- 1 day ago
Category
🥇
SportsTranscript
00:00We're fighting and we're maybe, I'm not sure we'll be fighting with you, but you know, you are now a
00:07Boston guy.
00:08So, 2-1 Sabres after three games. Are you into it at all? I mean, we've known each other a
00:13while here, but you know, hockey's not your number one.
00:16I've got Sabres to win the series, so I'm excited. I feel good. Current math says there's about a 77
00:23% chance the Sabres win the series.
00:26Now, these games aren't played on calculators, but series price, minus 315, minus 330, so Sabres in a good spot.
00:34And I'll tell you what, here's how sick I am, and you guys know this, because I've done this many
00:38times since we've got to know each other.
00:40Like, I went to the Notre Dame-Penn State game. I went to the Penn State bar when I had
00:44Notre Dame.
00:44I'm thinking about going to a bar on Sunday, across from the garden, not wearing Sabres gear, but rooting Sabres
00:54hard in a Boston bar game four.
00:57Yeah, we like that about you. I like that about you. The nerve, right? Just the willingness.
01:03And just sort of getting some sort of sick pleasure out of it. I respect all of that.
01:09Well, minus 315 seems pretty serious. I mean, it's 2-1. Games have been really close.
01:16They could have, you know, each team could have won all of them, I guess.
01:19But I like the sound of that number, Sam. Minus 315 to win the series at this point? Good. Great.
01:26I wouldn't lay it. I wouldn't lay $3 in a hockey series.
01:30And these are very, very fluid and very twitchy markets.
01:35So let's just play this forward.
01:37If Buffalo wins game four, that goes to minus 1,400, you know?
01:43Yep.
01:43If Boston evens it up, we're talking about minus 110 each way.
01:47So that's just the way the cookie crumbles.
01:50I don't want to say that game four is this uber-important game,
01:53but you got a chance to pretty much finish them off in their building.
01:57It's really going to take, like, I think the game four market to pay attention to
02:01is the number on Swayman's saves.
02:04I don't think they have that up yet because the game is obviously a couple days away.
02:08But he's going to have to win that game in the net.
02:11Like, he's going to have to have one of those, like, 94% save chances
02:17because I do think this Buffalo team can sort of smell it right now.
02:22And, look, I think it's obviously their series to lose.
02:24But I'm pulling for the boys and everybody listening, for sure.
02:27Right.
02:28This has no impact on our Lindy Ruff Coach of the Year bet.
02:31But the final standings hopefully do.
02:33I mean, I said all along if they get first place, I think we're home free on our bet.
02:38Are the odds for that stuff still up?
02:40The voting has happened.
02:41It's all regular season stuff.
02:42So the playoffs have no impact on any of the NHL awards.
02:45We won't know the results for a while here until I think the playoffs are over
02:49is when they announce all that stuff.
02:52But are the numbers still up and are we still sitting, like, at minus 3,000 or something?
02:58Quick check right now at DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM, the only awards we can bet on,
03:03Conn Smythe, I guess the only award, singular.
03:07That's it.
03:07That's the playoffs.
03:08So everything's up.
03:09Yeah.
03:09Everything else has been voted on then.
03:11That's why.
03:12Yeah, it's closed up.
03:14Yeah.
03:14Last check, we had Lindy minus 2,500.
03:17Well, not we had.
03:18We had 7-1 plus 700, but the market, yeah, the market was minus 2,500.
03:23And now that it's been voted, I mean, that's like the definition of insider trading.
03:27Like, people have literally cast their ballots, so you can't take legal bets on it
03:31when the votes have been submitted.
03:32Want to talk, Conn Smythe, Bulldog?
03:35Have you thought about it?
03:36I have not at all thought about it yet.
03:39It's so early in the playoffs, I haven't thought.
03:41I know McDavid isn't scoring like crazy for Edmonton.
03:44They scored at all.
03:44Right.
03:45But they've only played the two games.
03:48That might make him a good idea.
03:49Yeah, maybe.
03:50Maybe.
03:51Yeah.
03:51What does that market look like, Sam?
03:53Who are the favorites right now?
03:56You've got two Avalanches right on top.
03:58McKinnon is 6-1, and then it's Kale McCarr, about 10-1.
04:03And obviously, shop around.
04:04So, 10-1 at DraftKings, 17-1 at FanDuel.
04:07Same bet.
04:08Wink, wink.
04:09Right?
04:10And he won it the last time Colorado won.
04:13McCarr won it.
04:13So, before the playoffs, I made two bets in the market.
04:17I took McKinnon.
04:18He was about 9 or 10-1.
04:20And then I bet Ottinger.
04:22Now, Dallas, Mike and I talked last week about the West being kind of wide open.
04:27If you want to get past the Avalanche, I think there's a handful of teams that could make a run.
