just generating these pulses of showery rain that
05:01will move through and some strong and gusty winds. So you'll probably see headlines in the newspapers
05:06this week about the UK being warmer than the Canaries. And that may well be the case. Certainly
05:11going to be drier and sunnier than the Canaries because it's looking pretty gusty here
05:15with some heavy showers coming through. I'm going to show you a graphic now to show how unusual that
05:21is. This is the EFI index from the ECMWF model. The EFI stands for Extreme Forecast Index. And it
05:32basically just shows you how unusual a certain weather event is. This is looking at the wind gusts.
05:38There's the UK. No wind gusts for certainly nothing unusual. But the scale up here tells you
05:45how unusual. Anything above 0.8 would be very unusual. Anything above 0.9 to 1 is extreme. So
05:51we're in this zone down here across for particular Madeira, but also increasingly across the Canaries
05:57over the next day or so with those gusty winds coming in. That is very unusual right at the top
06:02of the scale there for those strong winds in this part of the world. It works out from the ensemble
06:08and
06:08you run the model many, many times. How many of the ensembles are in the top 10% of the
06:13climate? And
06:14then it generates this map and the red colours getting close to one there suggesting that is
06:20pretty extreme for this part of the world, for the strength of the wind. But we're not done there
06:26in terms of wind strength. Let's go back to the bigger picture. That's the southwestern corner of
06:34Europe done. But let's zoom out because we're not just focusing in on the polar jet, which brings
06:40us our weather, but we've also got quite a strong subtropical jet. This jet, which is often in this
06:47kind of position through this time of year in the springtime across North Africa, but it too is also
06:53quite lively and it too is spinning up areas of low pressure. We go back to the satellite picture.
07:00There is this little low that's been spinning through the Mediterranean, bringing heavy showers
07:04for Tunisia and Libya, along with Malta earlier in the week. And now it's spinning up again, another
07:11area of low pressure in here. And if we get to where we are now, you can see that generating
07:16in
07:17there, that little area spinning up northern parts of Libya, northern Tunisia, seeing some heavy rain,
07:21again, just being enhanced by that little dip in the subtropical jet. And let's put the pressure
07:26pattern on and see what happens to that. That low pressure system will be taking its way across
07:33the eastern Mediterranean, bringing some heavy rain, take the jet stream off, put that band of rain on
07:39through Thursday and into Friday. And it doesn't just stop there, it continues to work its way in.
07:44So other holiday destinations, places like Cyprus, Turkey, seeing some heavy rain currently in that band
07:49of rain, moving its way then in across Syria, northern Iraq, parts of Afghanistan, like to see some heavy
07:56rain also, as that low moves in. Again, unusual for the time of year. In the Canaries, we could
08:04easily see 20 to 40 millimeters of rain. In this area as well, we could see 20 to 40 millimeters
08:09of
08:09rain. Not huge amounts by UK comparison, but again, unusual, not what they're expecting. And that would
08:17be pretty heavy rain for even for this part of the world for this time of year. You can see
08:21some snow
08:21there over the mountains, over the hills and mountains here. We could be seeing 100, 200, maybe
08:26250 millimeters of rain. Now that is all going to kind of wash down, so it could cause some ravine
08:31flooding, some heavy downpours likely to cause some disruption here. Not only that, there'll also be
08:37some strong and some pretty gusty winds, particularly as it moves through, as that low spins around.
08:44Here, notice that isobars pinching together there across northern Egypt. I can show you the similar,
08:51another EFI map now for the same part of the world for Wednesday, and before the low really gets into
08:57northern Syria, northern Iraq. But this end of the Mediterranean, notice those orange and red colours
09:00there for Egypt. So again, some unusually strong wind gusts. And again, places that people will be
09:07familiar with, you know, tourist destinations across northern Egypt. So there'll be a lot of blown dust,
09:11that kind of thing, in this part of the world as that system moves through during Wednesday and then
09:18into Thursday. And the rainfall itself, as I said, could cause some issues, likely to be pretty heavy.
