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Shan and Bobby broke down an article identifying the top candidates for the NFL’s Defensive Rookie of the Year award. They discussed whether Caleb Downs can break the historical safety "curse" to win the award, and more.

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00:00Let's talk about another Rookie of the Year.
00:02Let's do it.
00:04We're going to focus on Defensive Rookie of the Year here,
00:06but I've got a problem.
00:07I'm going to list real quick the Offensive Rookie of the Year options.
00:11Ben Solak had written an article over at ESPN,
00:13and I think Ben's a really good writer.
00:15I've been aware of Ben for a long time, 10 years plus,
00:20like before he was ever at ESPN.
00:22And he's always been a really sharp guy
00:25and somebody who I like the way he looks at things,
00:27kind of blending analytic thinking, X's and O's,
00:30and just like common sense.
00:33Ben was missing on this one, I think, a little.
00:35Just a little bit.
00:36But real quick before we get to his Defensive Rookie of the Year candidates,
00:39he lists top 15 potential names for each side of the ball.
00:42And on the offensive side, he said Fernando Mendoza was number one.
00:46I don't know that he is.
00:47I don't think he's going to play that much.
00:48No.
00:49Jeremiah Love was two.
00:50Then you got Carnell Tate.
00:51The concerning thing is some of the stuff you see here,
00:53like Makai Lemon being one of the 15 on here.
00:57Or even somebody like third-round pick Antonio Williams
01:00for Washington being on this list as somebody that you could see
01:04being Rookie of the Year.
01:05But then he got to Defensive Rookie of the Year,
01:06and I did not like the way that he broke this down.
01:10He said Defensive Rookie of the Year is conveniently organized for prognosticators.
01:14Since 2000, 22 of the 26 winners have been first-round picks.
01:19The four players who didn't go in the first round
01:21were linebackers taken before 40.
01:24That's such an oddly specific, like, if you weren't a first-round pick,
01:28the other four winners are all linebackers taken between 33 and 40.
01:31So you're a top 40 pick if you've won Rookie of the Year in recent years,
01:35including last year's winner, Carson Schwestinger.
01:37Schwestinger was pick 33, first one on day two.
01:40He said, sadly, there were no linebackers taken in the second round
01:42before number 40 this year.
01:43We can stretch our constraints slightly to fit three, maybe four,
01:46maybe five linebackers on day two, and we will when we get down to the long shots.
01:50Otherwise, we're constrained to the first round.
01:52He talks about Arvel Reese and all these different players that are there.
01:56He says, for as special as Caleb Downs is,
02:00a safety has not won Defensive Rookie of the Year this century.
02:03They simply aren't around the ball enough.
02:06Downs is a candidate to spend more time in the slot given the needs of Dallas' defense.
02:09I am so tempted to keep him alive on the list in that I believe he's a spectacular player,
02:14but by the harsh reality of history, he must be cut.
02:18So he cut Caleb Downs from his top 15.
02:21I have a hard time seeing how, I understand if they haven't won before,
02:24safeties are being used a little differently now,
02:27and outside of the safeties being used differently,
02:30you've also got the fact that last year,
02:32the guy who finished second in Rookie of the Year was a safety.
02:34It was Nicky Minori.
02:35And you've had, there was another safety there that was in the top five
02:38who got a first place vote, Xavier Watts.
02:40And so they've been guys who definitely would be in the top 15,
02:44and you would think Caleb Downs is likely to me to be the guy who is getting the most reps,
02:49the most consistently out of all these players that were picked.
02:52And he's going to be out there all the time.
02:53So I don't think that that exactly passes the smell test,
02:57but this was his list.
02:58And I'm going to read basically the guys who are in the NFC East,
03:00mainly out of the 15,
03:01and then we'll go down to the larger list.
03:03Let's hang on one sec,
03:04because Jake Ray,
03:05and I was very impressed that he knew this NFL player,
03:09given how young he is going back in the day.
03:12But Jake found a Caleb Downs soundbite that's making some rounds.
03:16Yeah, so I found,
03:17I was doom scrolling one night and came across this Chris Carter.
03:19What is doom scrolling?
03:21It's when you're laying in bed and it's time to go to sleep
03:23and you scroll for an hour.
03:25Okay, I do that.
03:26I just didn't know it was doom.
03:27Yeah, that's the Gen Z term for it.
03:29So I came across this clip of Chris Carter,
03:32obviously a Hall of Fame wide receiver from the Buckeyes,
03:34and he wore number two with the Buckeyes in his time.
03:37Well, he came across Caleb Downs on the sideline in Ohio State game.
03:41Here's his interaction with the Ohio State safety.
03:44So it's the kickoff before the Oregon game,
03:46and I'm standing on the sideline,
03:48and I'm standing behind it.
03:50I'm reading like I don't know him.
03:52I'm like, hey, Downs, number two,
03:56you got to be a bad dude to wear that number.
