00:00We're also tracking a few things in the tropics, Jeff, and we're going to have our eye on Hawaii this
00:03weekend, too.
00:04That's very true, and we have been looking at the Pacific tropics quite a bit with Polo and Nolo,
00:09and again, we also have Odalis out there, but we're also tracking the Atlantic tropics,
00:14and we've got a couple of things to track here as well.
00:18Faye, Tropical Storm Faye, is back, and we also now have a tropical rainstorm
00:22that's going to impact some land masses out near the Cabo Verde Islands,
00:25and there's a small chance that perhaps the storm that will be a nor'easter that Anna's been tracking
00:31could gain some subtropical characteristics, so it's a non-zero chance that that could actually get a name, too,
00:36although we're betting against that for now.
00:38And you can see Tropical Storm Faye is out there, but this storm is just going to meander around, drifting
00:44west.
00:44It'll never make it remotely even close to Bermuda, and that'll be it.
00:47But this new tropical rainstorm off the coast of Africa, we're very close to Africa,
00:51and this is a really beefy tropical wave.
00:54Look at all this moisture. We haven't had many tropical waves of this magnitude for a while,
00:57but look at the steering flow, and again, we just are shut down here with so much wind shear
01:03over the main development region.
01:05This is going to be pulled northwestward, and the Cabo Verde Islands may be facing a tropical storm here
01:10as we get into the weekend.
01:11We're looking at 40 to 60 mile-per-hour gusts there for some of the islands,
01:14and also one to two inches of rain locally higher.
01:19So that's the storyline that we're tracking as well.
01:21And as we bring it back closer to the east coast, again, just a huge trough, abundant moisture out there.
01:28But as a new, this little subtle feature over the Carolinas, that is a disturbance that came down from the
01:35Midwest.
01:35As that reaches the coastline, it's going to inject a little bubble of cooler air aloft,
01:40and that's going to help to organize and strengthen this whole storm system.
01:44We're going to begin to see this really take over.
01:46So we are at least nodding to that in our tropical development risk map,
01:50just because this could gain some subtropical characteristics, and that's something worth at least monitoring.
01:55Now, with all that said, we are in uncharted territory among the satellite era.
02:01No hurricanes yet.
02:03Among the past 100 years, the latest first hurricane was September 21st of 1941.
02:07One, admittedly, maybe we missed some before 1966 when there was no satellite technology,
02:14but the latest first hurricane among any years with a hurricane, October 7th to the 8th of 1905,
02:19the first one formed that year, but there were two years when we don't know of any hurricanes.
02:23Again, we did not have satellite data, so certainly we count more storms now than we used to.
