2024 Atlantic hurricane season update

AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva forecasts the end is nearing for tropical activity for the United States.

Transcript

00:00I want to bring in our hurricane expert Alec, meteorologist Alec Statsilva. We take a look

00:04at Fort Myers this morning where things are relatively quiet and you know Sarah now a

00:10tropical rainstorm and Alex we're getting to the end of November. What a November we've had.

00:17Two hurricanes, I'm sorry one hurricane and two tropical storms. Yeah it's certainly been very

00:24impressive and at the end of October we told everybody that we were expecting a pretty busy

00:28November. We were forecasting one to three named systems during the month of November and lo and

00:34behold here we are. We've seen three named storms but I have some good news. I think we're done with

00:39the U.S. impacts beyond what happens here with with tropical rainstorms Sarah. So I think we're

00:45kind of bringing it to the end of the 2024 tropical season. Yeah take a look at the satellite Alex.

00:50You can see a frontal boundary all the way down uh in toward the lesser Antilles. That means that

00:56front has penetrated pretty far south and that's one of the reasons you think well we're likely to

01:01be done with any any landfalling systems in the U.S. Yeah and when that happens we get a lot of

01:07wind shear and that's typically why especially in the back half of November we really start to shut

01:12down the Atlantic hurricane season. A lot of wind shear and you can see on the graph here we're very

01:17very low very low to the bottom here so I don't expect any more U.S. impacts besides a little bit

01:22of rain from Sarah which is good news. We could get a rogue storm way out in the middle of the

01:27Atlantic but in terms of U.S. impacts I think we're done. All right let's take a look at the season so

01:33far. We we called it a supercharged season. It was a little delayed as the the heart of the season

01:40turned very quiet from late August into September but I believe from September 24th we had from

01:47Helene towards Sarah and you do the math that's 11 named storms. Yeah it's been very active

01:53especially in the second half of the season we had some dry air which really helped keep things

01:58down during the month of August but as soon as that dry air went away some of that Saharan dust

02:03as soon as that went away things really just exploded in the Atlantic and and we had many

02:07many hits and we had five U.S. hits on the U.S. and then if you count the unnamed subtropical storm

02:15that went into the Carolinas that would be six hits on the U.S. so very very very busy. What I

02:20found it interesting a lot of the storms in the Atlantic with the exception of Barrel. Barrel was

02:25your only long track storm. All of the other impacts on the United States either formed in the Caribbean

02:31or in the Gulf of Mexico. Yeah we hadn't had really the luxury to watch these systems come

02:36all the way across the Atlantic. Unfortunately a lot of these formed fairly close to home here

02:43and so and they rapidly intensified and that's something we've seen the last couple of years

02:46storms really really pick up. You look at Helene you look at Milton those storms really rapidly

02:51intensified fairly close to land and you can see all of those hurricane hits along the Gulf of

02:56Mexico there and then of course you had the unnamed subtropical system up in the Carolinas

03:01as well but it was a very very very busy and unfortunately costly hurricane season. Yeah seven

03:08landfalls if you including that unnamed subtropical storm of course. Debbie had two hits

03:14one is a hurricane in the Big Bend and then is a tropical storm north of Charleston. It's been a

03:20busy year Alex. Yes it has. All right AccuWeather lead hurricane expert Alex DaSilva. Alex thanks

03:27for joining us here on AccuWeather Early.