04:32But I think he's about to lock in, and they're going to finish off the Wilds.
04:36And then at that point, you see what happens.
04:38I like goalies.
04:39Yeah, that's a good – I like that bet.
04:41Because if they can upset Colorado in round two, provided they get through Minnesota, then he'll get a ton of
04:49credit, I think.
04:50Especially because of all the drama that happened with him and his coach last year in the playoffs.
04:54I think he'll be a good pick if they clear Colorado, is all I'm saying.
04:59I don't know how they win a Stanley Cup unless he's their best player.
05:02I mean, they've got, seriously, some big weapons up there.
05:06But he's got to be the guy.
05:08And I'm looking right now, FanDuel wasn't even offering Ottinger.
05:12That's sort of strange.
05:13DraftKings has 50-1.
05:15Oh, there's Ottinger.
05:1680-1 at FanDuel.
05:18If this is ever a conversation to get the best of the number, I mean, the cons-mite market is
05:23your perfect elixir.
05:25All that means, though, Bulldog, is that DraftKings has taken more bets on them.
05:30And FanDuel is willing to sort of balance the checkbook a bit.
05:34But a $100 bet makes you $5,000 in one place and $8,000 in another.
05:38It's crazy that people don't get the best of the number.
05:41We can't bet it.
05:42This is another one where not in New York.
05:45I'll throw out a name.
05:47Quinn Hughes.
05:48From what I've read from Travis, I haven't seen maybe any of that series yet.
05:54But, like, he is a huge difference maker on the ice or not.
05:58And he had kind of maybe a blunder in the last game.
06:02But still, like, it's a much different series when he's on the ice versus when he's not.
06:07And it's still pretty close.
06:09And the same thing holds there.
06:11Like, if they can come back and beat Dallas and then beat Colorado, he'd be the guy.
06:17Like, what's his number at?
06:17I think so, too.
06:18Yeah, that's a good pull.
06:20You got a number on Instagram?
06:21Plus, he's famous already.
06:22Yeah.
06:23I do have a number.
06:24I also love that I'm talking about how much I love Dallas.
06:26And Mike goes, here's a wild player to win the consmite.
06:29I know.
06:30Sorry.
06:31Thank you, Mike.
06:31Let's see.
06:32I'm just warming you up for Sunday when you go to that bar.
06:35Now I'm going to be a Bruins fan Sunday and go against everything I said.
06:39Let's see.
06:39Quinn Hughes, I see 60.
06:40I see 80.
06:41I see 100 to win the consmite.
06:44See, it's different.
06:45It doesn't really need to be explained, probably.
06:47But it's different from the Super Bowl MVP bets that we made.
06:50Because this is the whole playoffs.
06:52Right.
06:52Versus one game.
06:54And I like that.
06:56It's a fun one to toy with.
06:57I would get lost in there.
06:59If we could wager on that on our phones, I'd be in there.
07:03What's Noah Osland?
07:04With like three or four different guys, probably.
07:06What's Noah Osland to win the consmite trophy?
07:09If you spell Osland, I'll tell you.
07:12It's never going to be there.
07:13O-S-T-L-U-N-D.
07:15It's never going to be there, right?
07:16Who would be the top saver?
07:18Thompson.
07:19O-S-T-L-U-N-D.
07:21Never going to be there.
07:22He's not up there.
07:23There's no way he's listed.
07:24No.
07:25He's not listed.
07:25Fun idea.
07:26He made his playoff debut last night, empty net goal and an assist on the first goal for
07:30Buffalo.
07:31Good start.
07:31Yeah.
07:32Real nice.
07:33Sam, what else are you into?
07:35Well, I'll tell you what, the draft was interesting last night.
07:37And as I often do, I listened to the opening of the show and you guys were talking about
07:41how ESPN's like, the eighth pick is on the clock.
07:45And then the Twitter's like, with the 11th pick, Miami selects blank.
07:49You know, you're like, okay.
07:51Kelsey was taking live bets.
07:53Um, no, they weren't like extremely live, like second to second.
07:58But when ESPN was on like the fourth pick, you could bet the fifth and the sixth and the
08:02seventh pick.
08:03And Kelsey waved the white flag after like the first 10 picks.
08:07Really?
08:08Yeah.
08:08Because the insiders, I mean, if you were following like Albert Breer and there was one
08:12other guy, maybe Josh Norris or one of the Schwartzes, I can't remember exactly who it
08:18was, but Albert Breer was doing this live show.
08:20And because he's not working on the ESPN broadcast or the NFL network broadcast, he
08:25doesn't have to like hold back.
08:27He can, he can do his thing.
08:28And he was kind of showing like, Hey, I still got it.
08:31So if you were just getting notifications from, you know, Breer's guys or from
08:37the other accounts, like you, you knew who was going again, Kelsey is working at the
08:42same speed as, as everybody else.
