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00:01And he got in this long soliloquy.
00:04That was him trying to talk about Watson?
00:05Yeah.
00:07And we, the people in the media thought he was done.
00:10Jeff Chanel thought he was done.
00:12The better we play, the more we deserve to be cheered.
00:14When you don't, you don't.
00:17That's what we live by.
00:18You know, hold on, I'm not done yet.
00:21I appreciate it.
00:22I'm on a little bit of a roll here.
00:24Let me enjoy the moment.
00:26But I didn't finish Deshaun yet.
00:30Happens.
00:31Done that before?
00:33Anytime we get a Chanel moment.
00:35It's beautiful.
00:36Hello, Jeff.
00:38He's the best.
00:40Munkin wins.
00:41The Browns win.
00:4221-18.
00:43We are 2-1 to start the season.
00:45This is incredible.
00:46We are 2-1 to start this year.
00:48And he's been a huge part of it.
00:50That's the crazy thing.
00:52Are you talking about Watson or Munkin?
00:53Yeah.
00:54Well, I want to get back into Watson coming up at 7-20.
00:56Because the way that Watson talked about the fans,
00:58it's like, boy, we have done an about face here, folks.
01:04This has come full circle here.
01:07The Who's and Whoville and the Grinch have come together to sing around the Christmas tree.
01:12This is pretty wild.
01:15I got to ask, how the hell did analytics tell him to do that?
01:18Nah, I'm glad we won.
01:19Don't get me wrong.
01:21I'm glad we won.
01:22Don't get any of that mixed up.
01:23But I think a lot of people had the same stealing feeling I had when I'm watching in my office.
01:29And they go for it on 4th and 1.
01:30I'm like, ooh, this is going to take some stones.
01:34Because you cut the field in half if you don't get it.
01:37Then they didn't get it.
01:38I went, oh, dear Lord.
01:39All right.
01:40Well, what did Todd say?
01:43We screwed it up on 2nd and 1.
01:44Let's be real honest, right?
01:46We get 9 yards.
01:47And all we need is a first down get down, right?
01:50It's okay.
01:50So we don't do that, right?
01:53And then we get to, you know, we get to 4th and 1.
01:57And to me, it's 50-50.
01:59If you kick it, you know, you do put it where it's a touchdown.
02:02Or you get the first down and it ends.
02:04And they got to drive it without any timeouts and get the field goal.
02:07But what hurt us was is we didn't end up getting more time off the clock
02:12because of the way the timeouts worked.
02:13It's never easy.
02:15It's just not.
02:16A credit to our defense to go back out there.
02:18So I got my hat backwards.
02:20It's for Rudy.
02:20You know, I don't ever wear my hat backwards.
02:22But hats off to the defense.
02:24I mean, this is what a great job they did.
02:27And it was really we just the second half for a while
02:32because we couldn't get any traction on offense.
02:34It felt a little like Jacksonville, man.
02:35And we're not able to take them off the field.
02:41All right, I understand it, I guess.
02:43I don't know.
02:44For a second, I'm like, man, this looks like something emotional.
02:47I can't believe the analytics say we're going to do that.
02:50So they do.
02:52Depending on, I saw different sites with different odds,
02:55but they were all favoring going for it on 4th and 1 to end the game.
03:00Well, I know what ended the game.
03:01Don't get me wrong.
03:02I understood the quote-unquote logic behind it or the reason you would do it.
03:08I just didn't feel it was the prudent move to do.
03:12Because, like, yeah, you end the game.
03:14They got to go all the way down the field.
03:16They don't have timeouts, correct?
03:17There's no timeouts.
03:18So instead of having to go 40 yards down the field to kick a field goal,
03:22possibly, they have to go the full way.
03:25I know you got to kick it off, and something terrible can happen on a kickoff.
03:28I understand that, but they got to go the whole way down the field with no timeouts
03:33and score a touchdown instead of what ended up possibly being able to happen.
03:40And so that's where I don't, like, I need, like, I have to question the analytics on it,
03:46like, and it's not like it's an anti-analytics thing.
03:48It's a, what does common sense tell you, or how can analytics make that out of that?
03:53Because, yeah, you're trying to end the football game.
03:54And you would have ended the football game.
03:56You get one yard, you end the game, everybody goes there, everybody goes home,
04:00that's the end of it.
04:01But when they get the ball back, and I was still trying to feel pretty confident,
04:04but I'm going, man, we've had some crazy finishes here before.
04:07If they go down there, they kick a field goal here, and then they get us an overtime,
04:11like, I'm not going to be able to pick myself up off the floor
04:14after the way that this thing is gone.
04:16And I know you can't sit there and coach scared all the time like that,
04:19but I just really am surprised that the analytics would say that.
