Exploring Ty Simpson's Stellar College Football Season

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00:00Brings us into some of these prop bets, Joe.

00:02I love Ty Simpson.

00:03Now, facing the fact of I'm the starting quarterback, we lost at FSU,

00:06and everybody was ready to bail.

00:07Three straight good games, which includes a win down in Athens between the Hedges.

00:11Not something a lot of college football teams can do.

00:13One of the longest win streaks in the country at home was snapped last week.

00:17So, Ty Simpson coming into this ballgame, Joe.

00:19You see there.

00:20It's 293.5 on that graphic.

00:22I'm actually looking at FanDuel right now, Joe, down to 283.5.

00:26Ty Simpson's game today is what?

00:28Passing, 325 plus.

00:30Again, he just signed a deal with Gatorade before last week.

00:34An NIL deal with Gatorade.

00:36They also signed Nussmeyer prior to the game against Clemson.

00:40So, they are on to something there.

00:42They're scouting, right?

00:43He has a huge performance against Georgia.

00:45But, again, I still think they push tempo here.

00:48Why would you stop and say we want to get into a lower-scoring game?

00:52If you have a hot quarterback, a guy that hasn't thrown an interception

00:55and completing almost 70% of his passes with two big-play wide receivers

00:59in Ryan Williams and Bernard, why would you stop that?

01:03Why would you slow that momentum?

01:04So, again, Donnie, 325 plus.

01:07This has to be a breakout performance.

01:09Now, I know Milrow struggled last year with interceptions

01:12and didn't have a great performance.

01:14But, again, Ty Simpson is a better pure pocket passer.

01:18This should be one of the better performances of the day.

01:21Again, 325, 350 is not out of the realm of possibility here.

01:25Let me ask you this question about Diego Pavi.

01:27We know the guy's a pretty good quarterback on the college football landscape.

01:30And if you think there's going to be a lot of points here, let's just say 60, right?

01:32Let's say 56 and a half.

01:34That means Virginia – or, excuse me, Vanderbilt's going to have to move the football.

01:37Pavi is 206 and a half in the air.

01:39That's his number.

01:40Over one and a half touchdown passes, Joe, is plus 135.

01:45Like, are we telling you that they're going to score a lot of points for Vanderbilt?

01:48Diego Pavi's going to throw for 181 score?

01:50He's got to throw for two scores, right?

01:52It's possible.

01:53But, again, does he have – how many does he have on the ground?

01:55I think that's – here's the problem.

01:58We're talking about an Alabama defense that gave up 6.7 yards per carry against Georgia, 227 on the ground.

02:06We had Coach Bown say it's a different rushing attack.

02:09But they're still giving up $1.60 to opposing offenses.

02:12They got ripped by 230.

02:14A similar offense, Florida State runs, to what we see Vanderbilt.

02:18Mobile quarterback, they like to utilize a lot of misdirection, and they rush for 230, 240 on that front seven.

02:24We get a similar performance today.

02:27It's going to be Pavia on the ground and those running backs.

02:30Maybe he throws for one, but if he has two touchdowns on the ground and it accounts for three, that's all it takes to get the cover.

02:36Running backs here, Joe, which includes Diego Pavia on the ground.

02:3953-and-a-half for Diego Pavia.

02:41For Cedric Alexander, 41-and-a-half.

02:43Jan Miller played last week going up against a tough defense in Georgia.

02:47Maybe more running lanes today, Joe.

02:49He's up to 63-and-a-half.

02:50How are you playing some of these ground attack guys?

02:52I would take Pavia on the ground.

02:54Now, you always got to worry about sacks.

02:57But, again, that's always a problem.

02:58We know that.

02:59But, again, Pavia's game, right?

03:01He's going to break contain.

03:02If he smells the goal line, he's going to go for it.

03:05So, I like Pavia over the 53-and-a-half rushing.

03:08I would take a shot on Jan Miller just because, again, they didn't have a hint of a rushing attack last week.

03:14Only averaged 3.7 yards per carry.

03:16But if we believe that Alabama has the success that we both feel Ty Simpson will have, that will open up Jan Miller.

03:24All it takes is one run to take it to the house.

03:26So, 63-and-a-half.

03:28I would take a shot with Miller 70-plus today.

03:30Let's take a look here, and we'll focus just on singular teams here.

03:32Alabama will start with Joe.

03:33Wide receiver position, Ryan Williams, Isaiah Horton, Jeremy Bernard, and also Lutzier-Brooks.

03:3925-and-a-half, 67-and-a-half, 48-and-a-half, and 65-and-a-half, respectively.

03:42If you're going to play an Alabama wide receiver, who is that today?

03:46Bernard.

03:46Yeah, Bernard is the catalyst for that offense.

03:50Ty Simpson goes to him early and often.

03:52And I understand Ryan Williams has better ability, you could say.

03:56But he's been the most consistent for me early on.

03:59He's been a home run hitter.

04:01Anytime touchdown.

04:02He might get two in this game.

04:03So, again, if we're talking most receptions, most receiving yards, I do feel that it's Bernard over Ryan Williams in this matchup.

04:11I see your bet card right there.

04:12I think it would be awesome.

04:13Ty Simpson throws three touchdowns but doesn't score on the ground.

04:16Still three touchdowns, Joe, though, right?

04:17Does that count for you?

04:18Yeah.

04:18If he gets it for you, I still, yeah.

04:20I don't mind, but plus 155 for Simpson, I can't get the value out.

04:26Now, is that a tush push or is that I'm going to scramble it from the pen?

04:29No, I think it could be from the five-yard line.

04:31Again, I think both quarterbacks will take over the game.

04:34I do like Ty Simpson anytime touchdown.

04:37I like Pavia, though, for yards.

04:38Let's do quickly here Vanderbilt's pass catchers, Joe.

04:41You take a look at Stowers, Richardson, Cheryl, and Alexander.

04:44All lower numbers here.

04:45Stowers with 52-and-a-half.

04:46Somebody's got to catch passes because he's going to score 60 points.

04:48I like Richardson.

04:50Stowers is good, though.

04:51He's got the most receptions, 301 yards, two touchdowns.

04:55Richardson, though, for me, is another guy that has stepped up.

04:58Again, how do they utilize him?

04:59They utilize both of them, too, in terms of rush yards and reverses.

05:04So keep an eye out for that.

05:05But I would take a shot Richardson over Stowers in this bowl.

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