- 3 days ago
This is an in-depth Met Office UK Weather forecast for the next week and beyond. Will it be a wet Bonfire night? And how bad will Typhoon Kalmaegi be in Vietnam. Bringing you this deep dive is Met Office meteorologist Alex Deakin.
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00:00A gusty Guy Fawkes night and a typhoon heading towards Vietnam.
00:05They're the main two topics to discuss in this week's Met Office Deep Dive.
00:10Welcome along. My name's Alex Deakin broadcasting to you from Met Office HQ in Exeter in Devon.
00:17Welcome along. This is your first Deep Dive. Oh, you're in for a treat.
00:21If you're a veteran, then don't forget to share the love.
00:24Let other Met heads know that we do this every Tuesday, 20 minutes, maybe half an hour if you're lucky, of meteorological mayhem.
00:33We'll delve into what's going on with the weather across the UK and this week we'll look a little further afield too.
00:39We love reading your questions and your comments, so please, please, please pile them in.
00:46And don't forget to hit the thumbs up button as well and give us a like on there also.
00:51And, yeah, we'll try and answer as many of those questions as we can maybe in a future Deep Dive or maybe during our live Weather Studio Live,
00:59which we do every Friday at quarter past 12. And it's a special one this week.
01:05I can say no more, but you won't want to miss it.
01:09So, yeah, keep your comments coming in and make sure you're giving us a follow.
01:13Right. OK, what are we talking about this week?
01:17Well, as I said, a bit of Guy Fawkes weather, bonfire night weather and a bit about a typhoon.
01:22But first of all, just a quick mention for something else you want to follow us on as well as YouTube.
01:28You will be wanting to give us a follow on Spotify.
01:31It's relatively new that we're on Spotify, but all of our longer form videos are on there.
01:36So if you like the Deep Dive and you're a subscriber to Spotify, then give us a listen on there.
01:41You can watch as well. The 10 day trends will be on there as well.
01:45And our weekend forecast and our week ahead. All of our long form videos are on Spotify.
01:50So go and give that a view.
01:53Bonfire weather in just a moment.
01:55But first of all, something rather dull.
01:58Well, October, to be exact, these are the sunshine stats for October or rather the lack of sunshine stats standing out like a beacon.
02:09Just parts of northern Scotland there, a blob of yellow, a little fried egg across northern Scotland.
02:15That the only spot that saw more sunshine than average.
02:18A few white patches across northeast England, eastern Scotland, where the sunshine amounts was close to average.
02:25But for most of us, it was a grey October.
02:28We had the anti-cyclonic gloom for a good chunk of the month.
02:31We also had a named storm and the dullest areas, the darkest grey there.
02:36Northern Ireland, parts of West Wales, between 30 and 50 percent.
02:40In fact, I think it was the second dullest on record October for Wales and Northern Ireland for the UK as a whole.
02:47Only 1960 and 1968 have been duller than the October we have just had.
02:53So it was the third dullest on record.
02:55Records for sunshine go back to 1910.
02:58So pretty remarkable.
03:00Also followed on from seven consecutive months of sunnier than average weather, as Aidan talked about in a previous deep dive.
03:09So, yes, after a string of sunny months, we've actually had a very, very dull October.
03:15There's a Met Office blog on that if you want to find out more about the dull October that we have just had.
03:21But the deep dive is more about looking forward than looking back.
03:25So what is going to happen to our weather?
03:27Well, let's take a look at the satellite imagery over the past few days.
03:30It kind of tells the story quite nicely.
03:32A big swirl of cloud there from just before Halloween.
03:36And that's been sweeping its way in from the Atlantic.
03:39That's the way our weather patterns have been over recent days.
03:42We've seen a shift.
03:43We've had the anti-cyclonic gloom with high pressure through a good chunk of October.
03:47But now we've opened the door to westerly winds, swirls of cloud barreling in from the Atlantic.
