Tropical rainstorm to intensify near the Caribbean

AccuWeather

AccuWeather's Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva joined Bernie Rayno on the AccuWeather Network on Aug. 12 to talk the latest on the tropics.

Transcript

00:00With that I want to bring in our hurricane lead meteorologist Alex DeSilva and you know Alex

00:07we've been watching this wave over the last couple of days and you made a comment to me that

00:12boy this wave is flying I mean really moving fast to the west. Yeah it's moving at more than 25

00:18miles per hour which is about 10 miles per hour faster than the average wave moves across the

00:24Atlantic so certainly hauling across the the Atlantic right now. Now the hurricane hunters

00:29flying around in this thing right now they're finding that the winds are slowly starting to

00:33uptick however the thing is still rather disorganized they're having trouble finding

00:39an organized center at this time and that's what you need for tropical storm development so

00:44I think that any development will continue to be slow and I think we're still at least

00:49about maybe 24 hours away from before we see this thing officially become named. All right let's go

00:56over the ingredients of course the water temperatures are plenty warm enough let's

01:00talk about the dry air or in this case you know there's dry air in its path but I don't see

01:05anything coming into the area of thunderstorms I see it being pushed away. Yeah you're starting

01:10to see a little bit more thunderstorm activity in that little pocket that the storm is in right now

01:14so again starting to become better organized again I still think that it still needs a little bit

01:19more time but again you're starting to see more of the flare-up of thunderstorms indicating the

01:24storm is starting to breathe and is starting to get a little bit better organized I'm not seeing a

01:28whole lot of entrainment with that dry air we're not seeing a lot of that that yellow color in

01:33where those thunderstorms are so again the storm is slowly becoming better organized and should

01:38continue to do so as it approaches the islands. I see a little dip in the jet stream you see that

01:44Alex just north of Puerto Rico that's called causing some wind shear that dark purple shading

01:50near the northern leeward islands. It certainly is and I think the storm itself is also imposing

01:56wind shear literally on itself because again we talked about how fast the storm was moving over

02:0125 miles per hour to the west right now and you know when storms move that fast again it's hard

02:06for them to kind of catch up and essentially organize because they're just moving so fast but

02:12again like you just mentioned you have that dip in the jet stream that's imposing a little bit

02:16more wind shear so again I think it's struggling due to that wind shear not so much the dry air.

02:22Yeah let's talk about what's going to happen then Alex you know we'll show you the pathway here in

02:28a second where this is going to go but I mean the million dollar question is impacts all along the

02:33United States that's what everybody wants to know. Yeah I think the rip currents are going to be the

02:37primary impact across the United States all the way from South Florida all the way up into New

02:43England starting Friday and then going into the weekend again you're going to have a very very

02:47powerful hurricane likely north of Puerto Rico heading towards Bermuda and the waves just propagate

02:54out from the storm. It takes a day or two from from where the storm is to get to the to get to

02:58the coast but I think by the end of the week and into the weekend we're really going to see those

03:02rip current risks high across the entirety of the east coast here. Now one area watch two areas we'll

03:09keep an eye on Bermuda and then even Nova Scotia early next week Alex. Yes certainly there's going

03:14to be another dip in the jet stream coming in after this kind of the first one that's going to

03:18pull the storm north and I'm worried that that one could pull the storm a little further west.

03:23I don't think it's going to come into New England however we're going to have to watch out in

03:27Atlantic Canada, Nova Scotia and up towards Newfoundland for the storm to get maybe a little

03:32bit closer and bring impacts to those areas. All right Alex Da Silva, Accuweather lead hurricane

03:38expert. Thanks for joining us this morning on Accuweather Early Alex.

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