00:00A major shift in the Pacific could reshape hurricane season and even your fall weather.
00:04We're talking about a potential super El Nino. Now right now La Nina is still in place. That's
00:08when waters near the equator in the Pacific are cooler than normal and it can fuel a more active
00:13hurricane season. But that cooling is fading. El Nino could take over by late summer and this
00:19forms when those same waters warm just even half a degree Celsius above average but for several
00:24months. That may not sound like much. It can rearrange weather patterns around the world
00:28though. And this year there's a chance it strengthens into a super El Nino when that
00:33warming becomes even more dramatic. Now we've only seen a few of those in the past few decades and
00:38it's been about 10 years since the last one. So what changes for you? During hurricane season El
00:43Nino increases wind shear over the Atlantic. Think of it like powerful crosswinds in the atmosphere
00:48that can tear storms apart. It often means fewer tropical storms and hurricanes compared to La
00:53Nina years. Now it can also shift where storms form sometimes farther out in the Atlantic while
00:58the eastern Pacific does become more active. Right now our long-range and hurricane experts give
01:03El Nino a 50 to 60 percent chance of developing by late summer with about a 15 percent chance it
01:08becomes a super El Nino. We're watching this closely and our full hurricane season forecast is coming soon.
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