00:00 Hi there and welcome to the latest week ahead forecast from the Met Office. The second half
00:04 of April has brought cooler than average weather but that's about to change as the winds change
00:09 direction. Now normally through the winter and the first half of spring we talk about
00:13 southwesterlies being mild and northeasterly winds being cold. This week however that's
00:19 switching on its head and that's because we start the week with these cool southwesterlies
00:24 that don't really come from the southwest, they're bringing air that comes from further
00:29 north. Meanwhile, warm air over the Mediterranean and the continent, watch how it moves north
00:36 over the next few days and this plume of warmth then arrives into the UK on an easterly and
00:41 then northeasterly winds. So we start the week with cool southwesterlies and we end
00:46 the week with warm northeasterlies. But bear in mind it's not going to feel warm everywhere.
00:52 There will be exceptions, particularly where we've got some wetter weather lingering towards
00:56 the far southwest and where we've got some fret and higher affecting northeastern coasts,
01:02 temperatures are still going to be suppressed. Elsewhere we have got warmer conditions developing
01:07 over the next few days but it doesn't necessarily mean it's going to be drier everywhere. Now
01:12 we start the week with the focus of the wet weather towards the west and watch how the
01:17 rain builds up across the map through Monday to Friday. Western areas on Tuesday seeing
01:23 the bulk of the wet weather. Then the focus turns to southern parts as low pressure sinks
01:28 to the south and the highest rainfall totals are expected through the next week or so across
01:34 south Wales and southwest England. Some upland areas seeing 50 to 100 millimetres of rain.
01:41 But note those areas where we're going to see very little rainfall, if any, east Midlands
01:45 for example, parts of southeast England and towards the far north and northwest of Scotland.
01:51 So a very mixed week of weather from place to place and from day to day. We start the
01:55 week or at least we start Tuesday with some fine weather there across central and eastern
01:59 parts of England. Northern Scotland also faring well for sunny spells. Further west we've
02:04 got cloud and outbreaks of rain and increased breeze as well, particularly gusty wind around
02:10 western coast making it feel on the cool side. The sun will return for Northern Ireland in
02:14 between scattered showers although it stays dull and damp in western Scotland, Wales and
02:19 the southwest. Meanwhile, we keep the sunshine in the east of England, northeast Scotland
02:23 as well, one or two light showers possible. But temperature contrasts quite significant
02:29 across the UK on Tuesday afternoon, 19 possibly stretching to 20 Celsius in the east of England,
02:36 12 to 13 for the west of the UK with that blustery breeze coming from the southwest.
02:44 Then later Tuesday, the low pressure that's sitting out to the west of the UK meanders
02:49 around, but eventually the winds begin to switch more to a southeasterly direction.
02:55 They'll bring this feature into eastern parts of the country to bring some showery rain
02:59 on Wednesday, so a cloudier outlook for Wednesday morning compared with how we end things on
03:04 Tuesday in the east. And that's where there'll be some wet weather into eastern Scotland,
03:09 northeast England for example, and an increased amount of low cloud and mist and murk and
03:14 so on around some of the coastal parts here. That means temperatures will be limited to
03:19 13 or 14 Celsius, some places 11 or 12 Celsius at best. Meanwhile, it's a warmer day towards
03:26 the west and a drier day as well with some sunny spells, albeit with a few showers still
03:30 possible and a lot of cloud cover, some patchy rain arriving into the midlands, central,
03:36 southern England by the end of the day. The best of any sunny spells and prolonged dry
03:39 weather, western Scotland towards the far southwest, west Wales for example, where temperatures
03:45 will reach the mid-teens. Then into Wednesday night, well, we're looking
03:51 at a different low pressure by this stage, one over continental Europe. This is a thundery
03:56 area of low pressure and you'll note the warmer colours as well arriving across many parts
04:02 of the country from the southeast. But this feature associated with the warm, humid air
04:07 over the continent could bring some thundery rain overnight Wednesday and into the start
04:12 of Thursday. So we start off Thursday with some potentially
04:16 very heavy rainfall across southern and southwestern parts of the UK, into south Wales for example.
04:21 Frequent lightning a possibility overnight and into the very early morning on Thursday.
04:27 Some uncertainty about exactly where these thunderstorms will occur, but they'll be moving
04:31 their way northwestwards through the morning. It could be a damp morning for the southwest
04:35 of England and south Wales, thunderstorms tending to ease but leaving a legacy of outbreaks
04:40 of rain I suspect well into the afternoon across this part of the country.
04:45 Elsewhere, it's mostly dry but there will be that low cloud hugging the northeast coast,
04:51 eastern Scotland, northeast England for example. Perhaps Dan to look towards Lincolnshire and
04:55 North Norfolk as well. Best of any sunshine, once again, western Scotland, northern Ireland
05:00 doing well, northwest England into parts of the Midlands and east Anglia. And it's in
05:04 this sunnier swathe that the highest temperatures will be. Again, marked contrast up and down
05:10 the country. Cool where we've got the cloud and rain towards the southwest, 14 or 15 Celsius.
05:15 Cool where we've got that northeasterly breeze and the low cloud in the northeast, 12 Celsius
05:20 at best. But where we do have some sunshine for western Scotland, northern Ireland, through
05:25 these central parts of the UK, the potential for 18 to 22 Celsius.
05:32 Then into Friday, a similar picture with outbreaks of showery rain across parts of Wales and
05:38 the south of England. Perhaps some showers returning into the east of England for a time
05:41 as well. Elsewhere, a lot of cloud cover but once more, sunniest place likely to be western
05:47 Scotland, parts of northwest England, northern Ireland seeing some bright conditions as well.
05:52 And where we get the sunshine, once again, temperatures up into the high teens, perhaps
05:56 low 20s, where we've got the mist and low cloud in the northeast, temperatures once
06:01 again limited. Similar themes as we head into the start of
06:04 the weekend. We've got higher pressure towards the southwest, low pressure eventually sinking
06:09 away from the south of the UK to lead to some drier weather for a time at the start of the
06:13 bank holiday weekend. But further lows trying to move in and the speed at which these lows
06:19 begin to affect the UK through the weekend, that's a source of continuing uncertainty
06:23 at the moment. And the extent to which this area of high pressure and high pressure to
06:28 the north cling on, well again, that is a little uncertain at the moment. But it looks
06:33 likely that Saturday will be mostly dry and increased chance of showers or longer spells
06:38 of rain as the weekend progresses. We'll keep you updated on that and of course everything
06:43 else you can follow those updates on our YouTube channel. Bye bye.
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