00:00Let's talk Saturday, first of all, Valentine's Day. I know a lot of people have plans. If you
00:05forgot, well, this is your reminder. We have some problems, though, especially for Texas
00:09up through Kansas City over towards Louisville. We're going to rain and thunderstorm some of
00:14these on the severe side, but that's not the only thing going on this weekend. We have
00:17Mardi Gras parades in New Orleans. We have the Daytona 500, all of which could be disrupted by
00:23thunderstorms. Now, I know you just see a 3 p.m. thunderstorm here. One note, we could see that
00:28trend a little bit later, so we'll be keeping an eye on any kind of delays because of
00:33lightning. Now, that's just the event focus, right? Let's look at the big picture. What
00:37is causing the problems at these events, or at least potential problems? Well, as we look
00:42at the weekend as a whole, a storm tracking its way very slowly across the southern U.S.,
00:47but also getting all the way up into the mid-Atlantic, like Jeff was talking about. So, it all starts
00:52Friday afternoon with a severe weather threat. Yeah, right off the bat, we have the risk of
00:57all types of severe weather. It's a lower-end threat, level one out of four. However, it's
01:01been a minute. Since we've had a severe threat in this part of the country, we might be out
01:05of our weather awareness habits. So, this is your reminder. Have multiple ways to receive
01:10warnings about thunderstorms, severe thunderstorms, tornadoes, even flash flooding, because, yes,
01:16that's a concern, too, and for a much more broad area. Now, overall, we're looking at one
01:22to four inches of rain across everybody highlighted in green here, though some of you could get up to
01:28the AccuWeather local storm max of six inches of rain. And keep in mind, that's in about a 24
01:32to 48-hour period. That's a lot of rain in just a little bit of time. And you see drought
01:36relief
01:37is one of our notes there. We need the rain, but too much at once? It is just a problem.
01:42Let's take a look at future radar, and then we'll break down the severe threats for Saturday
01:46and Sunday. All right. So, starting off the bat, we're going to start to see this system move its
01:52way into the southwest. So, very early Friday morning, hitting play once again. There it is.
01:57Then it very quickly moves into the south central. Heavy, heavy downpours here with the reds, the
02:02yellows, the oranges. It gets all the way up into the Ohio Valley, but it's the southern extent that
02:06I am watching for that severe weather threat. And then you do see a little bit of blue, a little
02:11bit
02:11of pink possibly mixing in up into the mid-Atlantic. Saturday, here's the area we're most concerned
02:16about for severe weather. Again, all types possible, a low-end threat. However, can't rule
02:20out a moderate-risk area getting added in here at some point as we get a little bit closer.
02:25Sunday, New Orleans, you're on the map. Mardi Gras parades could be delayed, though Saturday
02:29we'll have thunderstorms too, just not necessarily trending severe. This stretches all the way to the
02:33coast, Savannah, Georgia, down into Florida. And everybody in the southeast just about is going
02:41to be seeing the rain or the thunderstorm Sunday. And then, of course, there's that snow potential
02:45further north.
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