00:00Joining us right now is AccuWeather lead hurricane expert Alex DaSilva.
00:04And Alex, we've been talking about this now for well over a week.
00:09And the Fujiwara effect is, well, it's kind of a warning right now, right?
00:15Not an effect and a warning. It's occurring.
00:17Yeah, it is occurring.
00:18And we've been talking about this for about a week now that the two tropical systems would essentially dance with one another.
00:24And both are on the dance floor right now, and they are currently dancing.
00:27You need them to be about 850 miles apart.
00:31Like you said, they're about 500 miles apart or so right now.
00:34So well within that threshold.
00:35And they're starting to rotate counterclockwise around each other.
00:39That's essentially what's steering Imelda out to sea and away from the United States.
00:43And we're even seeing Umberto drift a little bit to the northwest right now, starting to feel those effects as well.
00:49So a very interesting phenomenon in the Atlantic.
00:51And I think the last time we saw this in the Atlantic, back in 2016, with Hurricane Matthew and Hurricane Nicole.
00:59So it's been quite a while.
01:00All right.
01:01Now, let's take a look at Umberto.
01:03Now, Umberto, as you mentioned, it's on the, all of the clouds are now on the eastern side of the center of circulation.
01:10As you mentioned, and you're showing me the visible satellite picture, the center of circulation now is away from where you see all the clouds, away from the convection.
01:18Which means there should continue to be a loss of wind intensity.
01:22Yeah, there should be.
01:23Like I said, that low-level center has actually popped out and is actually drifting northwestward, I think, due to the Fujiwara.
01:28But it's also being sheared.
01:29And you can see all the convection to the south and east.
01:31It's being sheared by the storm to the west.
01:34So they're getting so close to one another that they're really starting to shear each other out.
01:38But either way, Umberto will eventually make that right-hand turn and head out to sea.
01:42It's trending a little bit away from Bermuda right now.
01:44But we'll still see some wind and maybe some rain here over the next day or so.
01:49All right.
01:49Now, let's take a look at Imelda getting a lot better organized.
01:52Now, this became the fourth hurricane of the season.
01:56But unlike the three previous hurricanes, we're not forecasting this to go to a Category 4 or Category 5 hurricane.
02:04As every hurricane that's formed so far in the Atlantic Basin has done.
02:08Yeah, we're not expecting this one to become a major.
02:10But we still are expecting it to come very close to Bermuda here over the next couple of days as a hurricane.
02:16Potentially even making a direct hit on the islands there, which is very, very uncommon.
02:20So we'll have to watch out for that.
02:22But it should be making its closest pass there sometime Wednesday evening before shooting out into the North Atlantic.
02:29All right.
02:29Let's take a look at the rest of the Atlantic.
02:31And that's it.
02:31But that's the only game, the only storms to talk about now.
02:35You can see the clouds in the central Atlantic right now.
02:38But they're being lifted north.
02:39And once again, the Caribbean and the southern Gulf, Alex, very clean here right now.
02:46Not much activity at all as far as any clouds.
02:50Yeah.
02:50I mean, if you showed me this satellite picture other than the two storms off the southeast coast,
02:54I'd probably tell you this was sometime in January or February.
02:56There is nothing going on in the Caribbean Sea right now or even in the southern Gulf.
03:02Despite the fact that in those areas the wind shear is actually a little bit lower, which is fairly interesting right now.
03:08But we do expect things to pick up here again in those areas as we head into the month of October here over the next couple of days.
03:14Two areas that we're watching, one in the Bay of Campeche.
03:17This one shouldn't be a threat to the United States as it should drift to the south regardless of development on that one.
03:23And then the other area that we're watching, another tropical wave getting ready to come off the coast of Africa.
03:27We typically still watch those at least through mid-October.
03:30So we still need to watch those tropical waves.
03:32And then from there, we look closer to the United States towards the middle and end of October.
03:37And we are highlighting an area here early to mid-October.
03:41This is going to be an area to monitor underneath the belly of the high to the northeast.
03:47This is kind of an area, this can kind of give us a signal as to areas that might be a little bit more favorable for development.
03:53So as we go towards the end of the hurricane season, like I said, we typically look a little bit closer.
03:58A lot of these waters are very much untouched, still warm.
04:02And so if anything is able to develop here, we still have to watch out.
04:06Yeah, we've been saying this now for a month.
04:09We've had yet to go anything into the Caribbean.
04:12It's hard to believe you'd go through a hurricane season with nothing in the Caribbean.
04:16So we're going to watch it.
04:18AccuWeather lead hurricane expert Alex DeSilva.
04:20Thanks for joining us here on AccuWeather Early.
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