Spurs vs. Rockets NBA Showdown: Tips & Predictions

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00:00Spurs and the Rockets in the NBA tonight, Joe.

00:02It's an 8 o'clock tip time.

00:03Spurs are on the road.

00:04Home team is the Rockets.

00:05The Battle of Texas tonight.

00:07This opening line overnight was around minus three.

00:09Now I'm seeing minus three and a half and minus fours in the marketplace

00:12in a total that sits at 220 and a half,

00:14which is down overnight from that 224 and a half.

00:17This is going to be a, yeah, again,

00:19future playoff game and a playoff series coming your way.

00:23Rockets at home.

00:24San Antonio looking to kind of continue their winning ways here

00:30against the Western Conference best.

00:33But the Rockets have not been great, Donnie, over the last month here.

00:37They can't shoot the three anymore.

00:38That's kind of been a big reason as to why they've been about a 500 team at best.

00:43But they are better at home at the Toyota Center than any place else.

00:47I actually saw a couple of spots had this at four and a half, five last night.

00:51I'm seeing three and a half in a number of spots here, Donnie, now.

00:56So it does appear overnight money favoring the Spurs.

01:00But I believe the Rockets, as long as Webb Ayama is playing,

01:03and if he's not, you may want to grab the Rockets at this price

01:07because you won't get it at this if he's announced out.

01:10Joe, we got three 10 o'clock games Eastern tonight.

01:12This one, the Miami Heat and the Sacramento Kings out of the West Coast.

01:1510 o'clock start here.

01:16Minus two and a half as the favorite for the Miami Heat.

01:18Also a total listed at 236 and a half.

01:20Keith Kings, give me a spread line for that one.

01:23Miami got crushed by Golden State and watched Jimmy Butler

01:26blow out his ACL for them last night.

01:29Now they take on a Sacramento team who has DeMontis Sabonis back

01:33and has been playing some great basketball,

01:35even though they got absolutely crushed last game.

01:38And second of a back-to-back for the Heat.

01:40It's all about the scheduling in this one.

01:42We did see the Heat as a bigger favorite,

01:44but all the money overnight coming towards the Kings.

01:47Ah, the NBA tonight.

01:49Looks like we have three, let's see, six, seven games on the card today, Joe.

01:54No afternoon action.

01:55We had an MLK Day celebration.

01:57A couple games in the afternoon yesterday and then filtered into the night.

02:01Some teams are playing a back-to-back,

02:03and that includes those Philadelphia 76ers who won yesterday against the lowly Pacers.

02:08Couldn't get a better opponent today in the city with the Phoenix Suns coming to town.

02:12This line opened up overnight, Joe.

02:13Minus one point favorite towards the Sixers.

02:15Most outlets still sitting at minus one.

02:17Some have gone to minus one and a half.

02:19Some even have the Phoenix Suns as a one-point favorite here.

02:22And a total of 223 and a half.

02:24Always tough to gauge when Joel Embiid plays the day before.

02:28If he's going to play today, will it matter at this point?

02:30Which way would you go, Joe?

02:32Sixers on a back-to-back Suns here in town.

02:35What are we looking at here?

02:37Listen, I know the Suns here.

02:39As long as Booker is playing here,

02:41Yeah, I got no problem.

02:43I have no problem backing them at this short number.

02:46I mean, that was a great effort yesterday.

02:48But second of a back-to-back,

02:51Sixers haven't exactly been money at home in these spots here.

02:55So, but Paul George did sit out yesterday, right?

02:59So likely he will go today, and Embiid will likely be out.

03:03But my goodness, Phoenix has really, really been playing well here.

03:08So, and, you know, they handled easily the, what, the Brooklyn Nets?

03:12I think they're 5-2 in their last seven games.

03:15They're, they're, this is a big, long road trip for them.

03:18They're only 2-2.

03:19But to me, I think the Suns have the edge on the glass with Mark Williams now.

03:26And it feels like, yeah, one, one and a half,

03:29Phoenix Suns could be the right side here.

03:31Yeah, both teams playing a back-to-back today.

03:35The Suns were in Brooklyn.

03:36The Sixers were at home.

03:37So maybe a slight travel advantage for the Sixers

03:39because they didn't travel at all.

03:40Brooklyn, not certainly not too far from Philadelphia.

03:43But you still have to change hotels, get in the town.

03:45You may be getting a little bit late, just the way it is.

03:46But a one-point favorite for those Philadelphia 76ers.

03:49Game number two, we'll talk about, Joe.

03:50An 8 p.m. start tonight in the association.

03:53The Spurs on the road to take on the Houston Rockets.

03:55This line opened up around three overnight.

03:58Now we see fours and even as high as four and a half.

04:01In the marketplace.

04:02Only about 40% of the tickets right now, Joe, I'm seeing,

04:05coming in on the Houston Rockets.

04:06And a total that has dropped overnight, 224 and a half,

04:09down to 220 and a half.

04:12How about that, Spurs Rockets?

04:14Yeah, so we need to know exactly who's playing in this game here

04:18for San Antonio.

04:21And, you know, Wemby, still on a minutes restriction here of sorts.

04:25Is he going to go if he does?

04:28I mean, Stephen Castle was dealing with flu-like symptoms the other night.

04:33But it would be great if we could see him.

04:35I know Stephen Adams is out.

04:37Eason is out.

04:38Or at least day-to-day for Houston.

04:41Houston, I tend to like to back at home in spots like this.

04:45But it feels like if I can get points with San Antonio,

04:49it feels like it's worth rolling, especially more than a bucket, Donnie.

