No tropical storms expected for at least another week, but a busy season still ahead

AccuWeather

AccuWeather forecasters say none of the tropical waves in the Atlantic right now will develop into storms, but we're already ahead of average for the hurricane season with a lot worse expected in the months ahead.

Transcript

00:00let's talk all things tropics and so far during this 2024 hurricane season.

00:06Here's a look by the numbers where we would be from a historical average

00:10standpoint. The first three storms typically right around the third of

00:14august. Well we've already seen three named systems of course a lot again of

00:20time spent on barrel as it made its way throughout again several 1000 miles of

00:26stretch of water eventually making landfall along the texas coastline and

00:30causing in lots of damage and lots of flooding as well as severe weather.

00:34We're not anticipating tropical development here this week and here's

00:38why we talk about three primary ingredients for the formation of

00:41tropical systems warm sea surface water temperatures moisture and a lack of

00:46wind shear. We have warm sea surface water temperatures but we do not have a

00:50lot of moisture instead we have dry dusty air and we have strong wind shear

00:54the winds higher up in the atmosphere. So even our tropical waves here are not

00:58really packing that much moisture in place but like I said we do have a lot

01:03of warm water and that's going to be fuel for a very active season. In fact

01:08it's supercharged hurricane season where we're calling for an above historical

01:12average number of named storms hurricanes and major hurricanes. Here's

01:17the actual numbers your exclusive accuweather forecast 20 to 25 named

01:21storms 8 to 12 of those hurricanes and 4 to 7 of those becoming major hurricanes

01:27and again 25 named storms in itself here in the atlantic basin would be the third

01:32most active atlantic hurricane season on record. So that would be in some very

01:38rare territory if you think back to the year 2020 when we exhausted the alphabet

01:44here we saw 30 named systems.

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