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Hürmüz boğazının kapatılmasının gübre ve enerji fiyatlarına, tarıma etkilerini; Tarım Bakanlığının bu fiyat artışlarına karşı tedbirlerini A.A. Tarım Haberleri Md. Yrd. Mustafa Çalkaya ile değerlendirdik.🌾
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00:00Greetings to the valued followers of the International Association of Agricultural Cities.
00:04We are with the English Cities Agriculture Agenda Program.
00:08We are with Mustafa Çalkay, Deputy Director of Agriculture at Anadolu Agency.
00:13Welcome, Mr. Mustafa.
00:15Nice to meet you. Hello Mr. Mahmut Ali.
00:18There is a war agenda, and rising activity, especially in fertilizer and diesel fuel.
00:24It seems agriculture will face another serious cost crisis.
00:29And in this sense, we discussed the agricultural impacts of the war to some extent last week, but
00:34It seems like it got a bit more detailed this week.
00:38What is it and what isn't it?
00:39We'll get the details about that soon, God willing.
00:40Here you go.
00:42Now the details are clearer, and there's another issue here.
00:44Now, as long as this war continues, we will constantly bring this issue up.
00:48Because prices are constantly rising, and new issues and new measures are constantly emerging.
00:54As I mentioned on the first day, yes, when we say Birhulmuz Strait,
00:57When we think of the Gulf region, the first thing that comes to mind is energy prices.
01:01Energy prices have increased very sharply.
01:03In fact, Birentepro surpassed $100 tonight, and as of this evening, it has established its price range.
01:11So price increases are happening very quickly.
01:13Higher than expected.
01:14What criteria do we use to determine this?
01:16Four years ago, during the Russia-Ukraine war, prices also jumped dramatically.
01:20Now, when we look at the price sell-off over the past week...
01:23Fertilizer prices have increased much faster in just one week than they did four years ago.
01:29So there has been an increase in fertilizer prices of approximately 35%.
01:33It was around $450.
01:35The war, which first started on February 28th, can be considered its closing day on Earth.
01:39It has now surpassed $600, and there is a price increase driven by the accumulation of gold.
01:46So what do we do in this situation?
01:47So, as a country, as Türkiye, what are we doing?
01:49We've been saying this from day one.
01:50Minister of Agriculture and Forestry, İbrahim Yumaklı, had already said it.
01:53We are taking all necessary precautions.
01:55There are no problems in our country.
01:56He also stated that there would be no problems in terms of food supply.
02:00Therefore, we have now started to see these measures implemented as of last week.
02:04What happened first?
02:05Firstly, customs duties were eliminated on the import side.
02:10So, 40% of the world's livestock comes from ammonia-based fertilizers, but these fertilizers are also found in other countries.
02:18Therefore, the way was paved for Türkiye to import fertilizers from other countries.
02:21To enable the country to import fertilizer more quickly.
02:25On the other hand, a statement came from the agricultural, credit, and fertilizer companies.
02:29Because it was said that there was a limit on fertilizer sales.
02:32No, it has become clear that there are no restrictions on fertilizer sales.
02:36And this means there will be no fertilizer shortage during the spring fertilization period,
02:41It was emphasized that there is enough fertilizer in the country to meet the needs of all producers.
02:46But our producers, our farmers, of course, want to make purchases much faster by following the market a little.
02:53This can, of course, increase prices a bit.
02:56But once again, gold...
02:58Yes, this is precisely the atmosphere of panic.
03:02Unfortunately, everyone in the industry benefits from this.
03:05Therefore, we should avoid doing this for a while longer.
03:08Because, as I said, the Minister of Agriculture and Forestry, İbrahim İmok, also made a statement.
03:10The Ministry of Trade also issued a statement.
03:12And according to the statement from the Ministry of Trade, after a regulation,
03:17Daily assets, after you reset them, are all points to keep in mind.
03:21It was emphasized that efforts were made to ensure food supply security and prevent price increases.
03:27So, this is what I mean.
03:28There's no need to panic right now.
03:30There is no fertilizer shortage.
03:32In conclusion, we can say that every demand creates its own supply, and there will be no shortage here, as supply generates its own demand.
03:38Currently, from our country's perspective, we can at least obtain the fertilizers we need from other countries as well.
03:45This is how it should be evaluated.
03:47Here's the situation with the latest request.