09:23Let's have a look at the rainfall on the global scale. If we zoom and pan, which one do we
09:33want?
09:37It's not showing it, is it? Why is it not going that one? Come on, you can do it.
09:44Oh, just having a little moment there, just having a little moment, asking it to do too much. So here's
09:49the rainfall, 24 hour rainfall accumulations. As we go through the next 24 hours, you can see northern
09:55parts of Libya, southern Italy, seeing that heavy rain. But let's fast forward Thursday and track it
10:02down this end of the Mediterranean. You can see those totals popping up there, those oranges and
10:09red bars, 175 to 100 millimetres of rain, likely. Again, most of that will be up over the hills. But
10:15even at lower levels, we're seeing 10 to 25 millimetres of rain in what is normally a pretty
10:20dry part of the world. So that is something that we also need to watch as that weather system moves
10:26in, along with those gusty winds into parts of Egypt. Now, let's go right, well, I've gone the wrong
10:34way there, to the other end of the world. And look at Australia, because we've got some even higher
10:41totals in here. If we zoom in, showing these rainfall bars in here, in excess of 150 millimetres of rain
10:49there across northern Queensland. Let's tilt it. So there's Cairns, hopefully going to be to the north
10:55of Cairns. But in here, say, those high rainfall totals coming in Thursday and Friday. And that
11:03is from a tropical cyclone named Norel. And as we go through the rest of the week into the weekend,
11:11watch those totals building up here. So we're going to see those totals jumping across the Gulf of
11:17Carpentaria and see similar kind of totals, more than 100 millimetres, more than 150 millimetres. In fact,
11:23this part of the world could see 300 millimetres of rain as this tropical system moves through from
11:28northern Queensland into the northern territory. What is causing that? Well, it doesn't look much
11:36on the satellite image at the moment. This little swirl here out in the northern coral sea is a tropical
11:42cyclone that's really developed over the last 24 hours. Now, I've been given a name. It's called Norel,
11:47given again by the Australian Weather Service. That is the next system to come in here. And as we saw,
11:53it's likely to track in this way. Not particularly potent at the moment. Doesn't look much on the
11:58satellite image, does it? But let's take a look. Take the jet stream off. Don't need that. Let's zoom down
12:04to the southern hemisphere. See if we can find it. There she blows. As I say, it doesn't look much,
12:12looks fairly weak at the moment. But it's undergoing more, it's intensifying. It's over favourable
12:18conditions. Warm seas here, giving it some oomph, giving it some energy. And it's just tracking its
12:24way there towards northern parts of Queensland. And as it does so, the isobar is just gently increasing
12:30around it. The wind speeds picking up. And it is likely to steadily increase as it approaches the
12:36coastline during the next 48 to 72 hours. Likely to make landfall Thursday into Friday. Now, it's got
12:44to travel quite some distance, over a thousand kilometres, a bit more than that, actually. So
12:50there is still some scope for where it is going to make landfall. But at the moment,
12:55it's likely to hit, well, to the north of Cairns. But in and around this zone, thankfully,
13:03it's not particularly well populated. But if it is a little further south, it could hit some
13:07bigger towns. And where it's likely to hit at the moment, not especially populated. But
13:11in this part of the world, the Bureau of Australia have quite a broad tropical notification along the
13:17coastline. Because as I said, it could shift a little further north, could shift a little further
13:20south, because it's got to travel quite some distance. As it hits, it is likely to be equivalent
13:25of a major hurricane, with mean wind speeds over 110 miles an hour. Because that is quite an intense,
13:31quite a powerful storm. So it is likely to do some damage in terms of its wind strength. And we've
13:35already seen the rainfall totals that we're expecting from it, 150 to maybe 300 millimetres of
13:43rainfall. Now, here's the thing. As it makes landfall, as it crosses, I say it could be a bit further
13:49south,
13:50could be a bit further north. But as it crosses, these storms, these cyclones, same as hurricanes,
13:54they're fueled by the sea. So as it crosses land, it will lose some of its intensity. Watch as it
14:00kind