04:53It feels like it might be worth rolling the dice,

04:55even if Wemby is a late scratch.

04:58Yeah, Wemby, 33-10 last night.

05:00And, again, it is a back-to-back, but the Spurs were at home.

05:03Not a great long night.

05:04It's not that the Spurs are going to, let's just say, Minnesota.

05:06They're only traveling in-state.

05:07We'll see if that turns out.

05:08But the early indicators are the Rockets catching a little bit of steam

05:11this morning, despite, again, only having about 40% of the ticket count.

05:14One team on a buy, one team not on a buy.

05:16Those are the differences that Joe points out.

05:18Maybe wait until a little bit later in the day to see who's in, who's out.

05:21Then those numbers certainly will be baked into the line at that time.

05:24The Los Angeles Lakers taking on the Denver Nuggets in elevation.

05:27How about this, Joe?

05:28Opening line favorite for the Lakers at minus two.

05:31Most outlets now coming back at minus two and a half as a favorite for the

05:34Los Angeles Lakers in a total of 228 and a half live,

05:38despite only 25% of the tickets here coming in on the Denver Nuggets at home.

05:46Yeah, I can't believe this is the first time they're actually playing.

05:48I got three games set this season, Donnie, against one another.

05:52I believe Aaron Gordon already good to go.

05:56But the Lakers don't have Austin Reeves.

05:59I think DeAndre Ayton, they said, could also be good to go here tonight, which is nice because

06:05the Nuggets don't have Valanciunas and they don't have the Joker.

06:08So they don't have a big man right now until they can get healthy.

06:12But Aaron Gordon is a pretty tough, you know, customer there.

06:15And they still have Murray.

06:17Christian Braun has already been ruled out.

06:19So, you know, the Lakers tend to be really good against those sub-500 teams, Donnie.

06:24They don't tend to be this good against teams that are over 500.

06:29And it feels like, yeah, the Nuggets at home, second half might be worth taking a look here

06:36and certainly might be worth it.

06:38Plus money, maybe a little sprinkle on the money line.

06:40Let's see what Luka Doncic has to say about that game time.

06:43Also, Joe, the NBA betting odds for the awards here.

06:46Shea Galgis-Alexander, did you know today, as we sit on June the 20th, is a minus 350 price

06:52to be the MVP, followed by Luka Doncic at a plus 8 to 1 price.

06:57And then Cade Cunningham and Jalen Brown.

06:59Is it so easy if OKC just maintains and down the stretch, SGA is just normal.

07:03SGA, he wins that?

07:04Or is there a chance that Luka can go absolutely nuclear and take this?

07:08Because coming into the season, a lot of people thought Luka Doncic would be able to overtake

07:11and win that MVP.

07:13But SGA seems like just in cruise control and being priced appropriately that way.

07:17Yeah, and that's kind of what it looks like right here.

07:20But listen, we all knew Luka is more than capable of scoring every night

07:27and being a one-man wrecking machine.

07:30I don't know that that's going to win him a lot of games against the upper echelon teams

07:33in the West, though.

07:34But he'll certainly rack up enough stats to make it very interesting, won't he?

07:39Yeah, we take a look at the Western Conference odds here to win it.

07:42And certainly OKC is a favorite at minus 155.

07:45But isn't that substantial here?

07:46Because they're just a short plus money, a basically favorite,

07:50to win the NBA championship, followed by the Nuggets, Spurs, Rockets, and Timberwolves.

07:53And as we continue to say, we sit here late January in the first part of February.

07:58The trade deadline is going to hit, and some of those things certainly will change those numbers.

08:02But it's clear, if OKC is healthy, Joe, entering into the playoffs,

08:06they're going to be a decided favorite, and rightfully so, being the home team

08:08and staying at home, have a great record here.

08:11But the one thing also is once the Denver Nuggets just get back to being healthy again,

08:15and I'm not saying like, you know, a surprise where it's like, hey, you know,

08:19our big man, if he misses some games, could he be fresher for the playoff run

08:23for the Nuggets, Joe, and some value there?

08:25Yeah, absolutely.

08:28You know, Valanchunas was supposed to be the depth behind the Joker,

08:33because every time he goes to the bench, you know, their point differential is minus 12, minus 15.

08:40So he was actually doing a really good job of spelling the Joker and keeping up momentum.

08:45So getting both of those guys back healthy, the two big men,

08:49they are absolutely worth a look in the future market.

08:52How about the Clips sitting at a 50-to-1 price?

08:56Not for the NBA championship, to win the NBA Western Conference.

09:00Pretty incredible with some of these teams that are veteran-laden with superstars

09:04and the pricing that you can get.

09:05One good season.

09:06For me, Joe, I'm going back to the NBA tonight.

09:08Late night action, 10 p.m. start.

09:10The Miami Heat taking on the Sacramento Kings.

09:13Back-to-back for the Miami Heat.

09:14The Kings at home only catching around 35% to 37% of the tickets here as the home team and an underdog.

09:20This line opened up at 2.5, went to 3.5.

09:23Now it's back to 2.5 at most outlets.

09:24I grabbed the 3.5 here.

09:26Let's go tonight with an outright winner for the Sacramento Kings

09:29and the fallback option to take them at plus 3.5.

09:33I don't know how I lost yesterday, Joe.

09:34A minus 3, my team won the game and I didn't cover.

09:37That's a tough scene.

09:38Tonight, Joe, we go 2-0 for the people post-college football season.

09:42That's how you celebrate it.

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