- 2 days ago
The Draft Nerd, Jeremy Greene, is back by popular demand just one day out from the NFL Draft.
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00:00G&D just one day away from the NFL Draft.
00:04The countdown continues and, well, the stretch run is here.
00:09Jeremy Green came on with us to break down the NFL Draft a couple of weeks ago
00:15and you guys have been asking for us to get him back on prior to tomorrow night's round one
00:20and he was kind enough to oblige.
00:23He is with us on the Rude Guest Hotline.
00:25Rude, the most reliable heating and air conditioning products in the DMV.
00:28We're also going to have Jeremy take some of your listener questions next segment
00:32so you can line those up now if you want to ask a draft expert about not only pick seven
00:36but what could happen way down the board for the Washington Commanders at 800-636-1067.
00:43I've got to say, Danny, Jeremy sent me basically his draft Bible, if you will, that he puts together.
00:48He calls it the mullet, and I've got it in front of me right here.
00:52Can you show me your mullet?
00:52Right now. It's pretty darn good.
00:55Jeremy, what's up, buddy? How are you?
00:56I am good. It's Draftmas Eve.
01:01The only difference between Draftmas and Christmas is we put the gifts under the tree at Labor Day
01:05and you shake the box and bicycles and sledgehammers sound very similar
01:10when you don't know what's in the box.
01:13It is Draftmas after all.
01:15So what are you doing with all of the last-minute speculation and smoke coming out right now?
01:23Oh, let's see. My day has included... I played golf this morning.
01:28I turned my phone off because I don't want to hear it because I know everyone's lying to me.
01:33Anything you say to me at this point, this is like dating the sorority girl when you were in college.
01:39I don't believe a word you're telling me.
01:42So let's just not even act like you're telling me the truth.
01:46So I just ignore it.
01:47What is the cutoff point, Jeremy?
01:49Because I know what you're saying.
01:50Everybody's got an angle or an incentive or something to gain potentially from some of these rumors being bought or
01:55sold.
01:56What's the cutoff time where you go, I know now I'm putting my fingers in my ears.
02:00When is that?
02:01Mine is 10 days.
02:03So I go almost a fortnight.
02:05I go the Monday before draft week.
02:09So last Monday.
02:10From there on, practically anything I hear, it's a lie.
02:15To me, it's just like this David Bailey thing with the Jets.
02:18So it's been Arvel Reese for as long as I can remember.
02:22Now, I've been affiliated with the Jets.
02:24I've been a fan of the Jets.
02:26Could they change their mind at the last minute?
02:28Absolutely.
02:29Do I believe for one second that they're settled on him?
02:35No, I don't.
02:36It's been Arvel Reese.
02:37That's the hole on the defense.
02:39I don't believe the Jeremiah Love thing to Arizona because it doesn't make any sense.
02:43And that's where, at the net root of it, I always ask one simple question.
02:49Who wants you to know that?
02:51If information goes to every media outlet and all of them are reporting it like it's gospel,
02:57they don't want you to know the truth.
02:59What they're planning on doing, they don't want you to know that.
03:02So if they're readily volunteering this information, why do they want you to know that?
03:06Arizona, it's simple because they want to trade down as desperately as any team I've ever seen.
03:13So I'm looking at the mullet and I'm looking at your edge ratings that you have in the ranking,
03:18your big board at the position where you've got Bailey, your top edge.
03:22But you listed Reese as an off-ball backer.
03:25And do you not think he's going to cut it at our edge?
03:27Or how do you do that where you keep him off-ball?
03:31So when I place guys in positions, it's not saying that that's the only position they can play.
03:37The Jets play, and I'm just using this one because it's where I think he goes.
03:40The Jets play one of those hybrid five-man fronts.
03:43He can play edge in that.
03:45When they line up in their base defense, which is a 4-3, he's going to start as an off
03:50-ball linebacker.
03:51If you put him on the end right now in a four-man front, I don't think you're going to
03:57like what you get.
03:58I have seen him as almost a mirror image of Micah Parsons as a prospect.
04:05What has happened with him has changed the way people look at him.
04:09People forget he wasn't off-ball linebacker.
04:10That's why he fell of that.
