00:00So this week's getting off to quite an unsettled stormy start with Storm Chandra pushing its way in and then there's more unsettled weather to come really as we go through the week.
00:10Now Storm Chandra, a developing feature to the southwest of the UK, it's going to push its way northwards and we've already had some heavy rain ahead of this through Monday across parts of the southwest but then more wet and very windy weather making its way in as we go overnight Monday and into Tuesday.
00:26Looking at the details then, lots of warnings out for rain, wind, also some snow over parts of northern England but yes a band of heavy rain making its way northwards and as that hits against cold air across northern parts well we are going to see some sleet and snow.
00:38We're talking the potential for 10 to 20 centimetres over higher ground but it's perhaps the rain in the southwest through the early hours and the strong winds particularly across eastern parts of Northern Ireland which are the greatest cause for concern.
00:52Now temperature wise, well they're near normal for the time of year, a little bit below towards the north and obviously with the rain, the snow and some strong winds it's going to feel pretty cold.
01:02Even elsewhere, even though temperatures for some towards the southwest are going to be getting into double figures, well we have these strong gusty winds with plenty of showers coming in behind that initial band of rain and so yeah, feeling pretty cold indeed.
01:14Let's look at some of those figures then, starting off with the rain and here we have our rolling or 12 hour rainfall totals as we go through the end of Monday and into Tuesday and you can see it's across, yes parts of Wales seeing some significant amounts of rain building up.
01:29Also Northern Ireland could see 70 millimetres perhaps here, but it's in across parts of the southwest where we've had so much rain recently.
01:36The ground is so saturated that with the potential for 60 to 80 millimetres to come really as we go through Monday night into Tuesday, well some further flooding is really likely, hence why there's an amber warning there.
01:48We also have an amber warning out for strong winds across eastern parts of Northern Ireland.
01:52That's because they're going to whip up through the Irish Sea as Storm Chandra makes its way northwards.
01:58Now it's going to lead to the winds coming from a slightly different direction to usual.
02:02We're used to winds coming from the west, the southwest, but at times they will be coming from the southeast, both in parts of Northern Ireland, also across parts of the southwest and so that could make the issues a little bit worse because of that difference in wind direction.
02:17Also worth noting, this is coming so quickly on the back of Storm Goretti, places particularly in Cornwall still recovering from that, so that's why the issues are going to be worse.
02:26But yes, gusts of 70, 75 miles per hour, perhaps even stronger than that in some places.
02:31Then as we go overnight Tuesday and into Wednesday, Storm Chandra does actually then clear away towards the west.
02:36There's another feature named Storm Joseph by the, I think the Portuguese Met Service, and it kind of gets swallowed up by that.
02:43And so as a result, we start to see the weather quietening down a little bit, not turning completely quiet, but actually on Wednesday, a lot of dry weather around for many of us, even a decent amount of sunshine, particularly across central and perhaps some eastern parts.
02:56That being said, some rain and some hilt snow across parts of northeastern Scotland, and also some wet weather still, and some strong gusty winds across western parts, both Northern Ireland, parts of Wales, southwest England, seeing some further cloudy wet weather.
03:10But in between, actually a fairly decent dry day for some, and temperatures, well, near normal or ever so slightly below, mid to high single figures or just about getting into double digits for many places.
03:21Then through into Thursday, we're still, Chandra's still there out to the west of us, but definitely less of an influence for sure.
03:31And then, well, there's a front coming in, but it's not going to be particularly active.
03:35So we kind of start Thursday on a similar note to how we ended Wednesday, really, cloud and rain across western parts in particular.
03:43In the east-northeast, a bit of rain and some hill snow.
03:46And worth bearing in mind, actually, slightly colder air coming in across northern parts as we go through Thursday.
03:52So the chance of seeing some winteriness, some sleet, some snow, that actually increases as we go through the end of the week.
03:57So a greater chance of some disruptive snow here all the time.
04:01In between, yes, perhaps a bit cloudier on Thursday than on Wednesday, but there will actually, again, be a lot of dry weather around a different story to the wet weather that's returning across parts of the southwest.
04:11We need to keep an eye on these rainfall totals because they are going to be building up.
04:14Then looking ahead to Friday and more unsettled weather coming, really, we have low pressure, not particularly deep air of low pressure, but low pressure nonetheless to the southwest of the UK.
04:24So some strong gusty winds once more and more wet weather to come.
04:28A lot of that pushing its way across more central areas as we go through Friday.
04:32And with that colder air still across northern parts, we could once more see some sleet, some snow over higher ground, not particularly high ground, but modest high ground could see some snow building up, mainly northern England, but mainly northern England and also Scotland as it pushes its way in as well.
04:50Now, temperatures, again, near normal for the time of year towards the south and the winds lighter here than I will have seen earlier on.
04:58So starting to feel less raw, but across northern parts, actually that colder air digging in a little bit more.
05:04So temperatures, if anything, a little bit lower than earlier on in the week.
05:09I did highlight the fact that we are going to see rainfall totals building up.
05:12So let's look at our rolling rainfall total accumulations as we go through the last few days of this week.
05:17And you can see, well, across northern Ireland, some significant rain building up here.
05:21Also across eastern parts of Scotland, worth highlighting that, because that rain that just lingers there through much of the week, we're going to see some high totals.
05:28But it's particularly across parts of Wales, particularly southern Wales, and also southwest England, where we have the Amber Warning currently for Storm Chandra.
05:36But we've seen so much rain.
05:37Some places have already seen more than their winter's worth of rainfall, and we're only just over halfway through winter, meteorologically speaking.
05:45And so it's been so wet, particularly through the last week or so here.
05:49And so with more rain to come with Storm Chandra and then more rain to come through this week, we are going to see some ongoing issues with the risk of some more flooding.
05:57Beyond that, and there are some signs that the weekend could start fairly dry for many places, maybe a bit of sunshine breaking through.
06:05But even if it does start largely dry, it doesn't look like that theme's going to last more unsettled weather arriving from the west.
06:12And so, yes, we're going to expect some further heavy rain and also some stronger winds.
06:16So at the moment, Saturday looks like the drier day of the weekend, but it's a little way ahead.
06:22And so, you know, you'll want to firm up on the details as we get nearer the time.
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06:29Bye-bye.
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