03:58I used to wear that number.
04:01I consider myself the best to ever wear it.
04:05I mean, he slowly looked over his shoulder and smiled and said,
04:10until now.
04:13Like it.
04:14That's pretty good.
04:15I'll tell you what.
04:16Something we haven't talked about enough.
04:19In fact, while I'm reading this,
04:20you may want to pull this up and look.
04:22Go to YouTube and search Caleb Downs return.
04:26We are not talking enough about the fact that that dude is an electric punt returner.
04:32Electric?
04:32Electric.
04:33If you can go pull it up,
04:34go look up Caleb Downs return.
04:36He was not asked to do it very much at Alabama or Ohio State.
04:38When he was asked to do it,
04:40he was a monster.
04:41And it's something that like when people talk about,
04:43oh, is he that athletic or is he this or that?
04:45Yeah, he's athletic.
04:46And then he's able to do a lot in the return game.
04:48I kind of hope they would throw him back there for a punt return or two every now and then,
04:51actually,
04:52because he's a monster at it.
04:54All right.
04:54Over at ESPN,
04:55I'm going to read from the NFC East names that they have up here.
04:58First one,
04:58Arvel Reese.
04:59Ben Solak says,
05:00it's harder for an off the ball linebacker to win this award than you might expect.
05:03Only three halves since 2009 when Brian Cushing finished a four year run of stack linebackers,
05:08bringing home the hardware.
05:09We simply value pass rushing far more than tackle collection in the modern NFL.
05:13But that might be good news for Reese,
05:14who figures to grab more pass rush reps and sacks than the average off ball linebacker.
05:19The more we learn about the Giants plan for him,
05:21the easier he'll be to predict right now.
05:23He's mostly theory.
05:25There was a little bit of last year when everybody had assumed that Abdul Carter was going to be a
05:29big player in the rookie of the year conversation,
05:32that the way that the Giants kind of varied his usage slowed him down a little bit,
05:36and he wasn't one of the top candidates.
05:37I can see that absolutely being the case with Arvel Reese.
05:40Next name on this list of the top candidates to be defensive rookie of the year,
05:44Sonny Stiles,
05:45linebacker from the Commanders.
05:47This is the comp we've gotten a lot.
05:49I think you read from it yesterday that people are saying Sonny Stiles is just taller Bobby Wagner.
05:54And first thing to say here.
05:55I was thinking to myself,
05:56who are the other linebackers?
05:58Are we limited on middle linebackers to compare people to?
06:02We got Urlacher,
06:03we got Keekly,
06:04and we got Wagner.
06:05Ray?
06:06Yeah,
06:06I think it's also that you just,
06:07you don't want to...
06:08None of those guys are older.
06:09Like,
06:10that's,
06:10it's kind of telling of the linebacker position when,
06:13and we got Warner.
06:15You know?
06:15So,
06:16I don't know,
06:16sometimes when I hear he's Bobby Wagner,
06:18I'm like,
06:19are we just lacking other people to compare to recently?
06:21I think they're scared to say other names at times.
06:24Bobby Wagner is a hell of a name.
06:26Right,
06:26but nobody will ever say Patrick Willis.
06:28And then they really hesitate to say Keekly.
06:30And so people generally don't want to throw out those names,
06:32but then also it's like,
06:33okay,
06:34if you don't throw out that name...
06:35Patrick Willis better than Fred Warner?
06:37Yes.
06:38Patrick Willis is,
06:39to me,
06:40I think the best linebacker I've ever seen.
06:41Whoa!
06:42Like,
06:42he's so,
06:43so good.
06:43It's just,
06:43he was such a flash in the...
06:45It was so fast.
06:46And he was gone.
06:47I love Fred Warner.
06:49Fred Warner's great.
06:50Yeah.
06:50Fred Warner's really,
06:51really great.
06:51Fred Warner's a Hall of Famer?
06:52Yes.
06:53Yeah.
06:53Okay.
06:53I do.
06:54Or I think he will be.
06:55By the time his career's over and we take a look at the whole thing,
06:58so long as he doesn't get slowed completely by injuries here at the end,
07:01then yeah,
07:01I think he will.
07:02But I mean,
07:02Willis was,
07:03and Willis played,
07:03what,
07:04seven years?
07:04Yeah.
07:05Whatever he was.
07:06But they talk about Sonny Stiles saying,
07:08Bobby Wagner was a tackle vacuum for the commanders,
07:11but can Stiles do the same as he steps into his shoes?
07:13It's a towering task,
07:14but Stiles also has the DB background and unique frame to make far more plays
07:18in the passing game than the average starting linebacker.
07:21Riddling out whether Stiles can get 100% of the snaps in week one,
07:24with Frankie Louvoo and Leo Chanel also on the depth chart is the key to
07:28defining just how strong of a candidate he is,
07:30but the blend of tackle production and pass coverage might be too much for
07:32voters to ignore.
