Arch Manning's Betting Props & Performance Outlook

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00:00And for a guy that you thought might be the number one overall pick in the draft

00:03to be a Heisman Trophy runaway, to have a 211.5 total,

00:06and then you take a look at what's his touchdown passes.

00:08Over 1.5, plus 128.

00:12Come on now.

00:13It's a wet track.

00:14I get that.

00:14I keep going back.

00:15How much rain do we expect, by the way?

00:16I looked at it.

00:1854% precipitation, scattered showers.

00:21What does that mean?

00:21It's Florida.

00:22I mean, you get this all the time.

00:23You know, so again, should that limit Arch Manning from putting up 250 in this game?

00:30No.

00:31But again, Nussmeier struggled.

00:33Byron Brown struggled.

00:35You know, again, that's going to be the matchup.

00:37How good is Florida's defense?

00:38Is this one of the top five defenses in all of college football?

00:42Statistically, they're only giving up 173 passing yards per game.

00:46Texas's defense is legit.

00:48Really good.

00:48They're all giving up seven points per game.

00:50So, at the end of the day, Texas put athletes, right?

00:54NIL has flown into Austin.

00:56You have the better athletes.

00:58Now you have to show it.

00:59Give me the under on Lagway today, Joe.

01:01Like, I did.

01:01And I said, well, Donnie, that doesn't even correlate.

01:03Like, how can you say Florida's going to hang close if DJ Lagway doesn't throw for over,

01:07let's just say, 200 yards at this point?

01:08I got his under in this game.

01:10But his touchdown prop, Joe.

01:12And sometimes you're like, well, I'm not paying that price.

01:15A half at minus 225.

01:17Like, if DJ Lagway throws for 178 yards and no touchdowns, just fire everybody here.

01:24He's got to be able to perform today.

01:27I got him under.

01:28I got him under.

01:29He's under the season total.

01:31So, again, something doesn't correlate.

01:34Lagway's trailing the whole game.

01:35They're only averaging basically 200 passing yards per game.

01:39But you go back to the games.

01:40He had 61 passing yards against the Hurricanes.

01:44I mean, from 61 yards against one of the top defense.

01:47Is there any, like, thought of he's getting benched or just, like, I'm riding and that's it?

01:52You have to live and die with DJ Lagway right now.

01:55Where's Rashad when you need him?

01:56But if they lose this game and he performs three interceptions, he throws for 110 yards,

02:02they're going to clean staff.

02:03I believe that he'll be gone potentially after this game, especially if it's embarrassing.

02:08You need to show out.

02:09But, again, I think they're alive.

02:11I think this is the one spot I'm willing to back Florida.

02:14They've performed well.

02:15So, keep an eye out for Wingo for Texas.

02:18He's been a go-to guy for Arch Manning.

02:20And, again, Manning through the air should be able to get to two and a quarter, 250 in this matchup.

02:25Now, talking about Contravian Wisner, Joe, on the ground, 63 and a half today.

02:28What's your attack for him?

02:30Well, again, when you look at the last two years for Texas, when they win games, they're running the football.

02:37So, for me, Wisner's got to get to potentially 70, 80-plus.

02:41When you look at just Miami's ability to pound the rock, two weeks ago with Mark Fletcher had a dynamic performance.

02:47It's got to be the physical offensive line.

02:49Again, this should be a 35-point performance for Texas.

02:53But, again, that means Wisner's got to eat it on the ground.

02:56So, I like him over 63 and a half.

02:58I like him to maybe potentially score a couple touchdowns as well.

03:02How about this prop bet, Joe?

03:03Florida to not score a touchdown plus 950.

03:07Is there a chance that Florida does not score?

03:10They barely scored against Miami.

03:11I'm on the over, so I can't bet.

03:13Well, come on now.

03:14How about like 45-0 Texas?

03:15Bang.

03:1645-6 Texas.

03:18We get 55-0 like they did.

03:19How about four field goals out of Florida to help you out, Joe?

03:21Come on now.

03:21All right, they've got to give me something.

03:23I mean, no touchdowns.

03:25I mean, it's not a bad bet, 10-to-1.

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