04:12And he had some weird character red flags that I still don't understand, but they've never come up again.
04:17So it's fine.
04:19He wound up playing edge because of injuries.
04:21He wound up on that front because of injuries, and he was just so good at it that he never
04:26went back.
04:27That same thing could happen with Arville Reeves.
04:30But in terms of day one, I think he's an off-ball linebacker, and I think he's a really good
04:35one.
04:36All right.
04:37So at two then, what's ultimately the decision that the Jets have to make?
04:43Is it now versus later what Reeves might be?
04:46Is it that they think has the higher ceiling, or is it Bailey can help you right now but still
04:50also has a high ceiling?
04:51Like, what's the real choice boiled down to there, too?
04:54If you told me one of these two guys would one day be the highest-paid player in his position,
05:01I would bet my house it was Arville Reeves.
05:05David Bailey, to me, is safer because I know exactly what he is.
05:09He's an edge rusher.
05:11I think the run issues are a little overblown.
05:15My issue with Bailey's run defensive liabilities is that you're going to have him on the opposite side of Will
05:19McDonald, who's 240 pounds.
05:21So it gets into roster construction.
05:24I like Reeves better for the Jets.
05:27I like David Bailey better as a prospect because I think he's safer.
05:32As I say, which one's going to be the highest-paid player in their position?
05:35If you told me one of these guys wasn't in the NFL five years from now, I would also bet
05:40my house that it's Arville Reeves because I just don't see any bust in David Bailey.
05:43His floor is he's going to be a 9-10 sack guy that can only play in situational football on
05:53predominantly passing downs.
05:56I'm trying to be very careful of how I say that because I don't want it to be that he's
06:00a situational pass rusher.
06:02He just couldn't – if he doesn't hit at the right level, he's going to be a 45-50 snap
06:08-a-game guy.
06:09If Arville Reeves doesn't hit, he could be Vernon Golston, and I've said that for months.
06:15His downside scares me to death, but he's an immediate impact with the Jets because they have a hole at
06:22that position.
06:23They currently have two linebackers on the roster.
06:25The third guy, I'm pretty sure, was a beach volleyball player at the last Olympics because I've never heard that
06:31name before.
06:32I have no idea who it is.
06:33The NFL Draft Nerd on GND.
06:36By the way, you know how there's videos, Danny, of people that are reacting in their living room to games
06:41when their team wins or loses a championship?
06:43Yes.
06:44I saw a video of Jeremy reacting to Kenyon Sadiq's 40-time.
06:48His 4-4, yeah.
06:48Where he's just, like, jumping up out of his couch to go, like, chest bump someone and break a TV
06:54or something.
06:54Why were you so excited about the Sadiq 40-time?
06:58Sadiq has been a guy I've been on the whole time, and I said he was going to break the
07:01combine.
07:02The funny thing is, Logan Paulson and I had talked that morning, and he told me that Eli Stowers was
07:08going to jump out of the building,
07:09and I said Kenyon Sadiq would have the most freak athletic combine ever, and we were both right.
07:15I like being right more than I like being alive.
07:18It's the best.
07:18I am dedicated to being right, and any time I'm validated like that, it gets me very excited.
07:25Now, I am glad that you didn't hear the audio, because the audio of that would be NC-17, because
07:33I said a lot of bad words when that happened.
07:35As well, you're allowed to.
07:37That's right.
07:37They don't get to tell you not to.
07:39Most of them ended with, I told you, many words I can't say told you.
07:44So, all right, we got a guy, Toby, my buddy here, who produces on the show, and he's not a
07:50Jeremiah Love guy necessarily.
07:51Doesn't want him at seven if he falls, which I don't think he's going to have to worry about, because
07:55he's not going to be there for Washington at this point anyway.
07:56But he is of the belief that guys like this come around every few years and doesn't think there's that
08:02much of a difference maybe between him and the top back a year ago at a Boise State.
08:07I'm wondering what you would say to someone who says Jeremiah Love is being made more special than he is
08:13based on the class.
08:15None of the things that you just said are incorrect.
08:18We get running backs like this about every three years.
08:20The problem is that we try to tight-cast guys like Najee Harris and Ashton Jinty into being guys like
08:25that, and they're not.