07:34And this is Ben Solak's list over at ESPN of the top defensive rookie of the
07:37year candidates.
07:38Did you get a chance to see Caleb Downs running around on punt returns yet?
07:41Yeah.
07:42The first one I was like,
07:43he doesn't look that fast.
07:46And then I saw the one in the Bama uniform and that one was much more.
07:50He's got some wiggle.
07:51He can move.
07:52So Ruben Bain is on this list.
07:54You've got some names like Caleb Banks,
07:56the defensive tackle for the Vikings,
07:57which doesn't seem like a better candidate than Caleb Downs to me,
08:00but you do end up.
08:01This Caleb Banks pick is polarizing.
08:05It is fascinating.
08:07They're making it sound like this was a Brian Flores pet project.
08:12That Flores was like,
08:13I don't care about all the questions.
08:14I don't care about the injury.
08:16I think it was that held him back.
08:18This guy can be an absolute freak show and a monster.
08:21And I know that you are very surprised over him getting selected there.
08:24So I can't wait to see how it works out for the defensive genius in Minnesota.
08:28He's the most football player looking non football player you've ever seen.
08:32Like he looks like a football player.
08:34He's massive.
08:35And you look at him and go like,
08:36man,
08:36that's the prototype.
08:37And you watch him play.
08:37You go,
08:37Oh,
08:37he doesn't know how to play.
08:38He has no instincts.
08:39And so that's the,
08:41I don't know.
08:42You'd have to really be banking on,
08:43man,
08:44the traits are there and we're going to be able to pull it out of him.
08:46But on this list,
08:47coming in at number seven on the top 15 is a Dallas Cowboy and it's Malachi Lawrence.
08:51He says,
08:52it's unclear just how many snaps Lawrence will get in Dallas as second year edge rusher Donovan
08:56as a rock who and trade acquisition or Sean Gary are also on the depth chart.
08:59But with new defensive coordinator,
09:00Christian Parker,
09:01tons of snaps are up for grabs.
09:03Lawrence has a lead explosiveness measure or explosive measurables and a better path to
09:07every down opportunities than late drafted pass rushers.
09:10He's the sleeper to circle as defensive rookie of the year,
09:14says Ben Solak.
09:15So the rest of the names,
09:16David Bailey was on this list.
09:17He was number one.
09:18Reuben Bain was second.
09:19Mansoor Delane.
09:20And then some of the others that may be notable.
09:22Number six on this was CJ Allen,
09:23who we talked about.
09:24Caleb Banks was number 10.
09:26You've also got Jacob Rodriguez as number 13 on the list.
09:30And so that was the top 15 rookie candidates from Ben Solak.
09:34Christian Parker on Malachi this past weekend.
09:36We had him in the formal process of the combine.
09:38I think you just see a natural rusher on tape.
09:41He has natural instincts.
09:42He can turn his toe at the top of the rush.
09:44He plays with power.
09:46He plays with urgent effort.
09:47You see him running down quarterbacks.
09:49And that's one thing we talked about.
09:51Three quarterbacks in our division are all athletic.
09:53So anybody we deploy on the edge has to be able to run sideline to sideline with him.
09:58And he has that.
09:59When we had him in the room,
10:01very smart,
10:01very bright,
10:02very thorough,
10:03very detailed in everything we talked about from run,
10:05pass,
10:06and how we study O'Lyman just a whole nine yards.
10:09I had a really good exposure to him in that process.
10:12Props as well to John Owning,
10:15formerly a PFF.
10:16I don't know.
10:17I don't want to speak as John's agent since he hasn't come on this show after G-Bag stole him
10:22from us.
10:22But he really looked good after this false step scouting report that he gave on Malachi weeks ago.
10:30I don't know how long it was,
10:31but it was before he was drafted.
10:32And then Malachi in talking to the Cowboy media was talking about how their new specialist is coaching him to
10:39get that false step out.
10:41And people are like,
10:42Oh my God,
10:42John Owning,
10:42you know what you're talking about.
10:43Yeah.
10:44John,
10:44John,
10:44John knows what he's looking at when he looks at the tape.
10:46And yeah,
10:47if they can,
10:47that's one of the things that if you can clean that up,
10:49he's going to be,
10:50what is it?
10:51False step is basically like off the line of scrimmage.
10:53It is a movement.
10:54You lift your foot off the ground.
10:56A lot of times it's the front foot that basically it is a step that doesn't actually go forward.
11:00So like when you're coming off the line of scrimmage,
11:02maybe you like start by pushing your front foot backwards and then you go.
11:06That's a false step.
11:07You're actually moving.
11:08You're making body movements and not going anywhere,
11:09or it's a side step.
11:10It causes you to just lose ground quickly.
11:13And so it's about making sure you're always moving forward or in some cases with offensive tackles,
11:17it's moving backwards,
11:18driving backwards.
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