00:00It's time now, I believe, to bring in our hurricane expert, lead hurricane expert, Alex Da Silva.
00:06And Alex, as we follow this storm northward, it's created some challenges throughout the forecasting journey.
00:14Yeah, it certainly has.
00:15And like the camera that you just showed, we're starting to see conditions going downhill further north
00:19as this storm slowly makes its way up the coast here.
00:23And a lot of the energy is actually being spread out here as the storm starts to move north here.
00:29You can just see how wide of a scope this storm reaches from.
00:32It reaches all the way from South Carolina right now where we're seeing some flooding rain
00:36all the way up to just off the coast of southern New England.
00:40So it just goes to show just how wide of a scope this storm has right now.
00:45And with it bringing the problems of wind and, of course, some of that rainfall.
00:49So we're going to break it down piece by piece.
00:51Let's start with some of those winds.
00:53This is really the biggest component, I think, and what we should focus on
00:56because it has not only the impact of what you have on land, but also with the seawater coming in.
01:03Yeah, pretty strong winds here along the coast of the Carolinas as well as coming up towards the mid-Atlantic states.
01:08I've seen gusts approaching 60 miles per hour on the outer banks of North Carolina.
01:13So, you know, quite the windy event here.
01:15And what it's doing to the seas, take a look at this.
01:18We're seeing waves, you know, 15, maybe closer to 20 feet in some areas here.
01:22And a lot of this energy is going to be coming right on shore here, especially during these high tide cycles.
01:28And that's why we're very concerned about that coastal flooding, especially during the next several high tide cycles.
01:34And these winds partly strengthened by that chilly October air mass that a lot of us enjoyed, I think, for a taste of fall in the northeast.
01:42Yeah, we're dealing with like a little bit of a squeeze play here.
01:45You have your storm to the south and then big area of high pressure to the north bringing that cooler air.
01:50But what's happening is between those two, it's funneling.
01:53It's like funneling between two buildings almost.
01:55It's funneling that wind into the coast, and that's what's causing the coastal flooding.
02:00But not only that, the fact that the storm is really going to be slowing down here over the next couple of days.
02:04It's a prolonged event.
02:06This is not just one high tide cycle and done.
02:08This is going to be multiple high tide cycles through the rest of the weekend and into early next week as well,
02:14where we're going to have a constant push from the east eating away at those beaches.
02:20Yeah, it's going to be a battle right through the middle of this upcoming week, especially as the storm lingers.
02:25We also want to talk about some other things in the tropics because this is the time of year.
02:29It's still October, so there's other things going on.
02:32There are.
02:32You can see two highlighted areas, one more in the central main development area, and then one just coming off of Africa.
02:38That first wave, that lead wave, we do expect to turn to the north here over the next day or so.
02:42That's the orange area, make its way out to the middle of the Atlantic.
02:46It might become a tropical storm.
02:48That will stay away from the United States.
02:50The next wave, the one that's coming off of Africa now, that is the yellow area that we have highlighted with a low chance of development.
02:56That's an area I think we're going to have to watch a little closer because it might be able to slide underneath a lot of this wind shear.
03:02So you can notice the wind shear, the darker colors indicating higher amounts of wind shear.
03:06That first tropical wave kind of moves up into that wind shear, which is why we expect it to not become all that strong.
03:13The next wave, though, might be able to sneak underneath a lot of that hostile wind shear and may have a better chance of getting more organized and developing
03:22and then potentially impacting the islands down the road.
03:26You're going to have to be on the lookout to see if my name on the list is crossed off as we go through October.
03:31AccuWeather lead hurricane expert Alex Da Silva, thanks again for joining us.
Be the first to comment