08:27Now, the thing that, if I'm wanting to back up his stance, it would be look at the five best
08:32running backs in the NFL and look at how many have made the playoffs last year.
08:35There are a lot of really good running backs that put up yardage and numbers, and it doesn't translate to
08:40winning.
08:41See, Saquon Barkley with the Giants, B. John Robinson with the Atlanta Falcons.
08:46That's the argument that I've always made.
08:48I mean, I think he's a great player.
08:50He is going to be one of the five to den best running backs in the NFL.
08:54I don't think that's even debatable.
08:57The question is, how much does that contribute to winning?
09:00We get very locked in on guys that we can have on our fantasy team.
09:06One day I'm going to write a book about the fantasy footballification of NFL fandom.
09:13I don't know that these guys really help you win.
09:17I mean, I've seen too many running backs have really good seasons.
09:21I mean, I can make the argument Jameer Gibbs was the best running back in the NFL last year, and
09:25the Lions didn't make the playoffs.
09:28I understand it from that angle.
09:30Now, him as a player, he's one of the three best running backs I've ever evaluated.
09:35He does everything well, but I do understand what he's trying to say.
09:40Who else is on that list out of curiosity of RBs?
09:43That I've evaluated would be Saquon.
09:46In order, it would be Saquon 1, B. John 2, Jeremiah Love would be not a distant three.
09:53The other two are freaks of nature.
09:56They're not huge.
09:57I'm convinced they were made with that ooze that they turned the normal turtles into the ninja turtles with.
10:02Those two guys are different.
10:05And I understand when people say, Jeremiah Love's not that.
10:08I agree with you there.
10:09I would say he's almost in a tier by himself where he's not that just unbelievable freak, but he's hyper
10:18-athletic, and he's hyper-talented, and he's going to be one of the best running backs in the NFL.
10:23The ooze.
10:24The ooze is very, very relatable.
10:26Real quick, Jeremy.
10:27The tackles in this draft.
10:29Usually, I mean, we're still going to see our requisite number, four, five, or six, maybe even seven going the
10:33first round.
10:34That's what happens.
10:35It's a premium spot.
10:36But how do you feel about this tackle class in general compared to years past?
10:40If you need a right tackle, it's really solid.
10:42If you need a left tackle, you should spend your draftmas eve in church talking to whatever deity you believe
10:50in.
11:03Oh, that's a high number, by the way.
11:06Look, Freeling played 13 games at a high level at Georgia, and people are freaking out.
11:10I'm telling you, he's going to go six.
11:12If Cleveland gets stuck at six, I've heard the Caden Proctor thing.
11:15I will make a sweeping declaration right now.
11:18I know Todd Monken reasonably well.
11:20I don't know exactly what that offense is going to look like because the personnel they have doesn't really line
11:25up with what he wants to do.
11:26If you drop back with Shador Sanders 35 times with the tape I saw of him last year, with Caden
11:34Proctor playing left tackle,
11:35I hope you have the best insurance policy on him ever because he's going to end up like Squidward and
11:45SpongeBob
11:45where he's just wrapped in tape and everything's broken.
11:49Jeremy Green.
11:50I don't buy the Caden Proctor thing.
11:51I get it.
11:52He's super athletic.
11:53I just don't think he's a tackle.
11:55You should be following Jeremy on social as we get closer to the draft.
11:59I'm going to tell you where you can get the mullet coming up in a bit as well.
12:02But we'll open up the phone so people can ask you questions.
12:05You're willing to take questions seven rounds deep on what the commanders could do, yeah?
12:09Absolutely.
12:10Fire away.
12:11I got asked a question about that 27-year-old kicker from Hawaii the other day, and I was prepared
12:16for it, which tells me two things.
12:18I'm very locked in on the draft, and I need a hobby really bad.
12:23We'll get you one.
12:23Just an activity.
12:24You're golfing today.
12:24That counts.
12:26800-636-1067 is the number.
12:28You've got a question for Jeremy next.
12:30800-636-1067.
12:33You want to go deeper than where Danny and I's knowledge lies?
12:36That's why we got Jeremy ahead of the draft.
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