03:52Over the past couple of days, though, notice a slight shift.
03:55If I just rewind it back to there, instead of the westerly winds, you can just almost see that the flow is becoming more southwesterly.
04:03We've seen the wind switching direction, more of a southwesterly.
04:06And that is going to continue over the next few days.
04:08In fact, we're going to shift the winds around more.
04:10And we'll see more of a southerly in terms of our wind direction over the next couple of days.
04:16Now, when the wind's coming up from the south, of course, that's going to bring warmer air because that's where the warmer weather is.
04:22So this is the bigger picture when we take off the satellites and look at the jet stream, that fast moving ribbon of air high up in the atmosphere.
04:30And it's a big old dip in the jet stream out to the west.
04:34This big trough generating low pressure systems and sending them our way.
04:38And we've got this big dip. And if we play through the next three or four days, it's kind of a repeating cycle.
04:45Notice out here, there is another one of those troughs, another dip here, generating another area of low pressure.
04:52This one will eventually take over.
04:54But in the shorter term, this one is kind of dipping down and kind of being cut off.
04:58It's getting squeezed and it's just forming almost back in on itself and letting these areas of low pressure sit here and gradually drift further north.
05:07So our air is coming up from the south, bringing the moisture up from the Bay of Biscay, bringing low pressure systems, bringing weather fronts.
05:14And that is bringing outbreaks of rain, particularly to western parts of the UK.
05:18By the time we get to what, the end of Thursday, notice that dip in the jet stream, that little trough pretty much been cut off, squeezed completely.
05:26And we're almost back to square one with that second trough driving in.
05:31But everything's just been shifted a little bit further westwards.
05:35And that will continue as we head into the weekend and into next week.
05:39We'll have this kind of repeating pattern.
05:41But the trough, instead of being closer to the UK, more out here, keeping the low pressure systems further away and allowing higher pressure to influence things from the east.
05:50So that's how we go into the weekend and into the early part of next week with the scrap going on between low pressure to the west and high pressure to the east with a southerly wind, perhaps swinging more into a southeasterly.
06:03But in the shorter term, what we do have is wet weather.
06:08Low pressure down to the south generated by this first trough.
06:11Weather fronts pumping up from the south.
06:14And if we put the winds on at the surface and take the high-level winds off, you can see those winds, the isobars squirging together, bringing those brisk southerly winds.
06:25And they're generating quite a bit of mountain waves where the air bounces over the hills.
06:31And we can see that quite nicely on the satellite image from yesterday and again from today.
06:37So this is the picture from yesterday, quite high-resolution picture of the satellite image yesterday afternoon.
06:45You can see these ripples across the south.
06:47You can see where the winds are coming, bouncing up over the hills and they're forming waves.
06:53So the air is forced over the mountain, comes down the other side, and it creates this wave and this little ripple.
07:00It creates pockets of cloud as the air is rising and crests.
07:04You get an area of cloud and then it sinks, but it overshoots and it bounces back up and creates another wave.
07:09So you get these beautiful little ripples.
07:11Now, they look pretty from the satellite image above, but they can be very dangerous because they can create large amounts of turbulence,
07:16depending on how stable the air is and how much of a drop you get, how rapidly the air descends.
07:23For aircraft, they can be quite dangerous things as they form to the lee of mountains.
07:28So this was yesterday's satellite picture.
07:30Today's satellite picture isn't quite as pretty, but it does kind of show them in forming again.
07:37This is from this morning.
07:39It's not quite a high resolution.
07:40It's been a bit slow today, the old touchscreen, isn't it?
07:43Come on, come on, keep up.
07:44You can see them there if you squint a little bit.
07:47There are the little ripples within it, but also a slightly different angle because the winds have changed direction.
07:54The winds have backed and now those ripples are points because the ripples, the waves in the cloud run perpendicular to the way the winds are going.
08:05So the mountains are obviously in different shapes and you need those mountains to create them in the first place.
