00:00Was there any new thoughts about Aaron, or is everything seems to be occurring exactly the way we thought it would?
00:07It looks to me like everything's on track.
00:09It does. We just met with our entire team of expert meteorologists working today,
00:13debated the latest information, and we're not making any major changes.
00:18The forecast is panning out exactly as AccuWeather had forecast.
00:21We are going to add the risk for perhaps a foot or two of storm surge
00:26right along the south shore of Long Island over toward portions of southern New England,
00:33including Rhode Island here, as the storm makes its way out to sea.
00:36So there can be a little bit of coastal flooding in those areas,
00:38but we're not expecting any significant concerns.
00:40All right, there we go, three tropical waves that we're tracking here.
00:43The one off Africa we're not too concerned about for being a named system,
00:48but the two other ones we're going to continue to watch here.
00:52Let's take the farthest west system, which is now east of the lesser utilities.
00:59This looks a lot better than it did this time yesterday.
01:03It does. It was fighting lots of dry air and some unfavorable winds in the atmosphere,
01:07but it's still relatively disorganized.
01:10This is generally going to be heading off to the north and west here, Bernie,
01:13so it looks like it's going to go north of the islands here.
01:16This could become a tropical storm or even a hurricane out in the Atlantic Ocean
01:20and may threaten over toward Bermuda early next week.
01:24But this looks like it's going to be curving away from the United States.
01:27Yeah, it's in a pretty good spot at the current moment from a wind shear perspective,
01:31but you can see that light purple there, but some darker purple tonight.
01:36But we do think that this has the ability to become a named storm Friday into the upcoming weekend.
01:43That's why we have a high risk with this.
01:45That's correct.
01:46Now, the question is, where is it going?
01:49And once again, John, big dip in the jet stream coming into the eastern U.S. Sunday into Monday.
01:55We've got a pretty good confidence on this one that that, once again, is going to protect the U.S. east coast.
02:00So this storm will, anything that does develop will curve out into the Atlantic Ocean
02:06and should not be a United States threat.
02:08All right, here's that second tropical wave, John, but it has limited time to develop here.
02:13It doesn't look like there's anything right now occurring here, but we have this highlighted for the next 48 hours.
02:20And if it does, it will not be headed toward the United States, we don't think.
02:25All right, AccuWeather Chief Meteorologist Jonathan Porter, thanks for joining us here on AccuWeather Early.
02:31AccuWeather Team
02:32AccuWeather Vice Chief Meteorologist Jonathan Porter, thanks for joining us here on AccuWeather Every.
Comments