04:22Well, and the analytics always are not taking into account the particular game,
04:27what we've seen so far, offensive line push,
04:32the ability of an offense to do things, execute them without committing penalties,
04:37like, doesn't take into consideration any of that.
04:39Obviously, if there would have been a penalty, then, you know,
04:42they're obviously going to just then kick the field goal.
04:44But that's the hard part of it.
04:46Now, on the flip side of it, to play devil's advocate,
04:49it says, hey, it's a trap to kick the field goal
04:52because now the other team knows they have to score a touchdown.
04:56So they're going to go for it on every fourth down.
04:58They're going to run different plays than they would otherwise.
05:01And so they're factoring that in.
05:03I just don't think, in that situation,
05:07Bryce Young was capable with no timeouts of getting it all the way into the end zone.
05:11I just don't think they were capable.
05:13So I thought they opened the door to the only way that Carolina could have won the game,
05:17was to not kick the field goal.
05:19See, that's the exact same thought I had.
05:21See, I'm used to us arguing about something like this.
05:24But when we have the exact same thought, that kind of scares me.
05:26Going, okay, either you're getting too old for the analytics,
05:30or because I've always been kind of like,
05:31eh, well, we've got to see how the feeling is of the game.
05:34Because I think we have to look at the emotions
05:36that go into the football game with these guys.
05:38They are humans.
05:39No matter how we try to make them into be cyborgs or bots,
05:42they are humans.
05:43And so I can't just make this a big math problem.
05:46But if you give up that first down that you could have got,
05:49that you didn't get, now all of a sudden you've shrunk the field.
05:53All they need to do is tie it.
05:54And how many times?
05:55And Fitzgerald was great yesterday.
05:57Did you just see how the Baltimore game ended yesterday?
05:59I did.
05:59They only needed six seconds, completed one pass,
06:02kicked a game-winning field goal.
06:03Teams today...
06:04Now that's Lamar Jackson.
06:05Sure.
06:05Bryce Young started off hot.
06:07Sure, he's got big receivers though.
06:08He's not, yeah.
06:09And when the Browns didn't get pressure on him,
06:12he was carving them up a little bit on the outside.
06:14He still finished, what, 228?
06:16Yeah, he was able to...
06:17When he had time to throw, that was the difference.
06:19But they just didn't give him time to throw.
06:21And you can rush him, you know, up the middle in ways that,
06:24you know, other quarterbacks can slice and dice you up.
06:26I'm just saying, it's never been easier for teams to...
06:32After...
06:33291, he finished with 291, Lord.
06:35It just takes a couple of first downs.
06:36You're in field goal range.
06:38Even without timeouts, like, I think that's what, you know,
06:42makes you nervous.
06:42So then what...
06:43So how do we argue against the analytics of it then?
06:45Because they will tell you,
06:46this is what takes the guesswork out.
06:48This is why we do this.
06:49Well, they're also probably telling you a field goal is no gimme.
06:52Field goals are no gimme,
06:53even though it seems like they're easier than ever before.
06:54Well, both kickers were good,
06:55and the weather was fine yesterday.
06:56Yeah, I think so.
06:57That's what analytics doesn't...
06:57Fitzgerald was great.
06:58That's what I'm saying.
07:00Is it that deep?
07:01Seriously, I know we just keep asking a bunch of questions
07:03we don't know.
07:04I need to know that.
07:05Does it account for weather?
07:07If you're going to do analytics,
07:08you do analytics the whole way.
07:09Well, what's my set of analytics on 4th and 1
07:11when it's raining outside?
07:13What's my set of analytics when there's a dome,
07:15where there's a slight breeze at 66 degrees
07:18and sunny outside?
07:19What about 4 o'clock games
07:20if there's some sun that's in your face?
07:22Like, I'm just asking basic questions
07:25about where the line ends
07:26and how to figure it out.
07:28Because I could sit here and go,
07:29buy the sheet, buy the sheet, buy the sheet.
07:30Well, there's a whole game that's going on
07:32in front of us here.
07:32And a football game is living and breathing
07:36because it has humans that are out there with it.
07:38And think about what we are saying
07:39if that would have cost them the game,
07:41say it goes to overtime.
07:42Thank God we didn't.
07:43And then you're looking,
07:45hey, when we ask,
07:46what are the different markers?
07:47What are the indicators of a team is well coached?
07:50First thing we go to is penalties.
07:52Next thing we go to is big decisions and key moments.
07:55Well, that's another thing.
07:55Well, they committed 12 penalties for 84 yards.
07:57And actually a penalty that Munkin just referenced
08:01was what kind of doomed them on that drive to begin with.
08:04And so many of this,
08:06they, if you, if you break this down,
08:09there was almost 300 yards passing by Bryce Young.
08:13They had almost 100 yards rushing total.
08:15Carolina did 98.
08:16They had 98 yards rushing total.
08:18They had fewer penalties and fewer penalty yards,
08:20if I'm not mistaken, than we did, right?
