00:00We're zooming into radar. Let's take a look. I want you to focus on the panhandle of Texas because there
00:04it is. The storms firing up and a lot of lightning right from the get go. I pointed out because
00:09that's one of the things that we look at that gives us some signal of storm strength or storm increasing
00:15in strength. It's not the only thing to look at, of course, but definitely the setup for severe weather. Now
00:22we have quite a few thunderstorms that have been going on for hours down into South Texas, not looking at
00:27widespread severe weather there, but
00:30still can't rule out an isolated strong to severe storm and lightning is a danger itself. So overall, the area
00:36most concerned about for severe weather stretches from the Texas panhandle up into Kansas City. Here you are. But then
00:43up into portions of Nebraska, including Lincoln, small part of Iowa, Missouri, of course, with Kansas City. We do have
00:49that level two out of four moderate risk area as well. Damaging wind, hail, some of the biggest concerns, though
00:56we are a little bit more likely to see some damaging
00:59wind. Flooding downpour is not out of the question, but the risk for flash flooding is going to increase as
01:04we go throughout the next several days. And we do have, like I said, several days of this ahead. Let's
01:09take another look at what is going to be going on. So we're a little overdone just at the start
01:16as far as how widespread the rain is, but this is still going to give you a good idea of
01:20what's going on with especially further north, just the repeated rounds of heavy, heavy downpours. I mean, through tomorrow, before
01:27we even get more severe weather, 1130, it's
01:29the rain that is going to be the bigger issue. And I mean, again, just the heavy downpours that can
01:34certainly lead to flash flooding. But then watch the same areas, Texas panhandle into Oklahoma tomorrow evening, more severe storms
01:41erupt as the widespread heavy rainfall moves its way into the northeast. We'll talk more about that in the big
01:47three, but let's continue on into the south central, but really the central US as a whole into Saturday. We
01:53do it all again. And really later parts of the weekend, the severe weather threats are going to ramp up,
01:59but let's talk Friday.
01:59Here we are very similar area, but stretching a little further to the east and our level two out of
02:04four moderate risk area, a little bit bigger. There it is. Same threats though. What are you most likely to
02:10see? Well, this time is the damaging wind and the hail equally at a medium risk flooding and tornadoes. You'll
02:17likely see some, but it's not going to be as widespread. But like I said, this is days of this
02:24ahead, Saturday, Sunday, Monday, and even beyond that. But you know what? This graphic only has three spots.
02:29So let's break down more of these details, bring Jeff and kind of pick up where I'm leaving off. Yeah,
02:34you can see Saturday, we're highlighting some of these areas here across southeast Kansas. And well, overall, we're going to
02:39be ramping up here into the weekend. Many areas initially, initially on Saturday, it's west of I-35 where we
02:47got the worst of the issues. And then this pulls northeast. Sunday, we have showers and storms draped from Texas
02:53all the way up into the Midwest into areas from Texas to Illinois.
02:58Monday, still the status quo, another day with strong storms. I know that this kind of lower resolution depiction of
03:03future radar and clouds doesn't look all that tenacious, but some of these storms will be aggressive where you do
03:08see thunderstorms.
03:09Then we move into Tuesday and look at this, a disturbance crosses, it's really a storm system crosses the southern
03:14Rockies. And this activates some bigger storms.
03:17There's yellows and oranges pop up briefly there. Tuesday night, Wednesday, that pulls up into the Midwest.
03:21So we've got our hands full this week and right in the middle of next week with some severe weather.
03:26So it's a daily occurrence here this weekend. The central plains, southern plains as well, strong to severe storms, even
03:32as far north on Saturday as southern Minnesota and parts of Iowa with gusty thunderstorms rolling through.
03:38We have some warmth and some humidity. And you can see all these cities from St. Louis all the way
03:42west to Albuquerque with thunderstorms in your forecast on Saturday.
03:45So it's a pretty widespread, broad zone where thunderstorms will be a concern. And separate from the main thunderstorm risk
03:52area, I do want to mention up in northern Michigan, we have some deep snowpack that's going to be rapidly
03:56melting, heavy rain on top of that.
03:58So even though they're not long running rivers, they have shorter distances to travel to dump that water into the
04:04Great Lakes.
04:05There will be the risk of some stream and creek flooding because of snow melt plus heavy rain. It is
04:10that time of the year.
04:11But regarding the Saturday severe threat, mainly west of I-35, west Texas all the way up into parts of
04:16Nebraska. That's the first concern.
04:19Sunday, that disturbance moves farther northeast into the Midwest. The risk of severe weather is there into Wisconsin, southwest Wisconsin,
04:26but still all the way down.
04:28The southern part of this is kind of pinned into Texas where we never really get a true break there.
04:32Monday, storms from north Texas all the way up into southern Wisconsin again. Damaging wind, isolated tornadoes, hail, all concerns.
04:39Then I just can't help myself out. And here we are in southern Alaska because farther south, look at this.
04:45This disturbance from the Gulf of Alaska, it comes down. Here it is.
04:49And this becomes the big one for Tuesday. It crosses California, several feet of snow in the highest elevations of
04:55the Sierra.
04:56And once that reaches the plains into Tuesday, this is going to produce some strong storms.
05:01A lot of jet stream energy there. So the lift in the atmosphere is going to be pretty extreme.
05:05So that's going to lead to some gusty thunderstorms with hail and also numerous tornadoes,
05:10potentially an issue from Oklahoma City all the way up into the Quad Cities on Tuesday.
05:13So that's our biggest day of concern. Wednesday, still problems from the Midwest down into Texas.
05:19We just can't get rid of it there in north Texas.
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