00:00We have a little double trouble as we head into next week, but I don't think the storms that we're
00:04tracking are going to be blockbuster storms, but they are going to cause some problems.
00:09And what a difference it's going to feel, what a difference it's going to be from Saturday,
00:16Sunday, and into Monday. Because let me tell you something, the weekend is going to start almost
00:22spring-like across the country. Let me show you what I'm talking about here.
00:26Let's go to this. All right. I want to show you this is our temperatures Saturday afternoon. Look at
00:33the widespread area here. Not only 70s in the southern tier of the United States, but all the
00:39way up into the mid-Atlantic states. Let me zoom in here. So this is Saturday afternoon. You're
00:45pushing 60 in Washington, D.C. Not quite as warm in New York City and Boston, but I think you'll
00:54get
00:54closer to 50 degrees. You can see that right in here. 50 is coming up in the central Pennsylvania,
00:5960 line in the southern Ohio. But look what's going on up in here. This is your cold front,
01:05and this is what's going to come across the area Saturday night. And Saturday night and Sunday,
01:10this is going to cause some problems with some snow and a return of very cold air as we move
01:16into
01:16Sunday and Monday. Let me show you what it looks like here, and you can see where it's coming from.
01:20Let me go back. So you're going to get a chunk of this air that's across northern Alberta, Saskatchewan,
01:26and Manitoba. You can see how cold it is. This is tomorrow morning. Watch it come south. Here it
01:31goes. At least a piece of it. And then by Sunday evening, you have the 32-degree line here all
01:37the
01:37way down to the Pennsylvania and Maryland border. Here it is. A little close up here. So this is Sunday
01:43evening, and the cold air is going to continue to drain south. And take a look at this by Monday
01:48morning. That freezing line is all the way down in the southern parts of Virginia. Now, earlier in the
01:56week, with the fresh injection of cold air and enough strong energy, there was a concern that we
02:02could get a thump of snow here across the mid-Atlantic and northeast. I was skeptical of that,
02:07and I'm even more skeptical now because while you have the fresh injection of cold air, I don't think
02:12you have enough energy for a big storm. And make no mistake, there are two systems that we're going to
02:16track here. Monday, Monday night, and then the second one is going to be Tuesday, Tuesday night.
02:21Now, let me go to my upper air pattern here. And as we go into Monday, you see this little
02:26piece here?
02:27Now, this is also going to produce some snow across the Midwest. And across the Midwest, there's going
02:31to be a few inches of snow here along Interstate 70, north of Kansas City and St. Louis. But even
02:37there,
02:37there's going to be some accumulating snow. And in the Midwest, but this energy is going to be coming
02:42into a very dry air mass. And you'll know that then, and this is looking at the American model,
02:49the European model. You have this Northwest flow here in the Northeast. That tells me that it's
02:55cold, dry air, and it's going to probably overwhelm this moisture and this energy. This is a pretty weak
03:01little impulse here coming across the area. There it goes. And you kind of lose it. You see how it
03:06weekends. This is Sunday night, Monday. Here it goes. This is it here. Go back 12 hours. You see
03:13more yellow. Six hours, you see more yellow with this in the Midwest. Watch as it comes east.
03:18Kind of fizzles out. And I think it's just running into this cold, dry air. The American model,
03:24kind of a little more energy, but that also, see how it fizzles out from downstate Illinois and
03:30Indiana and Kentucky. See how it fizzles out. Now, the European AI, same story. You have that piece
03:37of energy in here, but it comes into that cold, dry air, and you have that Northwest flow aloft. That
03:42tells me there's not going to be a lot of precipitation with this. Now, watch this area of
03:48snow Saturday night, Sunday across interior sections in the Northeast with the frontal boundary.
03:53But this is the American model, which has been the most bullish with the snow. And there it is.
03:58You see how it takes it across Virginia? It doesn't even have it up to the Pennsylvania
04:03turnpike. It has a little period of snow here. This would be Washington, D.C., probably in toward
04:08the Richmond area. That's the American model. This is the European. Virtually nothing. Virtually nothing
04:15Monday. You see that? Now, the European AI, the most aggressive, a little bit of snow here, as far north
04:23is the Pennsylvania turnpike. And that is going to be Monday, Monday night. And, you know, accumulations
04:29are going to be a coating to a couple of inches. Shouldn't be anything more than that. Well, I think
04:35the European's a little underdone with this. The European doesn't have nothing. I don't think the
04:40European AI is right. It's probably a little too far north. So I think the GFS may actually be the
04:47best
04:48compromise. So I think you look for a coating to an inch or two of snow here Monday, Monday night
04:52across northern Virginia, Baltimore, Washington, D.C., Richmond, southern Delaware, southern New
04:59Jersey. You can get a coating to an inch or two of snow. All right. Then watch what happens here
05:05moving forward. You see this high pressure system? It's going to leave as we get into Monday night,
05:10Tuesday. This is European. See that? It leaves. So what does that tell you? That means the cold air
05:14is leaving. Now you have another piece of energy coming. And this, I think, is stronger. You see,
05:19because this is going to spit out. Here it comes right in here. This energy in here. This is coming
05:25in out ahead of that trough coming in to the west. So this, I think, is a more meaningful. You
05:31see how
05:32you keep yellow reds in there? You see that going across the Pennsylvania, New York State, Tuesday?
05:37You see that with the American model, too. You see? A little more energy. The European AI, well,
05:44it's not as strong. But I do think that this is a wetter system. However, the snow and ice is
05:51farther
05:51north. And when you look at the modeling with this, sure, you can have a little bit of ice in
05:56the
05:56morning, Tuesday morning around Washington, D.C. and Philadelphia. But it goes over to rain.
06:01The concern is going to be for accumulating snow of a few inches or more, probably north of the New
06:07York State Thruway, probably in here. And the good news is it's probably going to be north of
06:12southeastern New England. But even in southeastern New England, it's north central Pennsylvania.
06:17And, you know, even New York City, Philadelphia, you may have a period of some snow and ice
06:22Tuesday morning that goes over to rain. Same story for the southern Hudson Valley and southeastern New
06:28England, probably a coating to an inch of two snow or two of snow Tuesday morning that goes over to
06:34some rain. But north of the Thruway, northern New England, probably one to three with locally six
06:39inches of snow with this on Tuesday. It's not a big storm, but it is going to be a disruptive
06:44storm
06:45and we'll continue to follow it for you on the feed. Stay with us.
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