08:09There's generally quite a bit more cloud around as well.
08:11So it's not as clear cut, but they are in that slightly different orientation because the winds have backed and that will continue.
08:19Those winds will continue to move around more to the south and then perhaps even in from the southeast over the next day or so.
08:25So if you look at what the weather's doing for the next couple of days, you can see that we will see, there's the jet stream, the isobars tightly packed across the country, rain coming up through the rest of today and into tomorrow.
08:39Further pulses of rain coming up.
08:40Let's put it on the just the UK shots to show the UK.
08:44That's Wednesday.
08:45Let's rewind for today because we do have warnings in place as we go through the next.
08:51I've gone back far enough there.
08:52There we go.
08:53I can see pulses of rain through this afternoon and this evening for Wales and southwest England.
08:58We do have Met Office yellow warnings in place.
09:01Those waves, the winds coming up straight from the south.
09:05So over the moors in the southwest, the hills of south Wales, the air is forced up.
09:09Not only did we get those those waves, that bouncing, but it also pushes the air and generates more rain.
09:14So we call it orographic rainfall.
09:16So the rain's really going to be enhanced over the hills and mountains of south Wales and southwest England as we go through the next, well, 12 to 24 hours.
09:25So quite a lot of wet weather to come in this area.
09:27We're going to see more in Cumbria, of course, as well, where we've had quite a lot of heavy rain.
09:33But because they get a bit more shelter here from a southerly, it won't be quite as bad, but in a slightly different orientation to the heavy rain that we've seen over the past couple of days.
09:41We have seen 200 millimetres, I think even more than 300 millimetres over some of the hills of Cumbria of late.
09:47So any more rainfall not welcome here.
09:49But you can see in the next, what's that, 12, 20 hours or so, more rain to come for particularly western areas.
09:55And then tomorrow that pulse of rain will be more across Scotland again there.
09:59You can see the pulse over the southern uplands and the higher ground bearing the brunt of that heavy rain.
10:05As we see, there's winds coming up from the south, pushed up over the mountains, and that generates more rainfall on the mountains.
10:14And then on the lee of the mountains, you get the waving effects of those winds.
10:18So let's have a look at a bit more detail as we go through Wednesday, because a lot of people will be heading out tomorrow evening.
10:23If we just kind of pause it there, you can see there's a front bringing a band of thicker rain across parts of Scotland.
10:31So for bonfire night, what time do people head out bonfire night?
10:36Six o'clock, seven o'clock?
10:39Let's pause it at eight o'clock there.
10:41Actually, likely to be quite wet across parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland with that weather front sitting in place.
10:47But for a good part of England and Wales, and possibly Northern Ireland, the rain may be out of the way.
10:52Yes, I'd like to see a few showers here and there.
10:54But actually, a good part of England and Wales is probably going to be dry through the evening time for the bonfire.
11:00Now, bonfires will be pretty wet, particularly in western areas, from the rainfall over the next 24 hours.
11:05But certainly for bonfire night, if you're heading out, it is likely to be largely dry across England and Wales.
11:12Fairly cloudy, a bit dank, and it's certainly going to be mild,
11:16because those winds are coming up from the south.
11:18They're going to bring very mild air.
11:21Let's look at the temperatures for the next few days,
11:23and we'll see just how temperatures are going to be significantly above average.
11:28These are the daytime temperatures.
11:30If it brightens up, we could easily get to 17, maybe 18 degrees.
11:33These are above average for the time of year, right across the board.
11:36But let's look at the nighttime temperatures,
11:38because they're even more impressive in terms of being above average.
11:42Look at these numbers.
11:43Maybe some towns and cities staying in the teens, Wednesday night, Thursday night.
11:48Again, parts of northern Scotland there just poking out with some colder air, perhaps lingering.
11:52But even here, by Thursday, as that warmer air is pushed further north,
11:56temperatures could stay in double figures.
11:59So getting pretty mild.
