00:00 NBA brackets. They're out right now. The final four were here. Western Conference Final Set.
00:07 Eastern Conference Final Set. Let's focus here on the Western Conference Finals. The
00:11 Timberwolves and the Mavericks. Ben, I've been talking about this for the past two hours
00:15 and it looks like we even have movement already in the Western Conference Final Series. The
00:20 Timberwolves now down to a minus 154 price. The Dallas Mavericks at a slight dog price
00:24 at plus 126. Let's start here. Are we in agreement here that the Timberwolves are the better
00:30 team or Tom, are you saying, you know what? I think the Mavericks at that price point
00:34 plus 126 makes even more sense. I think the Mavericks are certainly alive in the series
00:39 to win it. So I would side with that. I think, you know, if it was closer odds, I may be
00:43 going to the Timberwolves, but I'm not willing to lay that price. So I'm on board. The Mavericks
00:47 winning six, six games in the series plus 200, seven games is at plus 220. So you can
00:52 get a piece of both. And as long as it goes to six or seven games, you still come out
00:55 net positive. So that's where I'm looking, you know, as we start the series for game
00:59 one, PJ Washington under 12 and a half points, see a minus 120, you know, a couple of games
01:04 versus the founder. He went over this prop by a big, big margin, 18, 19, 23 field goal
01:09 attempts. Those are clear outliers. When we look at the other games, when we look at the
01:12 first series versus the Clippers, this is a player that should be taking seven, eight,
01:16 nine field goal attempts. So seeing him, him have 19 or 23 is far, far too many. He's
01:21 not going over that Mark and Luca and Kyrie. It's like not all those players are going
01:25 over at the same time against this great defensive PJ Washington under 12 and a half points.
01:30 The Timberwolves in their four wins in their second round series against Denver, all four
01:34 game state under the Nuggets failed to reach even a hundred points. It is going to be a
01:39 difficult offensive test for Dallas, despite the significant role that PJ Washington played
01:45 in that second round series victory over O. K. C. Vecchio. Now we go to the Eastern Conference
01:51 finals, Boston expected to be here and Boston expected to make quick work minus 1254, the
01:58 Celtics on that series outright price. Will it be as easy as the odds makers expect over
02:04 the Indiana Pacers? Boston's the best team. I think we've known this for a couple of years
02:09 at this point. So when we look at that money line at minus 1200, like no one wants to bet
02:13 that. So like, but what does that tell us? It means that there are these massive favorites
02:16 and they should be coming away with this pretty easily. So Celtics winning series four to
02:20 one is plus one 55 or four to two is plus four 10. Like that money line is telling us
02:25 like this should not be a seven game series. So if we just like reverse engineer that the
02:30 Celtics winning four to one, basically that's what we're getting. So plus one 55 is a spot
02:34 to certainly go. Also in game one, I would look to possible Siakam under seven and a
02:38 half rebounds, minus one 25. He's only averaging seven and a half for the season. And again,
02:43 we're not going to see him and Turner and all these players go over. You know, when
02:46 we saw something to be very good in terms of rebounding, well, sure. Mowgli had a few
02:50 big games when it comes to the boards that recent series, and that's going to happen,
02:53 but certainly not expecting it on a night to night basis for Siakam.
02:57 Expect expectations here for an NBA championship has the Boston Celtics at the fan blue sportsbook
03:02 at a minus one 60 price followed by the T-wheels plus two 80 and the Mavericks and the Pacers.
03:06 Are we looking at these price points as appropriate Tom? And do you see any value in any one of
03:11 these price points?
03:12 It's appropriate. And like I said, if I like the Mavericks live in the series, I guess
03:16 500 is a spot you could go. You know, I'd have to double check Lucas MVP odds. They're
03:20 probably a little bit longer than plus 500. So it's, you know, what I've always said about
03:24 like my homes, when we talk about the Superbowl, just take Luca to win MVP. And if it's a little
03:28 bit longer than their than their direct outcome for championship, you're essentially getting
03:33 that because if Luca wins the MVP, they're winning the championship at that point. So
03:36 that's where it ultimately looked to go.
03:38 [inaudible].
03:39 (upbeat music)
03:41 [BLANK_AUDIO]
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