00:00Passing props, Joe. Aguilar, 2-0-1-1-1-1. Gunner Stockton, 2-19-1-1-1. Touchdown passing props.
00:07Each one of these quarterbacks for over one-and-a-half touchdown passes. Aguilar, one-and-a-half is plus 154.
00:12You take a look at Stockton, one-and-a-half, it's a minus-1-18 price.
00:15Which quarterback, Joe, are you going with today if you had to bet props on?
00:18Easy, Aguilar. Aguilar, because you look back to the recent big games that they have played,
00:25and the quarterback for Tennessee has been inconsistent.
00:28Nico was inconsistent. Hendon Hooker had a terrible game when he went to Athens,
00:33and they were a six-and-a-half, seven-point dog, and he got sacked six times.
00:37If there's going to be one quarterback to blow through his total today, it has to be Joey Aguilar.
00:43We believe he's an upgrade from Nico. Now he has to show it.
00:47So, again, Stockton could be in the area 180-190s. I keep telling you the numbers.
00:51Here's one. 51-0, Donnie.
00:55Those numbers don't lie. Georgia, every time they rush for over 200 yards,
01:00that's dating back from 2017 against FCS and FBS opponents.
01:05They don't lose. The two years that they won back-to-back national championships,
01:09year one, they rushed for over 208 times.
01:12Year two, when they beat TCU, that year they rushed for over 206 times.
01:16They only averaged last year 132 rushing yards per game.
01:20Had one game where they rushed for over 200 yards.
01:24Right now, they're averaging 214. Have one game already.
01:27So, the rushing attack, to me, is more critical for Georgia than it is Tennessee.
01:32I need to see more out of Tennessee's passing game today.
01:36Good. How about this segue over to the running back position, Joe?
01:38I'm going to give you two running backs today and two totals to take a look at.
01:40Star Thomas for Tennessee. 35-and-a-half is his rushing prop, Joe.
01:44Nate Frazier, 56-and-a-half.
01:46You had to go one back on one of these numbers. Where do you go?
01:48I took Frazier. I told you in the open, I altered him plus 168 at 70-plus.
01:54So, again, it comes down, and I understand they use running back by committee,
01:58but Nate Frazier has to be the workhorse.
02:00Think about the game last year when the rushing attack was inconsistent
02:03and they played Texas on the road.
02:05It was ETN that had the big day.
02:07Three rushing touchdowns. He had like 75, 80 yards on the ground.
02:11It has to be your workhorse.
02:13That's Nate Frazier. Look for him to get a heavy dose early,
02:16build a lead, and then maybe Stockton can work off a play action.
02:20How about wide receivers, Joe?
02:22Brazel, 45-and-a-half yards, screaming to me as a wide receiver to wide receiver, Joe.
02:27He's got to be a key today.
02:28If you need Tennessee to get off the schneid and loosen up that running game,
02:31the wide receivers have to produce today.
02:33But also, Joe, looking down the list, like he's 45-and-a-half.
02:36Mike Matthews, 36-and-a-half.
02:38Staley, 41-and-a-half.
02:40Not a lot of big-name wide receivers here with big numbers, Joe.
02:42I would take Matthews, and the reason why I say that is think about Kirby Smart,
02:46defensive-minded head coach, just like Nick Saban.
02:49He's going to take away your number one option.
02:52Now, Brazel and Matthews have combined for 22 receptions,
02:55over 300 yards, and three touchdowns.
02:58But Brazel has more of a consistent quarterback-to-wide receiver relationship with Aguilar.
03:03So look for Georgia to take that away.
03:06That means Matthews should eat underneath.
03:08We'll see if they can do it.
03:09I mean, both of those guys, you can't go wrong, even if, let's say,
03:13Brazel's contained in the first half.
03:15You might get a 20 number in the second half.
03:17I mean, if Aguilar's going to step up, he's going to do it.
03:20We know Georgia, Joe.
03:21They want to run the football.
03:22But obviously, you can't just run the football and pound your head into that brick wall
03:26time and time again.
03:27Zachariah Branch is a talented wide receiver.
03:29He sits at 38-and-a-half, Joe.
03:30But how about Oscar Belt, 16-and-a-half.
03:33That tells me two catches, Joe.
03:35Yeah, absolutely.
03:36You look at big games for Georgia, they always go to the tight ends, right?
03:40Lucky Lawson.
03:41Lawson, Lucky, and Oscar Delp.
03:43Delp has great numbers, 16-and-a-half.
03:45I'll take it a step further.
03:47Delp, anytime touchdown, I think is where we look.
03:49That's where we're going next.
03:50Yep.
03:51Red zone opportunities.
03:52But I do like Delp over the 16-and-a-half.
03:54That's where we're going next to the 16-and-a-half.
03:56That's where we're going next to the 16-and-a-half.
03:57That's where we're going next to the 16-and-a-half.
03:58That's where we're going next to the 16-and-a-half.
03:59That's where we're going next to the 16-and-a-half.
04:00That's where we're going next to the 16-and-a-half.
04:01That's where we're going next to the 16-and-a-half.
04:02That's where we're going next to the 16-and-a-half.
04:03That's where we're going next to the 16-and-a-half.
04:04That's where we're going next to the 16-and-a-half.
04:05That's where we're going next to the 16-and-a-half.
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