00:00I know what you're thinking. You're a bit tired of the fine, often sunny weather that we've had for the
00:05last week or so.
00:06And so I have some good news. Things are going to turn colder and wetter as we go through this
00:11week.
00:12We've already seen some cloud and some rain across northwestern parts on Monday because of a front that's pushing its
00:17way through.
00:18That front is gradually then going to make its way southwards as we go through Tuesday as well.
00:23And a waving feature is likely to pep up that rain as well across parts of maybe southern Northern Ireland,
00:29parts of northern, northwestern England, also North Wales.
00:32That's where we're likely to see some heavy rain as that front is edging southwards and then that frontal wave
00:37interacts with it.
00:38To the south of this, staying mostly dry, a few outbreaks of rain, cloudier than it has been of late.
00:43Further north, we have some fairly frequent showers following in from this band of rain and colder air here as
00:50well.
00:50So it is going to feel markedly colder than it has been recently.
00:53That being said, towards the south, still holding up with those temperatures around a little bit above average.
00:59So mid-teens here, stronger winds, though, and that cloud making it feel a little bit cooler, not as warm
01:05as it has done recently.
01:06And yeah, a real contrast north to south with our temperatures markedly colder across northern parts with that colder air
01:12coming in behind this front.
01:14We do need to look at the rainfall amounts that we're going to see as we go through Tuesday.
01:18If we just run it through, and initially it's starting off wet across north and western parts, like I said,
01:24but as that front pushes its way southwards, there will be rain reaching kind of many parts in the northern
01:30two-thirds of the UK.
01:31But it's that swathe of rain that comes through as we go through the second half of the day, really,
01:36where we could see some particularly high totals over the higher ground of northwest England, maybe north Wales as well.
01:42We're talking 20 to 40 millimetres relatively widely in these areas, and perhaps 50, 70 millimetres in some places.
01:50Now, it has been quite dry recently in these areas, and so we're not expecting any significant major impacts.
01:58But nonetheless, that's a fairly substantial amount of rain to come as we go through Tuesday.
02:03Then, as I mentioned, we have colder air coming in behind the front.
02:06So, as it continues its way southeastwards overnight Tuesday night into Wednesday, colder air plummets its way across the country.
02:14So, all of us will be feeling the chill by the time that we get to Wednesday.
02:18The more persistent rain will have cleared through overnight, and then we'll be left with a showery day.
02:22So, there will be some breaks in the showers, some bright, sunny spells.
02:26But those showers could be heavy, they could be thunder at times, and there could be some hail, also some
02:31wintryness.
02:32There's some sleet, some snow mixed in with them, particularly over our higher ground of Scotland.
02:36But a little bit further south as well, we could see some over the higher ground of parts of England,
02:41Wales and Northern Ireland,
02:42perhaps even a little bit to some lower levels.
02:44So, really, any accumulating, any lying snow is going to be largely confined just to the hills and the mountains
02:50of Scotland.
02:51But if we look at those temperatures, well, it is going to be cold.
02:54I already mentioned that colder air coming through.
02:57They're going to be several degrees lower than what we've seen of late, especially in the south,
03:01the marked contrast to what we're going to see through Tuesday.
03:04And we also, despite the fact that there will be those sunny spells, need to factor in some strong gusty
03:09winds.
03:09The strongest gust will be in association with any heavier showers that pass through.
03:13But generally, it is going to be a blustery day.
03:15And so, when we look at the feels-like temperature for Wednesday, well, some places, particularly around parts of Scotland,
03:22it's going to feel sub-zero.
03:23It's a really raw feel to things.
03:25Such a difference to what we saw a week ago when we had temperatures several degrees above average.
03:31Then, as we go through Wednesday night into Thursday, we do have high pressure towards the southwest of us.
03:37That's going to help settle things down.
03:39Things are going to quieten.
03:41We're going to see the winds easing a little bit.
03:42And we're going to see some of those showers dying out.
03:45Still, a few showers in a couple of places.
03:47And, worth bearing in mind, it is going to be a cold night.
03:51Temperatures are likely to drop quite widely close to, if not below freezing.
03:55Prone rural spots will drop a few degrees below.
03:58We're talking minus 4, minus 5 Celsius in some places.
04:01So, it could be a bit frosty, some harsh frost perhaps, in a few places.
04:04And also, watch out for some icy patches as well, where we've had those showers during the daytime,
04:09where we see any further showers coming through overnight into Thursday morning.
04:13It could be some particularly slippery surfaces.
04:15So, that could cause some issues, first thing on Thursday.
04:18One caveat will be, yes, it is still going to be a bit blustery.
04:22And so, that may stop temperatures dropping as low, may stop ice forming as widely as we might otherwise see
04:29with this kind of setup,
04:30with clearer skies and the cold air that we have across us.
04:33That cold air continues to linger across the UK as we go through Thursday.
04:38In fact, the air could get ever so slightly colder, but less likely to see sleet and snow because it
04:43looks a little bit drier.
04:44There will be a few showers around.
04:45So, where we see those showers, they could have a wintry element to them.
04:49But generally, Thursday is looking like a mostly dry day for many of us.
04:53Not totally dry.
04:54You can see some showers, but some rain, maybe a bit of sleet mixed in with those pushing their way
04:57southwards across England as we go through the day.
05:00And then later on, across Northern Ireland, Western Scotland, the cloud builds and we see rain arriving again.
05:06Now, temperatures on paper for Thursday, similar to Wednesday really, so still feeling pretty cold.
05:11But the winds will be ever so slightly lighter.
05:14There will be a decent amount of bright or sunny weather for many of us.
05:18So, feeling slightly less cold for many of us, despite the fact that temperatures will still be several degrees below
05:24average for the time of year.
05:26Then into Friday, and that frontal system that arrives later on in the northwest on Thursday, that makes its way
05:33southeastward.
05:34So, likely to see some fairly wet weather overnight into Friday and then starting the day quite cloudy, quite wet
05:39across the bulk of England and Wales.
05:41The exact timing of this feature, well, that's a little bit uncertain at this sort of lead time.
05:45But nonetheless, clinging on to some wetter weather for a little while longer across parts of the southeast may take
05:50a while to clear here.
05:51Further north, we see something a bit brighter, a bit sunnier maybe, but also the return of showers coming in,
05:56particularly across Northern Western Scotland, also Northern Ireland.
05:59Some blustery winds piling them through.
06:01One thing to highlight for Friday, there is the potential for another wavy feature to come in.
06:06And so, that could bring more persistent wet weather to parts of the south-southwest, also parts of Wales as
06:12we go through Friday.
06:12But a bit of uncertainty about this.
06:15It may not actually push through.
06:16So, whilst it's looking quite cloudy, quite wet here on my graphics for the latter part of Friday, not especially
06:22confident as to exactly how wet, if at all, it's going to be.
06:26Temperatures will be starting to creep up as we go through into Friday, but it's still going to be quite
06:31blustery.
06:32Winds picking up, particularly towards the northwest, and if you're stuck under the cloud, and if that rain does come,
06:37well, it's not going to feel especially warm, but just not as bitterly cold as it may feel for some
06:42in those strong winds during the middle part of the week.
06:45Then, there's more, well, changeable weather to come as we go into the weekend.
06:50We will, of course, be updating you as we get nearer the time.
06:54We constantly update our forecasts through the week.
06:57Make sure you are subscribed to our YouTube channel so you never miss one of those updates.
07:01Obviously, we have the deep dive, the 10-day trend, which will give you all the details you'll need as
07:06we get closer towards the weekend.
07:07Bye-bye.
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