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RJ Choppy opened up some Diamond Calves, breaking down the Rangers’ 2026 season outlook based on ESPN projections and playoff expectations. They discussed key players like Wyatt Langford and Corey Seager, the importance of health for Josh Jung and Evan Carter, pitching expectations, the new ABS system, and more.

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00:00How can you not be romantic about romanticizing last year in the baseball world and the offense that the Texas
00:08Rangers have?
00:08What have I told you here on Diamond Cavs?
00:11I think this is your fifth attempt at doing this.
00:13What, the offense?
00:15Making us feel better.
00:15Yeah.
00:16What have I told you?
00:17If the Rangers' offense was not bad, it was unlucky.
00:21What have I told you that?
00:23This is from ESPN.
00:25They did their preseason because the baseball season starts today, Peyton.
00:28It starts tonight.
00:30They did a preseason projected win totals, playoff odds, World Series chances, and power rankings.
00:38And the Rangers come in.
00:39This is higher than I've seen them anywhere else.
00:41Most of the places I've seen them, 17, 18.
00:44ESPN has them at number 14.
00:46They have them at number 14, a projected record of 83 and 79.
00:5040% chance to make the playoffs, 2% chance to win the World Series.
00:55And one thing they said the thing we'll be talking about most this season is Wyatt Lankford taking another leap.
01:00And, obviously, the write-up is he made the opening day roster in 24, bet to much fanfare, less than
01:07a year after getting drafted with the fourth spot.
01:09The left fielder was better last year, 22 homers, 22 steals, a 5.6 war in 134 games.
01:16At just 24, a five-tool skill set.
01:20There's room for improvement.
01:21In his third season, spring training production can be fool's gold, but he has crushed pitching in the Cactus League.
01:30One bold prediction, they say.
01:32A little worrisome.
01:34A little worrisome.
01:35I talked about this yesterday with McCutcheon.
01:37Every single hype preview is focused on one guy.
01:42It's all one guy.
01:42It's all Wyatt Lankford.
01:44It's all Wyatt Lankford.
01:45That part's good, but, man, you'd like to be able to talk about two or three other things.
01:49Yeah.
01:50I was seeing some Jake Berger.
01:52Uh-huh.
01:52Peterson.
01:53A little bit of Jack Leiter.
01:54Yep.
01:55Uh, Jock?
01:58Peterson?
01:58Maybe a little bit, yeah.
02:00Oh, he looks in better shape.
02:02Oh, my God.
02:02He's in better shape.
02:03I don't know if I like that one.
02:04Throw that into the McCutcheon category.
02:06Like, if we're that excited about Jock Peterson, come on.
02:08That's it.
02:09Look, they're going to be, it's pretty simple.
02:13I assume Wyatt Lankford's going to take a leap.
02:15I assume Corey Seager's going to be great when he's out there.
02:18It all comes down to young Carter.
02:21Are they healthy, and can they play?
02:24Like, can they recreate 2023 and stay healthy?
02:28I expect the pitching to be pretty damn good.
02:31I expect the pitching to be a top 10 rotation of the sport.
02:34Top five.
02:36If it's not, if it's not a top five rotation, you're going to struggle.
02:40Yeah.
02:41You're going to struggle.
02:41It's as simple as that.
02:43We'll get to how the offense was better, but let me tell you this.
02:47The bold prediction, last time they had two pitchers make the All-Star team was 2013.
02:512013, Darvish and Joe Nathan.
02:54This year, they expect Evaldi and DeGrom to be selected, and they both finish with ERAs in the twos.
03:02That would be awesome.
03:04Keeping the Rangers in the AL West race into the final week of the regular season.
03:08Okay.
03:09There's the bold prediction.
03:10ERA in the twos, not that bold.
03:12If, like, expectations of baseball to me is always odd, because it's such a long season.
03:20Like, a team like this, it's like, I need to be playing meaningful baseball in September.
03:27Meaningful baseball in September.
03:28A chance at a wild card.
03:30You're going to get unlucky.
03:31You're going to win some games.
03:32You should lose.
03:33You're going to lose some games.
03:34You should win.
03:34It's just make sure that that number is on the right side of the positive.
03:39What they can control, you know, obviously, is they can't control health.
03:44They can't control health.
03:45They can control basically their pitching staff, and that's it.
03:48But they can't even control health on that one either.
03:50Brett Boone, former Rangers hitting coach, joins us at 9 o'clock this morning, and he'll be joining us throughout
03:56the year.
03:57And on Zoom, we'll see his face.
03:59His pretty little face.
04:00It's 7 a.m.
04:00It'll be 9 a.m.
04:01Our time, 7 a.m.
04:02They say Skip Schumacher is the most likely award winner as AL Manager of the Year.
04:09What?
04:11Of everybody on the organization, the most likely award winner that the Rangers have is Skip Schumacher.
04:18Not that he's going to win it.
04:19Not that he's going to win, but if the Rangers have an award winner, it's most likely to be Schumacher.
04:24All right.
04:25Because other candidates, Wyatt MVP, Cy Young.