03:48Minister of Agriculture and Forestry Ibrahim Ibrahim Ibrahim has also added these measures to the list.
03:53There are further measures we can and will take.
03:56We are working with them, he said.
03:58So, it's fair to say that there aren't many situations like this that will arise.
04:03But from our country's perspective, prices are increasing, of course.
04:06This should not be overlooked either.
04:08When we look at this from the perspective of energy costs, as you mentioned yesterday regarding oil,
04:15I think he found it for around $115.
04:19Of course, this doesn't automatically reflect on us at the same rate.
04:22So, it seems they've switched to a sliding scale wagering system, right?
04:27So what is it related to this?
04:29So, the price increase isn't the same percentage?
04:32Can I explain what it is?
04:34Because the government says, "Look, there's normally a price index for gasoline."
04:40So there's an index that says, "When Brent oil is this much, oil in Türkiye is this much."
04:45There's a special consumption tax aspect here.
04:48Let's proceed with simple logic now.
04:50While fuel prices should increase by 10 lira, in Türkiye, thanks to the sliding scale system, the state covers 75% of this increase, or 7.5 lira, through the Special Consumption Tax (ÖTV).
05:00It welcomes.
05:01So, the government is giving up the 7.5 lira per liter excise tax.
05:08The price increase reflected there is reflected as 2.5 lira.
05:12So this is actually a situation that benefits us and the citizens.
05:16Of course, there is a system here that waives the Special Consumption Tax.
05:19I don't know how much water can laugh.
05:20But it has now been surpassed.
05:22It can be temporary.
05:23That's just how it is, as I said.
05:25This is important for us, it's important for our producers, and it's a significant issue for many sectors outside of agriculture: the increase in fuel prices.
05:34It affects agriculture the most, doesn't it?
05:36Fuel and energy directly affect agriculture the most.
05:38Actually, it affects a lot, in fact, if you ask me, it mostly affects opportunists.
05:42This is a prime example of opportunists immediately raising prices because diesel prices have increased.
05:47I think this sliding scale wage system is very good in that sense.
05:49So right now, with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the war, Türkiye has taken two measures due to that crisis.
05:57In order to prevent prices from rising in terms of costs and their direct impact on agriculture, firstly, we need to switch to a sliding scale system so that energy costs are kept somewhat lower than expected.
06:08less.
06:09Secondly, this move was made to prevent a shortage of fertilizer from countries other than the opportunity countries by eliminating customs duties on fertilizer imports.
06:21Let's summarize it as two main moves, right?
06:25Yes, in summary, these two moves are the current measures.
06:28This needs to be emphasized because it is specifically stated and indicated that if things continue like this in the future, other measures will also be taken.
06:36It is constantly being said that it will be acquired and that work is being done towards that goal.
06:40The war between Türkiye, Ukraine, and Russia was, so to speak, a training ground.
06:45So when you look around the war zone, Türkiye is geographically surrounded by a firestorm on all sides.
06:51In this sense, it is clear that the state's measures will be appropriate and that there will be a sense of statecraft, as previously stated by the office regarding TMO (Turkish Grain Board).
07:01's bidets are full in the warehouses.
07:06We had mentioned that in the event of a potential crisis, there wouldn't be any problems if we looked at wheat, especially raw wheat, as a staple food.
07:14Do you have anything else to share regarding the agricultural agenda besides this topic?
07:18I could actually say something like that.
07:20Last week, inflation and price increases were announced.
07:24Here too, when we look at the monthly increases, we see fruits, vegetables, and products like milk and cream.
07:30The products with the biggest price increases.
07:32So, what I want to say here is this.
07:33The agricultural sector has now become a policy tool for increasing inflation in our country.
07:39So we are in a sector that can immediately affect inflation.
07:41That's why the application of these invaluable measures of meaning is so important.
07:45It is very valuable both in terms of economic operations and sustainability.
07:49We can actually see this from the data here.
07:53Also, the daily wages of agricultural workers were announced last week.
07:57Here again, the average wage for agricultural workers in 2025 has increased by approximately 38% compared to 2024, reaching 1300 lira.
08:06Is 1300 lira really enough?
08:08I don't think it's enough.
08:09I hope they will pay even better wages to agricultural workers.
08:12However, when we look at the rate of increase, it is above the inflation rate, so of course it is positive from that perspective as well.
08:17That's all I have to report this week.
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