14:00of fizzles out a little bit here. But then, boom, jumps out into the Gulf of Carpentaria, this massive
14:05sea, which is nice and warm, gives it a bit more energy, starts to intensify again. So it may well
14:11be
14:11still quite a powerful storm, or re-intensify into a powerful storm, as it then makes a second
14:17landfall, probably through the course of the weekend, into now the Northern Territory, drifting
14:25in here. And again, packing powerful winds, but particularly that northern portion of the Northern
14:31Territory, going to see a lot of rainfall. Now, these areas do see these systems reasonably frequently,
14:36but this is quite a potent storm. It needs watching. As I said, anytime it interacts with
14:41the land, that adds to the uncertainty a little bit as well. So, you know, beyond Thursday, Friday,
14:46the track are a little more uncertain. But as we'll see in the moment, reasonable consistency from
14:50where the models are taking this, it then heads its way in and across the Northern Territory. And
14:57again, notice, once it goes over the land, loses that energy from the sea, it will start to weaken
15:03somewhat. But as it heads over towards Darwin, still, you know, still like to pack a punch,
15:07still a few isobars wrapped around it. So it could still be quite gusty at that stage, as it tracks
15:13in
15:13here. And this is the projected track of that storm system. So hopefully you can see it's a bit,
15:21it's a bit washed out. There's Australia. You can see there's the peak in the Northern Queensland.
15:27There's the system at the moment. Now, there's lots of different models taking that track and pretty
15:33consistent. You can see that's quite a narrow band for where that's likely to hit. Given that's what three days
15:39or two and a half, three days before it makes lands, that is quite a small area. So reasonably consistent.
15:45And even then, most, if not all, once it's taken that step,
15:50most, if not all of them take it across the Gulf and Carpentaria into the Northern Territory.
15:54Then it gets a little bit more sketchy, a bit broader. But there's every chance
16:00this system may then move out into, again, warm seas off the north of Western Australia or the north coast
16:07of the Northern Territory. And it may well then dip back south and make a third landfall in Western Australia.
16:14So there's every chance this system could make three landfalls within the next week. Obviously, more uncertainty
16:21that far ahead. That would be a week away, probably, or best part of a week away.
16:26And it might not curve that way. As you can see, some of the models just take it out that
16:30way.
16:30But it could hit three different states, three different territories in Australia. That's quite rare.
16:35I think I have been speaking to Julian Hemming, our tropical cyclone expert. He said 25 storms,
16:42I think, this century have hit two different states, but only three have made landfall in three
16:49different states. And this one's taking a similar track to Steve from the year 2000. So it'd be
16:56interesting to see how this one develops. Obviously, it's going to be quite intense as it hits initially,
17:00then lots can happen. But every chance that storm could make three different landfalls in Australia
17:05over three different territories, which is pretty unusual and quite remarkable. So something to keep
17:11a close eye on there down under in Australia. Right. One more place to go now, and it's over to
17:18the
17:18United States, because things here have been getting pretty interesting of late. Real contrast across the
17:25US notice the the wavy jet stream is dipping down here, generating that cutoff and the the storm
17:31Therese for Madeira and the Zoars. But it's doing something not dissimilar over in the United States,
17:39a very wavy jet stream, very amplified jet stream. And if I put the temperature profile on, you can see
17:44this cold air digging in in this trough. And that has generated some hefty snowfalls across parts of the
17:52United States. A friend of mine in the United States, Paul Gross, sent these pictures from from
18:00northern Michigan. He is holding there a yardstick, just under a meter or so. And there it is buried in
18:07the snow. They did say some of that snow fell off the roof. So that's not how much snow necessarily
18:11fell. But just give you an idea in northern Michigan, how much snow has fallen. This was on
18:16Monday, I think. So yeah, quite a lot of snow. Who is jealous of that snow? Put in the comments
18:21if
18:21you're jealous of Paul's snow. Almost a meter's worth there that he's measuring in North Michigan.
