00:00Gabrielle is fighting back after being held down by some dry air and wind.
00:05Yes, it is. Really, when we look at the satellite picture of Gabrielle, up until recently, if I said, didn't have the circle here, and I said, find Gabrielle in the Atlantic, you might not have been able to, because even here at AccuWeather, we were looking at it and we're like, there it is.
00:22Okay, I see it now. And the reason why, we've had this area of low pressure, right? You can kind of see the circulation, but until recently, we didn't have any convection with this. We didn't have the thunderstorms we typically would see with a tropical storm.
00:34Now we're starting to see some of that convective activity as Gabrielle tries to fight against these unfavorable conditions. There's two things that it's really battling against. First, dry air.
00:45When we look at the water vapor loop, the yellows, the oranges, that's our dry air. And we typically would not see this inside our bubble. It's been moving into this storm system, and that is just really making it difficult for Gabrielle to continue on.
00:59But then also, stronger wind shear. That's the darker purple. That's what Gabrielle does not want. And not only do we have the stronger wind shear where our storm system is, but we're tracking to the west-northwest.
01:10So kind of, generally speaking, into this direction. Maybe it's a little bit farther north than where Gabrielle is actually tracking, but either way, we have stronger wind shear in this area, right?
01:20So Gabrielle's just kind of going to stick with the status quo and keep fighting for the next couple of days, or really 24 hours or so.
01:27But then we move into an area of lower wind shear, starting late tomorrow through the weekend. That's when we think Gabrielle starts to really make some moves.
01:35So when I say that, this is what I mean. Look at our eyepath. By Monday, we think we get to hurricane status.
01:41Now, the good news for us in the U.S., we're not talking about any direct impacts and really not even indirect impacts.
01:46Maybe some rough seas, some rip currents, but overall, Bermuda, you guys are the ones that need to be on alert for that influx of rain and thunderstorms,
01:55the stronger wind gusts, and then, of course, the coastal hazards as we go really through Monday and then the storm system continues on to the northeast.
02:04We'll see you next time.
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