12:00Well, it's been quite mild this week, but staying quite mild, particularly by night.
12:04Signs of it turning perhaps a little cooler by Friday.
12:06But even these numbers are above average.
12:08And these kind of numbers for Thursday would be fairly typical for daytime maxes,
12:14if not slightly above the average for the daytime max.
12:17And that's the nighttime minimum.
12:19So temperatures aren't going to drop.
12:20So you will not necessarily need your hat and your scarf this bonfire night if you are heading out,
12:25because it will be on the mild side.
12:27As we've seen, it could be quite wet across parts of Scotland,
12:30but elsewhere, decent chance that it's going to be dry.
12:33But I did mention those winds, and they're still coming up from the south,
12:36which is why it's quite mild.
12:38But they're all still also going to be a little bit gusty in places.
12:44Now, this is the projected wind gusts for six o'clock on the night of the 5th,
12:51showing where we could see some gusty conditions.
12:54I've just noticed this pattern.
12:56You've got that ripple effect that we saw earlier from the mountain waves.
13:00The wind's coming up from the south,
13:01and so you're getting these lines where the air is bouncing over higher ground,
13:06bouncing over the land, and creating these ripples.
13:08You can see them there.
13:09Let's zoom in a little bit, and you can actually see a bit closer there.
13:12That's southeast England.
13:13That's the south coast of England.
13:15So a lively gusts over the channel.
13:17But then you get this kind of rippling effect as the winds swing around,
13:20and you get the south down, the children's creating these tiny little ripples.
13:25Now, these winds are not particularly strong.
13:26The gusts are, what, 25 to 30 knots, so 28 to 35 miles,
13:34and now perhaps up to 35 knots maybe in places.
13:36So we're not going to be showing a warning for that,
13:39but just quite noticeable that some areas will have those gusts, gusty conditions.
13:44And it could be very gusty in one place, say, along this line here,
13:47but, you know, 20 miles further away, you don't have that gustiness
13:52because the winds aren't bouncing down.
13:53They're going back up again here.
13:54So quite interesting to see the variation in wind speeds across the country,
13:59and that's quite a factor if you are going out to a bonfire.
14:02You want to be on the south side of that bonfire
14:04because it will be blowing the flames and blowing the smoke around quite a bit there.
14:08Notice the stronger gusts there through the Irish Sea again
14:11with those southerly winds coming over the Welsh mountains.
14:14Those mountains having a bigger effect, creating some gusts,
14:16and, of course, you're over the sea there as well,
14:18so you've got less of a frictional factor.
14:20But, yes, just quite interesting there to see how those winds will be changing and gusting
14:25as they bounce up from the south during bonfire nights.
14:30And interesting as we get into the weekend as well, as the winds fall lighter,
14:34then that could generate some more mist and fog.
14:36Obviously, the 5th of November is bonfire now,
14:38but we know that there's many firework displays that go on into the weekend.
14:42So that is something that could be a factor as we head into the weekend
14:46because the winds are likely to be easing off a bit.
14:50I've lost my graphics there. There we go.
14:52The winds are likely to be easing off a little bit.
14:55And with all the extra pollutants from bonfires and from fireworks,
14:58it increases the chance of fog.
14:59So, actually, this time of year is generally the foggiest
15:02because of those extra pollutants in the air.
15:04So as the winds fall lighter, an increased chance of fog into the weekend,
15:08when, of course, firework displays will be continuing.
15:10But there's unlikely, we're unlikely to see much in the way of mist and fog
15:15the morning after this bonfire because the winds are remaining fairly gusty
15:18and that mixes the air up and it doesn't allow the fog patches to form.
15:22So, yeah, quite a bit of interesting meteorology going on this Guy Fawkes night.
15:27OK, let's take a look now at what's going on elsewhere around the world.
15:33I mentioned at the start there is a typhoon.
15:35It's just clearing away from the Philippines and it made landfall.