18:27And we've seen that cold weather behind that trough. And interestingly, this is the state,
18:33the warnings board from the National Weather Service this morning. And all of these purples
18:38are for cold weather alerts across the the deep south as that cold air pushes in. But what's going
18:46to happen next is really remarkable because these pink colors are for today for heat warning in the
18:51southwest. And it's this heat that I really want to focus on now because the cold is disappearing.
18:56The heat is really, really building across parts of the United States. We're going to have to
19:02pan across again here with the jet stream doing this wavy thing. The third wave, the third trough out in
19:10the
19:10Pacific here, pushing it north, actually taking the wet weather from Hawaii that we saw. When was it?
19:19End of last week. The wet weather from Hawaii kind of being pushed up into western parts of Canada. So
19:25it's going to be very wet here for the next few days as well as we see the jet stream
19:29taking wet weather
19:30up here. But it is allowing high pressure to build in across the United States. And that high builds and
19:36builds and builds. Let's put the temperatures on. Let's take the jet stream off and just watch this
19:40high pressure building in what they call often call a heat dome in the US. And that heat really
19:47building in the southwest through Arizona and particularly California through Friday, probably
19:53peaking on Friday. But, you know, for Saturday also looking pretty hot. So it's going to get very hot in
19:59this part of the world, southwestern parts of the United States as we go through the back end of this
20:06week and into the weekend. How hot are we talking? Well, I've shown you that, shown you that. Let's look
20:11at
20:12this. This is the the EFI, but this is now for temperatures. So it's the extreme forecasting index
20:18for temperatures. Now, hopefully you can make out this is this is the United States. There's Florida
20:22just poking out there. That's the East Coast. So this is the current cold. So it works both ways,
20:27not just for extreme heat, but extreme cold or extreme gusts. You can see that actually the cold in the
20:33southeast is pretty extreme at the moment. This is for today. And the heat is building in the south
20:40and the west of the United States. But if we fast forward to the end of the the end of
20:50the week by
20:50Friday, you know, the cold is no is not extreme anymore across the across the East Coast. But the
20:58heat is even more extreme. We've got values, you know, up to one there, if not more than that.
21:06The black outlines there, the shift of tails really intense across parts of the southwest of the United
21:11States, Utah, California, down into Arizona. We're talking temperatures well above the average for the
21:19time of year. We're getting temperatures inland over 40 degrees Celsius. I'm going to show you a map now
21:26of temperatures. Going to use the American kind of grading now. I am going to go into Fahrenheit. I
21:33know I know it's a crime to be talking in Fahrenheit, but that's how they do things in the US.
21:38So I'm
21:38going to show you a probability of getting over 100 degrees Fahrenheit because that's that's what they
21:44use in the US and that's quite significant. So 100 Fahrenheit is 37.8 degrees Celsius pretty much. So if
21:55we look at
21:55this map, this is for Friday, what are the chances? So this is when you run the ensemble, you run
22:02the model
22:02many times gives you a probability of getting over 100 degrees Fahrenheit. And you can see there a little peak
22:08there. It's Friday afternoon for them that big splodge in there. We're talking high 90s percentage chance. So
22:17pretty much a guarantee that some parts of the southwest of the United States are going to get over 100
22:22degrees
22:22Fahrenheit, which is pretty unusual for this time of year. The National Weather Service forecast for Mecca in
22:30California was 114 degrees Fahrenheit for Friday. That's their forecast. The record for the United States
22:39for March is 108 degrees Fahrenheit. So we're beating records potentially by six degrees Fahrenheit, three degrees
22:47Celsius, that kind of ballpark, which is which is really remarkable. This heat is pretty extreme, very
22:53extreme in this part of the world. That heat building through Friday probably seem to peak, but even into
22:59Saturday temperatures widely in the high 30s, low 40s. And remember, this is March. This is really remarkable.