04:32The Wyatt MVP problem is Bobby Jr. and Aaron Judge.
04:38Yeah.
04:39Aaron seems to just be on cruise control right now, and Bobby has been knocking on the door.
04:43Do they do a baseball most improved?
04:45Do we have that like we do in the NFL?
04:47I don't really remember hearing that.
04:49I don't know.
04:49I don't know if they do or not.
04:51Because that would be the most likely award for one of these bounce backs, hopefully.
04:55I mean, it could be Berger, Peterson, Young, Carter.
04:58I mean, any one of those guys, right?
05:00You know, they could have that.
05:01Maybe they have a utility man of the year, and Josh Smith gets it.
05:05But one thing they say in this, the Rangers are a sleeper team.
05:08They do not have an official most improved player.
05:10The Rangers put up a run differential of a 90-win team last year, despite being 81-81.
05:19They retooled the offensive attack.
05:21If they challenge for the West title, Schumacher's going to get a lot of credit.
05:24So I went and looked.
05:26You know, they had a bullpen that was near the top of the league, AL, in ERA.
05:32The Rangers scored 500 runs in their 81 wins.
05:40They scored less than 200 runs in their 81 losses.
05:45And I was like, that seems high.
05:49That seems like a really, really, really, really, really big differential.
05:53Yeah.
05:53Of the 700 runs you score, and you had the same amount of wins and losses, you scored
05:58two and a half times the amount of runs.
06:00Because this isn't garbage time in football.
06:02No.
06:03This isn't last four minutes, just go up and down the field when you're getting blown out.
06:08Imagine the Cowboys averaging 20 points a game in their losses and 30 in their wins.
06:16Or actually, 35 in their wins.
06:18That's what it would be.
06:18So basically, they're home and road.
06:20Right.
06:20It would be 35 in their wins and 20 in their losses.
06:23That's how you get to be a 500 team.
06:25That's how the Cowboys were 7-9-1.
06:28Right?
06:28They played well at home.
06:29They didn't play well on the road.
06:30They scored a lot in their wins.
06:31They didn't score in their losses.
06:33But to score 500 runs in their wins and less than 200 in your losses, and, you know, maybe
06:39I went through all the teams.
06:40This would be normal.
06:41But every other team that I found that had a split similar to that, where they're scoring
06:47two and a half times the amount of runs in their wins versus losses, they all won 90 games.
06:52Okay.
06:52They all won 90 games.
06:54This was all or nothing.
06:55And that has to change.
06:57But the Rangers also are higher on this than I've seen them anywhere else.
07:01They've got them as the 8th best American League team.
07:0490 games, by the way, with Seattle winning the West.
07:07Yeah.
07:07With exactly 90 games.
07:08You win 90 games, you're making the postseason.
07:11You're either going to win the division or you're going to get in the wild card.
07:13But the team's ahead of them, and they've got to get into the top, what, six?
07:18They've got Baltimore ahead of them, and they've got Houston.
07:20I don't trust Baltimore.
07:22I think Houston's on the downward spiral.
07:24I don't trust Houston.
07:25Honestly, I don't love the Red Sox like everybody else does.
07:29Their top-end rotation's really good.
07:31Roman Anthony's a superstar.
07:33Outside of Duran, I don't love their lineup.
07:35But are you believe, this is a classic case of a segment we used to call eyes versus calculator.
07:42Because you can give me all the run differential stuff, and it is nice to hear that every other team
07:51has won 90 games.
07:52That tells me they did get unlucky by nine losses, but my eyes sees the lineup, looks at the numbers,
08:00knows the names, and I'm not buying into it.
08:03The reason I'm not buying into it.
08:05I want to buy into it, but I'm not.
08:06Yeah, I am taking the approach of, like.
08:11It can't be worse.
08:12Well, it can't be worse.
08:13You can't have a worse year for Young and Carter and Jock.
08:17I'm taking the approach of, like, sooner or later, these guys are going to get healthy.
08:23They're not going to just sit there and miss.
08:27Yeah, four guys miss 40 games each.
08:30And that's sooner or later.
08:32But, Choppy, here's the problem.
08:33It happened in 2023, by the way, where they got healthy.
08:35Here's the problem.
08:39If Evan Carter and Josh Young both play 145 games, I'm still not to the point.
08:46That you think they're going to be good.
08:47That I know that they're definitely good.
08:49I get it.
08:50I mean, Carter, when he first came up, Young has had his moments where I was getting ready to believe.
08:56Yeah, I get you.
08:57Defensively and offensively.
08:58But, okay, it's not like saying, let's make sure Grant Hill, let's make sure Trout is healthy.
09:05If Trout's healthy, we're good.
09:06Yeah.
09:07If these guys are healthy, I still don't know.
09:09Right.
09:09I get it.
09:10And that's something they're going to have to overcome because they're going to have to progress.
09:14The one thing about that that gives me a little bit of hope is that when you're up and down,
09:23when you're healthy, then healthy and hurt, you can't really get into a groove.
09:28And maybe if you're able to stay healthy for an entire year, you could find a way to get into
09:33a groove.