15:42This is a tweet from our Met Office Storms account run by Julian Hemming, friend of the show.
15:48He's been on regularly, expert in all things to do with typhoons and hurricanes,
15:53tropical expert when it comes to meteorology.
15:57He runs this account.
15:58If you're on Twitter, follow Met Office Storms posting about how it made landfall across the Philippines.
16:05You can just about see it in there.
16:06And where's it going to go next?
16:08Well, it's just coming out the other side of the Philippines, or it was this morning.
16:12And this is the projection from the JMA, the Japanese Meteorological Agency.
16:17And it crossed the Philippines.
16:18The Philippines quite fragmented landmass.
16:21Obviously, lots of islands involved.
16:23So it didn't break up as storms would do if they hit a larger landmass.
16:28These kind of storms, typhoons, hurricanes, of course, fueled by the warm seas.
16:32But it did break up a little bit as it crossed the land.
16:34So it hit, as I believe, equivalent Category 2 hurricane.
16:39Weakened a little bit.
16:39But it is expected to move out into open waters again.
16:44South China Sea is quite warm at the moment.
16:46So it will be moving out over these warm waters, unaffected by land.
16:50It's expected to intensify somewhat and, again, hit into, slam into Vietnam.
16:57And this could cause some further problems.
16:59Wind strengths, as it makes landfall Thursday, likely to be about 110, maybe 115 miles an hour.
17:07So on the cusp of what would be between a Category 2 and a Category 3 storm.
17:10That is pretty powerful.
17:12And it's also going to drop quite a lot of rainfall in this part of the world as well
17:16and generate quite a big storm surge.
17:19Let's take a look at how we're expecting it to move.
17:24Don't need the jet stream for this.
17:27Let's have a look at its path.
17:31So here we have it.
17:32So just clearing away from the Philippines in the next, well, right now, really, to be fair.
17:38It's pushing out into the South China Sea.
17:42And it will intensify a little bit as it crosses and as it heads towards Vietnam during tomorrow.
17:48And then expected to have its outer fingers of the rain and the cloud reaching the coast of Vietnam as we go through Thursday and then into Thursday night and Friday morning their time.
17:59And that's when some of the worst impacts are likely to be as that storm, let's zoom in a little bit, arrives on the shore there of Vietnam.
18:11Nine o'clock Thursday evening our time.
18:14So that'll be Friday morning their time as it comes in here.
18:17Again, still quite a lively storm, as I said, could easily still have winds gusting over 110 miles an hour.
18:24So that is going to bring some problems with in terms of its rain, in terms of its wind strength.
18:28But it's also going to generate quite a big storm surge, maybe as much as three meter storm surge on its northern flank.
18:35So with these with these storms, the winds drawing in around the low pressure, pushing up.
18:41It's going to the low itself will lift the sea level a little bit.
18:45And then you're going to get that pushing in of the winds as they come around.
18:48And that is going to generate quite a significant storm surge, maybe as much as three meter storm surge.
18:52That could cause some flooding in its own right.
18:55And then we've got the rainfall as well.
18:58If you look at some of the rainfall, how that's going to move in.
19:04If we head across the world again to Vietnam, see some pretty heavy rain.
19:10Monsoon rains there in Myanmar.
19:13But over the next, let's fast forward.
19:15You can see there's the rainfall coming in there.
19:17There's Vietnam.
19:18As that storm system moves in, we are going to see some pretty heavy rain during the course.
19:22of the night, Thursday night into Friday morning, UK time before it moves inland.
19:28Then it will weaken as these storms do.
19:30They lose their fuel from the warm seas, but still dropping quite a bit of rain in this area.
19:35We could see 100, 200 millimeters of rainfall at low levels quite widely in this part of the world,
19:43maybe as much as 400 millimeters over the hills.
19:46And it could be more than that.
19:47The models have been struggling with this storm a little bit.