08:43You know, like you can't really like bought that.
08:45It's, it's not a technological thing.
08:47You just kind of have to be quick to, to pull the market off.
08:50But, um, yeah, it was, it was wild because they, they took, I think they said they took
08:54like, I don't, I should have the exact number.
08:58I want to say it was like $60 million on live bets last night on the draft.
09:02Yeah.
09:02And I don't, I mean, I don't know how they won, but that's how you get people
09:07in the door.
09:07Right.
09:08Cause they'll get it back.
09:09I mean, people are going to dump it right back, but, uh, that was interesting.
09:12And also like, if you want to impress a date next year, just follow the right Twitter accounts
09:17and then just, you know, show how smart you are by predicting every draft pick.
09:22Cause you're going to get all the picks early and she'll be so enamored with your knowledge
09:26of NFL football.
09:27Yeah.
09:28You can't, you can't do that every, you can't win every hand, but yeah, I mean, you could,
09:32you could do well enough to impress, right?
09:35So once a few, you got to dump it.
09:37So it's not too, you got, you know, too suspicious, but sure.
09:42Round two tonight.
09:43Is there anything up there would be right on, um, over under on guys and what the bills
09:49do?
09:49The bills have the third pick of the second round.
09:51I have no idea what the bills are going to do.
09:53That's, uh, that's something I have not paid much attention to them to be completely honest
09:57with you and looking at the board right now, uh, they do have markets up on 33, 34 and
10:0435.
10:04So they pick 35th.
10:06Is that right?
10:06Yes.
10:07So favored to go, I guess, favored, I'm using air quotes.
10:11Denzel Boston, the wide receiver is a plus four 25 to be the first guy taken.
10:17Okay, cool.
10:18And then, uh, Caden McDonald is second.
10:21Jermon McCoy is third.
10:22Colton hood is fourth.
10:23Those are your top four guys, at least at DraftKings to go 35th overall.
10:28The first two names have been names we've talked about for the bills at 26, even at
10:3426, you know, throughout, um, McCoy, we haven't talked about him at all that.
10:39I remember because he's injured.
10:41Like he's somebody who could miss the entire season.
10:43So who takes him?
10:45It's, you know, he could have probably would have been a first round pick easily without
10:48that.
10:49Uh, probably not what the bills, what the bills do because of that injury.
10:52And, you know, they're being kind of in the win now mode, but those other two names,
10:57uh, very realistic for Buffalo.
10:59I don't know about Boston for San Francisco Bulldog getting Evans and still having Pierce
11:05all I use leaves.
11:06I don't know if that would be a receiver pick, but, uh, maybe what's new with the White Sox.
11:13They're starting to hit the ball.
11:15This Murakami kid is unbelievable.
11:17Uh, he's like the fastest White Sox rookie ever to 10 home runs.
11:21And that's another bet that, uh, we talked about on chicken dinner.
11:24I got some guys who, who will either text me or DM me every time he homers, uh, that's
11:30the, the Japanese rookie who used to play with Otani, uh, overseas.
11:34We got him at a hundred to one to lead the league in homers.
11:37I, wow.
11:38I don't know that it's going to happen.
11:40And I'm, I'm knocking on wood right here cause I don't want to jinx myself, but between
11:43him and Montgomery, the shortstop, they're starting to hit the ball.
11:46Um, so we'll see again, we need 67 wins, but, uh, the White Sox, when they go West and
11:52people are starting to tune out and I was like, why are we talking about the White Sox
11:54again?
11:55We need 67 wins.
11:57That's all we need.
11:58And I, it's going to be a sweat for sure.
12:00But usually when the White Sox go West, they go like one in five, oh, and six, they went
12:04four and two on their West coast road trip.
12:06That like never happens for White Sox fans.
12:08I need the playoffs.
12:10And that's where my focus is when it comes to this team, three and a half out of first
12:14in a weak division so far this year.
12:17So I'm, I'm with you on your Chicago White Sox.
12:21Very good, Sam.
12:23I can't wait to hear how Sunday goes.
12:25Make, you know, live it up.
12:28I'll send whatever you need.
12:29I'll send some content.
12:30I hope it's three, one Buffalo after Sunday and I will be rowdy in the bar right across
12:35from the garden.
12:36All right.
12:36See if you can catch up with the Buffalo, the roller, the roller blade people.
12:41Apparently we've sent some roller bladers that are running around and mismatched Sabres
12:46jerseys causing mayhem on the streets of Boston.
12:48So keep an eye out for them.
12:49Will do, sir.
12:50All right.
12:51Find a hat.
12:52All right, Sam.
12:53Talk to you next Friday.
12:54See you guys.
12:55Let's see what game five is Tuesday.
12:57We'll see you next Friday.
Comments