09:33It's really hard to get better when you're sitting on the bench.
09:36It's really hard for Josh Young to improve as a player when he's playing 30 games and he's out for
09:4220.
09:43Right.
09:43It's really, really hard.
09:44So that's the hope.
09:46And it's hopium.
09:48It is.
09:49We're drunk on hopium right now.
09:52But that's where the Rangers sit.
09:54We've got some ABS.
09:58So Netflix tonight.
10:00Major League Baseball starts.
10:01Let me give you my Bonds clip.
10:03All right.
10:03We can get to more Diamond Caps throughout the show.
10:05Brett Boone at 9 o'clock.
10:07So this is going to be Barry Bonds added to the coverage.
10:11It's Yankees and Giants.
10:13It's a standalone game.
10:15Video goes along even better than this, but I just nerded up over this.
10:19I think you will as well.
10:20And hopefully the Tolos do.
10:21Hopefully Barry Bonds can add some of this.
10:24This is some random clips that have been leaking out on the Internet of Barry getting the iPad
10:30and recalling some of his matchups.
10:33Here's one of the all-time ones.
10:36Maddox versus Bonds.
10:38Ooh, jam.
10:39Fastball.
10:40What was that?
10:4192.
10:42Pretty good cutter that beat him.
10:44I'm feeling okay about throwing that pitch.
10:47So he's going to try to float a changeup or something.
10:49That little floater away.
10:51Because he thinks I'm going to speed up because they jammed me.
10:54The cutter beat him.
10:56So I thought he would speed up.
10:57I threw a changeup and he spit on it.
11:00Yeah, it's his changeup.
11:03I mean, that's a pretty good changeup right there.
11:05And it was an easy take for him.
11:07I didn't even try.
11:08I just knew it.
11:10And now we're playing chess.
11:12He knows he can't beat me inside.
11:15Experience has taught me that he's probably looking in.
11:18Back then, I didn't know it.
11:19And most of the time, I was always waiting for that 92 and back over the plate so I could
11:25catch him.
11:26And I'm just praying for it.
11:29Bonds hits one high to right field and deep.
11:32And there it goes.
11:34Can't come in the well twice, buddy.
11:36You just can't do it.
11:38And Greg knows because I always have this saying, you cannot come in the penthouse without an invite.
11:43So that is maybe the greatest thinker of all time on the mound versus the brilliance of Barry at the
11:50plate.
11:51I've seen that video.
11:52I love it.
11:53It is one of my all time.
11:54It's like watching him talk hitting, you know, just changing the, you know, he said that he always had this
12:02phrase, like, you know, somebody is catching that 100-mile-an-hour pitch.
12:06Right?
12:07There's a guy back there catching it.
12:08And he goes, he's using a mitt.
12:10I just replaced the bat with the glove.
12:12Like, I just, or a glove with the bat.
12:13And I'm just trying to catch the baseball.
12:15Because you got all the cheating and the body and the steroids and all that.
12:20But when you listen to Barry talk and he's not a jackass like he was when he played, then you
12:26remember his dad and Willie and all the technical stuff that he knows and puts on display when he discusses
12:36it.
12:36All right.
12:37So we got a wrinkle this year, the ABS, the Automated Ball Strike Challenge System.
12:41So there's a video that's out there about Kevin Biggio.
12:47And in this clip, the pitch comes in.
12:51It's a 3-2 pitch.
12:52It's a little bit low.
12:53He thinks it's a little bit low, I should say.
12:56And he kind of swings his bat like he's going to throw it to the dugout to walk.
13:00Well, the umpire calls it a strike.
13:03But as the umpire calls it a strike, he's swinging his bat.
13:05He's throwing his bat.
13:06And then he challenges.
13:07He puts his hand on his head.
13:08The umpire says, nope.
13:10Too late.
13:11So I'm thinking to myself, wait a minute.
13:13What do you mean too late?
13:13How many seconds should go by before you should be able to challenge a strike?
13:183, 4, 5, 10?
13:20Not zero.
13:21No.
13:22Like, they're basically saying that the second the umpire calls the pitch, you've got to tap your head.
13:28You can't move.
13:29You can't leave the box.
13:30You can't do anything.
13:31You can't start your jog to first.
13:33You're saying how long should it take from the batter to challenge it?
13:36Yeah.
13:37The batter?
13:38Oh, less than three.
13:39Yeah, the batter takes the pitch.
13:40Yeah.
13:41The umpire calls strike.
13:42Yeah.
13:43Three seconds.
13:44I would think that sounds fair.
13:46But if you take the pitch, and it's a 3-2 pitch or a 3-1 pitch or whatever, and
13:51you start your trot to first, and the umpire calls it a strike, too late.
13:56You're out of the box or whatever.
13:57It's too late.
13:58And it's like, man, this is going to cause a problem.
14:01Because you've got guys who are going to be tapping, and it's up to the discretion of the umpire when
14:06they allow a challenge.
14:07I mean, you should be able to challenge a pitch until then, you know, a couple of seconds.
14:10Diamond Cavs on the home of the Rangers.
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