19:50So that part of Vietnam only gets about 500 millimeters of rain through November.
19:54So we could be seeing a month's worth of rain in just a few days from this storm system as it moves in.
20:00So it could be causing some significant problems.
20:02As we talked about, the wind, that storm surge and the heavy rain.
20:06So it's a triple edged sword, if you like.
20:08And they've already been suffering from flooding in this part of the world across parts of Vietnam, too.
20:12So this could be quite a significant storm system that hits over the rest of this week into the weekend.
20:18And then there is potentially another system behind that, which also needs watching because that is developing.
20:27I must have a word with Aidan about getting this.
20:29Why?
20:30It's gone back to the UK, hasn't it?
20:31It always goes back to the UK.
20:33It's the default position.
20:34But, yeah, it'd be better if it had stayed where I was looking, wouldn't it?
20:37But, you know, something to work on.
20:39So as Calmargi moves away, there is then this next system coming in.
20:48Tropical Depression B, it is called at the moment.
20:51But this one has the potential to intensify further as we go into the weekend.
20:56Could well become another typhoon.
20:59Needs watching.
20:59Again, favorable conditions for that to develop as we go through the weekend and into next week.
21:04A lot of uncertainty about the track of this one.
21:07It could head into the Philippines.
21:08It could be curved further north.
21:10So far from certain about the path of that one.
21:13But it does need watching because it has the potential to develop into another very powerful typhoon in this part of the world.
21:20So, again, something we'll be keeping an eye on.
21:22Met Office Storms and Julian will be keeping an eye on as well over the next few days.
21:30Right.
21:30Let's get back to the UK.
21:32See what's going to happen for us.
21:33As I mentioned or hinted at over the course of the weekend, we are potentially seeing a bit of a switch around.
21:41If we fast forward to Saturday, by the time we get to Saturday, notice the isobars are opening up.
21:48So that's what I'll talk about with the lighter winds, potentially bringing some mistier mornings, a lot of moisture from the rainfall we've seen this week.
21:55So misty, murky conditions.
21:57There is a little low in there, which could generate a bit of rain.
22:02Notice how this trough and the jets can squeeze, but it's still there before this one takes over and starts to slowly try and threaten weather fronts from the west.
22:12But high pressure is building.
22:13So we've got this scrap into the weekend.
22:15We're kind of stuck in the middle, probably with some moisture.
22:17So some outbreaks of showery rain and also the potential for some morning mist and fog as things turn a little bit cooler.
22:24But generally, it looks a bit drier.
22:27As we head into Sunday and into next week, we've lost that arm of the jet stream.
22:33Again, this one is still out here, but it's much weaker and it's not really pushing this low in anymore.
22:39That's going to stick out to the west, allowing higher pressure to build in from the east.
22:44And we're going to have that battleground going on.
22:46It looks like this weather front will provide some rain in from the west during the course of Sunday.
22:51Let's show that on the UK scale.
22:54We will see some more rain returning from the west as that front pushes in by the time we get to Sunday, later on Sunday.
23:03And then we continue with the winds coming up from the south.
23:07So it is quite mild, but it's not as mild as it has been.
23:11What happens after that?
23:13Well, that's the big question, as always.
23:17And if we look at...
23:19That's not the right one.
23:20That's the one I want.
23:21If we look at the most likely weather patterns as we go into next week, there's a lot more red on the chart,
23:28which is slower moving weather systems often dominated by high pressure.
23:32So for the next couple of days, we've got the lows coming in from the south.
23:36The low tracking south, that's that pale blue color.
23:38But then the reds take over as we go into the weekend, early part of next week.
23:42A lot of dominant red.
23:43Scandinavian high.
23:44High pressure sitting here.
23:46Take that rainfall off.
23:47High pressure here into next week.
23:52It's that one.
23:52That's the right one.
23:53So high pressure here.
23:54The winds more coming in from the southeast.
23:57So we've got the winds at the moment coming from the southwest.