08:22They outgamed us by 100 yards.
08:23There's so many things that say
08:25that we should not have won this game
08:26and we won this game.
08:27And I will commend Todd Munkin for this
08:30because he went out to win the game,
08:31not just try to think like,
08:32man, we're escaping with this football game.
08:34Maybe we should just kick the field goal.
08:36I'm just pointing out,
08:37if this happened today,
08:38it's going to happen in the future.
08:40It's going to happen in the future.
08:41Yeah, so what are they going to do next time?
08:42And so we got to be consistent with it.
08:44Are we going to be consistent?
08:45Because remember,
08:45when we went over Kevin Stefanski's time,
08:47there were times where it just didn't seem to add up
08:49on some of the analytical decisions
08:51that were made.
08:51Kevin just went for it every time.
08:53He just went for it every time.
08:54And I don't think you can always just do that.
08:55And he had some of the worst quarterback play
08:56you can imagine still went for it.
08:58That's why I was critical.
08:59Like, yeah, the book said go for it all the time.
09:01But I'm like, look at your team.
09:02And I thought another thing,
09:03and this is what brings it in.
09:04And I'm not sitting here complaining
09:05about a Browns win.
09:06Let me highlight this on another way.
09:08They go for it.
09:10Carolina goes for it.
09:12They give us momentum.
09:13We turn around.
09:13We kick a field goal, right?
09:15They go for it again.
09:16They turn it over on downs.
09:18They give us more momentum.
09:19We go down there.
09:19We score a touchdown, right?
09:21With the Harold Fannan Jr. touchdown.
09:22You had two, if I'm not mistaken,
09:24you had two touchdowns,
09:26or you had two scores,
09:2710 points off of turnovers on downs.
09:30All right?
09:31What does analytics say about that?
09:33What does it say?
09:34Because you have a young football team.
09:35Again, guys,
09:36you have to put the human element into this.
09:38I have a football coach
09:40that was playing Journey Don't Stop Believin'
09:43during the stretching period
09:44on Friday's practice.
09:46What does analytics tell you about that?
09:48So don't tell me it's not an emotional game.
09:50It is.
09:51Played by emotional basket cases.
09:52It's just coached by him.
09:54And so when you have these moments
09:55where, well, go for it on.
09:57Go for it.
09:57Go for it.
09:57I'm assuming that Dave Canales knows
10:00that the chart is telling him to go for it.
10:02I'm assuming.
10:03I didn't hear Dave Canales in the postgame.
10:05Maybe he thought it was a gut feeling both times.
10:07I also thought he was playing analytics
10:09when I did not think it made sense
10:11for him to go for either fourth down.
10:13It wasn't good game management in the first half.
10:15I thought the Browns only had 10 points
10:17on the board in the first half
10:18because Canales insisted on going for it,
10:21and that gave us a short field twice.
10:22That was him paying too much attention to the chart.
10:25But you look at the way that this went
10:26before all this, okay?
10:27You had a legal formation.
10:29Then you had a false start.
10:30Titus Howard had a horrific football game.
10:32You had a second false start on Titus Howard.
10:34You had a hold that was called on Spencer Fano,
10:37which could have gone either way, but fine.
10:39There were four flags in the drive.
10:41Then you punted.
10:42Then turnover on downs.
10:44Then your field goal.
10:45Then another turnover on downs.
10:46Boom.
10:4610-0 Browns.
10:48So you can't tell me,
10:50well, analytics, analytics, analytics.
10:51It's an emotional game.
10:52And when Carolina gets that ball back,
10:54it's like, all right, things have not gone our way.
10:56We don't know why we're in this situation.
10:59We have a focus thing to get down the field and do it.
11:01Your defense stepped up.
11:02My Grudenberg defense stepped up.
11:04Yes, they did.
11:04That was probably part of the reason
11:05that Todd Munkin was so thankful.
11:06But damn it, man.
11:08Like, I'll have to find out
11:09because I'm willing to bet
11:10we're going to find ourselves in this position again.
11:12These tight moments, games are meant to be tight.
11:15I'd be very surprised if in the next 13 games,
11:1814 games, we don't find ourselves in this spot again.
11:22And we'll have to be watching closely.
11:23And outside of the...
11:24But we'll take our win.
11:25Absolutely.
11:26The newfound Deshaun Watson quarterback sneak,
11:29I don't have a lot of confidence
11:30they can hand the ball off to Judkins
11:31and get a first down on one yard.
11:33I don't right now.
11:35That they can block it
11:36and that he can get that first down.
11:38I did think the running game
11:38was a little bit better yesterday.
11:40It was a little better.
11:40The bar is kind of low right now.
11:422-1-6-4-7-4-0092.
11:44You're right about that.
11:45Deshaun Watson, speaking glowingly of the fans.
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