23:06Temperatures may even be higher than some of the April records in this part of the world. For those temperatures
23:12to be over 100 degrees Fahrenheit in this part of the world this time of year is unusual. And even
23:17further
23:18north, this is the temperatures for Salt Lake City again from the ECMWF Ensemble. The temperatures aren't
23:25as extreme here because we're further north in Salt Lake City. So the numbers aren't as high. We're going up
23:30to 20 degrees here. The day is going forward here. And these little discs are the temperatures, the box and
23:36whiskers plot from the ensembles. And this red line is the extreme is that is the is the climatological extreme.
23:44So we're
23:44above it Thursday, Friday and Saturday. And only as we head into next week does it start to come below
23:50that extreme. And even
23:51these minimum temperatures, the blue box of whiskers are above the average maximum for the time of year. So it's
23:58really
23:58remarkable the heat that we're going to see in Salt Lake City, as well as points further south across through
24:04California and
24:06Arizona over the course of the next few days. So again, something that we need to take note of, and
24:13something of course exacerbated by our changing climate. Right, was that everything in the United States?
24:20Yeah, I think it pretty much was. Okay, let's bring it back to the UK. Talked about our weather a
24:25little
24:26bit. Let's go into a bit more detail now because it's going to be quite interesting. There's the jet stream
24:30pushing its way further north. And as we go through the next couple of days, there is this weather front.
24:37So it's not going to be sunny everywhere. Let's take that off because it's not going to be sunny
24:41everywhere tomorrow. I want to get that message across as well. We're talking a lot about warm and
24:44sunny weather. And for most of England and Wales, it will be tomorrow cracking day. If you like spring
24:49sunshine, beautiful day. But that old weather front is going to provide quite cloudy skies in this
24:56zone across Northern Ireland and Southern Scotland. And even through Thursday, it's still kind of
25:01hanging around. If anything, the rain could pep up a little bit for a time as we go through
25:09across the southeast of Scotland. And that is in part to do with what we call the necking portion of
25:16the trough. We talked about this trough right at the start as it dips southwards. It's a disrupting
25:21upper trough, which is when it creates its own little low high in the sky. But as it does so,
25:30this little bit where it comes together is called the necking portion. And as that comes together
25:34there, it might just pep up this weather front a little bit. So it's that necking of the jet stream,
25:39or the upper forcing, just pepping up that little weather front there, which is likely to then provide
25:48a bit more in the way of rain as we go through into that southeastern corner of Scotland and just
25:54create a bit more cloud in this zone across Northern England and southeast Scotland during Thursday.
26:02So we're talking about sunny weather for most, but it will be a bit cloudy in Northern Ireland,
26:07Southern Scotland tomorrow, and a bit cloudy in this zone on Thursday, Northeast England and Southeast
26:13Scotland. If we put the winds on, they're not particularly strong, but see where they're coming
26:18from. Again, let's zoom in here. So we're talking a lot about this glorious sunny weather, but notice
26:23the breeze coming in here off the North Sea. Now, you know, if you live in Northeast England or Eastern
26:29Scotland, you know if the breeze is coming in from the North Sea, it's never going to be that warm.
26:32So that will make it quite cool, I suggest, along these temperatures, along these coastlines,
26:37with that breeze coming in, quite grey skies, maybe even a little bit of drizzle here and there.
26:42So that's why we're seeing the temperatures doing what they're doing. If we look at
26:48the projections for the next few days, let's go to Wednesday. So these are the temperatures when
26:53compared to average, and these are kind of broadly speaking, what we'll see 15, 17, 18 degrees,
26:59but I suspect we'll see some pockets a little bit warmer than that. And particularly here,
27:04hopefully you can see this here, the darker reds there in West Wales, because the flow is kind of
27:08coming in from the east, coming over the hills. West Wales likely to see the highest temperatures,
27:13some seven to maybe even nine degrees above average in this part of the world. So temperatures
27:18in West Wales, that's probably where we'll see the peak of the temperatures on Wednesday.
