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On today's Forecast Feed, Bernie Rayno previews the next storm system that could bring light snow to southeastern New England and parts of the mid-Atlantic on Thursday and Friday.
Transcript
00:00All right, it has been quite a storm, that storm beginning to leave, and we're tracking the next
00:07storm, certainly not as powerful, but another system we need to keep an eye on as we get in
00:12the Thursday here. I do want to just show you how much this storm intensified. I want to go back
00:18earlier today and show you how much this intensified. You can see it on the water vapor
00:26loop. Let's go back to late Sunday night here. You can see this little in here. Now watch how you
00:31just get this circulation that continues to build, can ride in here. Look at that. Wow. That just
00:39shows you how much this strengthened, and then you just get this envelope of moisture on the northern
00:45side, and you can just see all this dark rain and the cold air across New England. So it's quite
00:51a
00:51storm. No doubt about that. It's pulling away, but it's certainly going to be a storm that is
00:56remembered for quite some time. All right, we do want to get you to the next setup here. Listen,
01:02nothing like we just shut, but I think there is a little opportunity Thursday, Friday for
01:09southeastern New England, parts of the Mid-Atlantic, for a little skip of snow. All right, let me break
01:14it down for you here as we go forward. So there's going to be, first of all, here's our storm
01:19leaving,
01:20a big bowling ball. Here it is, moving out to sea. Now, a couple of things going on. This little
01:26dip in
01:27the jet stream, you can see that across the Canadian prairies. This is going to bring in an
01:32injection of some colder air, not Arctic air, but colder air. Watch it come down. This is Tuesday
01:37evening, and then that sweeps through by Wednesday night into Thursday morning here. Just to show you,
01:46it's a colder air mass. I wouldn't say it's Arctic air mass, but here it comes. Watch the cold air
01:51as we get into Tuesday. See how it's coming on south? This is it right here. This moves into
01:57the northeast of the United States by Thursday morning. When I stop it here Thursday morning,
02:02you can really clearly see that you have a boundary that has been right in here. It's kind of
02:09moved right across northern Virginia, and then it stalls in here. So, of course, boundaries are
02:17locations where you have to worry about storms to form, and we have more energy coming southward
02:22as we move into Thursday and Friday, and that represents our next chance. Let me show it to
02:28you what that's going to look like Wednesday morning. So here it is. It's this. You've got this piece of
02:36energy, and you've got numerous pieces, but it's in here. Now, because of where it's located,
02:42it doesn't have a lot of moisture, right? It's not like it's coming southward, gathering gulf moisture
02:48and coming northward. It's actually what it's going to do is it's just going to ride east-southeast.
02:54There it goes. This is the American model, and here it comes. I'm going to stop it right here.
02:58There you go. Right in here. This is Thursday morning, Friday afternoon. You can see this little dip
03:03in the jet stream. Doesn't look like much, but you know what you are seeing here? It's a deep enough
03:10little dip that you're getting a west-southwest flow aloft. So what you're doing is you're going
03:15to be putting precipitation, or you're going to get a west-southwest flow in a Thursday morning
03:22into this air mass. See? West-southwest flow into this cold air mass. It's not Arctic air,
03:30but it's cold enough for snow. Now, of course, like there always is, there's differences in it.
03:35The American model is sharper with the dip in the jet stream. This is the European model. See,
03:42it's more like a west, a weak little dip coming across the area. See that? Here it comes.
03:49And then this is the European AI. See, still this little piece of energy coming northward,
03:56northward, putting some moisture, throwing it northward into some colder air. So there's going
04:02to be, I think, a little sliver of snow with this across parts of the mid-Atlantic as we get
04:08in the
04:08Wednesday night Thursday. Let me show you the surface panel here moving forward, and you can see what I
04:13mean. So here we go. This is in the northeast. So this is the American model. A little sharper,
04:18a little stronger with the dip in the jet stream. So you could see a little band of snow. Now,
04:24this is the most aggressive, once again. You know, you could see some darker blue shadings here.
04:33This would suggest Washington, D.C., Baltimore, Philadelphia. Watch it come through into accord,
04:40New York City and Long Island, some wet snow. Now, the European, a little different. It's weaker with
04:46it. So watch this. This is the European, 7 o'clock Thursday. This is the American model.
04:52American-European, American-European. Let's go to the next one. This is 1 a.m., Friday morning,
04:58European-American model. A lot deeper with the drop, so a little more snow. How about the European AI?
05:05We don't have the precipitation type, but you can see that it's right in here.
05:11However, this would be your rain-snow line. So it's suggesting a little skiff of snow
05:18from south-central parts of Pennsylvania in towards southern New England. The European,
05:23I would say, is similar. Now, the American model, deeper, so it suggests you can get a few inches of
05:30wet snow here, right in here from Washington, D.C., Philadelphia, all the way back up in the
05:37south-eastern New England. Now, I must tell you, given everything I'm looking at here, this seems
05:42to me, once again, and I know I said this with the last storm, that the American model seems to
05:49be
05:49the outlier. It seems to me that the European is probably a little closer to the actual result,
05:58the European-American model. 1 a.m. Friday, 1 a.m. Friday, so after midnight, Thursday night,
06:05European-American model. To me, I think you've got to be ready for a little bit of snow here
06:09Thursday. I'd say around Harrisburg, you know, New York City, I think there's going to be a little
06:14snow up toward Boston. Now, listen, it may have a hard time accumulating on roads because it's not
06:22like you have Arctic air mass, but I do think it's cold enough to snow. For now, let's get you
06:28ready
06:28for a little bit of snow. Let's say the southern edge is around Philadelphia, toward Harrisburg,
06:34northern New Jersey, toward the Boston area, Cape Cod, Long Island. South of this area,
06:40probably just rain. Not a big storm, but something to watch. And that's the feed.
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