23:59They turn more to the south as we go through the middle of the week.
24:02May turn back a bit southwesterly for the weekend.
24:05But then into next week, more coming up from the southeast.
24:08Now, if this were a summer situation, we'd be looking at some really high temperatures with the air coming up from the south.
24:16Scandinavian high.
24:17Low pressure out to the west.
24:19And we'd be looking at some drawing up some very warm air from the near continent.
24:23If it were a winter situation, then we'd be talking about cold air coming in from the east.
24:29But we're not in either, really.
24:30The continents across Europe has started to cool down.
24:33So it's not as hot as it was over the summer.
24:35But it's far from cold at this time of year.
24:37So with these southeasterly winds, actually, probably likely to see temperatures close to average as we head into certainly the early to middle part of next week, with high pressure set to dominate up to the northeast.
24:49Then, well, it looks like high pressure, the darker reds take over.
24:53And high pressure is more likely to be sitting up somewhere towards the north of the UK.
24:57And in that setup, well, we do drag in more of an easterly wind.
25:01Now, that would allow it to turn a little bit colder, certainly across eastern areas with the breeze in from the sea.
25:07Whereas further west, those temperatures would probably still be close to average.
25:10I think I could show you that if Aiden's funky new charts work, showing the potential temperature.
25:18If we look at the ensembles, when we run the models many times, you can get a trend for how the temperature may be changing over the coming days.
25:29Now, this is, I picked this spot here, just to the west of Northern Ireland.
25:34And this is the temperature profile.
25:36And that's when you run the ensemble many times.
25:38Each of those green lines represents one of those model runs.
25:42Now, you get a lot of noise after a while, but you can still see the signal.
25:45So you get that variation day and night.
25:47So you can see that day and night pattern.
25:49But also, you can see generally temperatures, well, may dip off a little bit here.
25:55Generally speaking, you get more of a messy signal by the time you get to the middle part of next week.
26:01But if I switch this dot to where it's looking at somewhere near Norwich, then again, you've got that daily oscillation in the temperatures.
26:10But you can see quite clearly here, more of a drop.
26:13There is a drop in the average temperatures.
26:16So we are going to see things cooling down.
26:18Whoops, very sensitive now, isn't it?
26:21You can see that drop in the temperatures further east as we're more likely to see the influence of the winds from the North Sea.
26:27And we are like to see things cooling down.
26:29Still only nothing cold.
26:31It's just back closer to average across those eastern areas because at the moment it is exceptionally mild.
26:36But there is a definite trend there with those temperatures, certainly across the east.
26:39For the west, the message is a bit messier because low pressures could be edging in from the west.
26:45And generally, the winds remain from the south or the southwest rather than from the east as they're coming in from the east here.
26:52So, yeah, quite interesting to see how that pans out.
26:55We see that temperature dropping, but as I said, it doesn't look exceptionally cold.
26:59The continent isn't particularly cold at the moment.
27:01The North Sea isn't especially cold, just colder than it has been.
27:04Of course, if you're on the coast on the North Sea and the wind is coming in from the North Sea, it's going to feel pretty chilly.
27:10But actually, those numbers won't be much away from the average for the time of year.
27:16I think that's probably about it from me for this week.
27:20Thank you very much for watching.
27:21As I said, if you've got any comments, questions, queries, do pop them in the chat.
27:26We do try and read them all.
27:27We do love all of your comments and any suggestions for how we can improve our content, not just our deep dives, but anything to do with the Met Office content.
27:36Big shout out to Greg, who's been recording me today.
27:38Thank you very much for that, Greg.
27:40And do join us for the live on Friday, a very special one this Friday.
27:48Can I give you any secrets away?
27:50No, it'll just be a very special quiz.
27:51There might just be more than the normal number of presenters in.
27:55So, yeah, tune in for that on Friday at 12.15.
27:59But from me, for now, thank you very much for watching and I'll see you soon.
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