27:21Yeah, quite widely in the mid-teens, pleasant enough. But in West Wales, we could get 20,
27:2521. There is even a chance that we could squeak up to 22 degrees Celsius. Not unprecedented,
27:31but pretty unusual for this early in the year. It's only happened a handful of times in the last
27:36hundred years that we've seen temperatures of 21, 22 degrees in this early in the year. So yeah,
27:44that would be my favorite top temperature. But notice also some darker reds there for North Devon,
27:50northern parts of Cornwall, again, with that shelter with the flow and the way the winds coming
27:54over the hills, the breeze, that's likely to pick those temperatures up here also. But if we go back to
27:59the summary chart, picking out Thursday, not as warm. Notice temperatures a degree or so down,
28:06but still this orange color above average for the time of year by some three to five degrees.
28:12Notice those little pockets there of blue, even slightly cooler than average, perhaps along the
28:18coastline of southeast Scotland, northeast England. So it is going to be cooler there because we've got
28:22that cloudier weather and a little bit of drizzle. But fast forward to Friday's chart and boom,
28:28temperature really jumped up here. We've lost that flow off the sea. We should be seeing a bit more
28:33sunshine. So it's not going to be sunny everywhere all day and it's not going to be warm. It's going
28:38to, the temperatures are going to jump around. This often happens when you've got high pressure
28:41because the wind direction matters most. When you've got high pressure and you've just got gentle
28:47breezes pushing around all weather fronts and all the lumps of cloud. If you're stuck under the cloud,
28:51you've got the breeze off the sea. That's going to be cool, but a subtle shift and suddenly the
28:55temperatures will jump up. So northeast England, southeast Scotland, eastern Scotland in general,
29:01your warmest day is probably likely to be Friday. Whereas other parts of the UK further south,
29:06yeah, be basking in mid-teens on Wednesday, but it will be cooler by the time we get to Friday
29:11because by then the flow is generally coming more in from the east across the south, if that makes sense.
29:17So if we fast forward, there's the high pressure. The high pressure has moved in
29:22to the North Sea and the winds go clockwise around high pressure. Let's take the jet stream off,
29:28don't need that. If we put the low level winds on, pretty subtle, but moving around that so you can
29:33see there's more of an easterly flow across parts of the south. Whereas in that northeastern corner,
29:39the winds will be more coming up from the south and southeast. So just subtle shifts and that's what
29:46gives us meteorologists a bit of a headache in this kind of scenario where the weather patterns are
29:49quite slow moving, where we'll see the highest temperatures always hard to pin down. But most
29:54places seeing quite a bit of sunshine to come over the course of this week. May see some changes as
30:02we
30:02head into the early part of next week, but I'm not going to go into that at this stage. We've
30:08been
30:08around the world, so that's more than enough for me. You can watch the 10-day trend if you want
30:12more on
30:13that. I believe it's Aiden doing that tomorrow. So that'll be available on our YouTube channel
30:18by the middle of the afternoon on Wednesday. So Aiden will be looking at that. What could happen
30:22as we go into next week? Could we start to see a change? But certainly in the short term,
30:26plenty of sunshine around. As I said at the start, please, please hit that thumbs up button,
30:30give us a like, and if you're not following us already, do so and make sure you subscribe and then
30:36you'll be notified when Aiden's 10-day trend does pop up. And share the love. Love hearing your
30:42comments as well. So make sure you're commenting and letting anyone you know who might enjoy these
30:47videos know about them as well. So they can join in and we can just all be one happy meteorological
30:53family. But that's about it from me. Let me know how you thought about the world. Been around the world
30:58today. I know some people really like the global content. Some people may not. So again, let me know
31:03about that in the comments. Do you want more global weather? Or would you rather be just
31:07stuck to the UK kind of stuff? Yeah, all up for grabs, as always, whatever you're feeling,
31:14just drop it in the comments. But that is a long rambling way for me to show up and say
31:19goodbye.
31:20I'll see you again soon.
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