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00:00Let's flip it over to the association tonight, Joe.
00:038 p.m. start, the Dallas Mavericks and my hometown team.
00:06No, not the Philadelphia 76ers.
00:07That's the New Orleans Pelicans have been so kind to me, Joe.
00:10The Pelicans opened up a 7.5-point favorites.
00:13Look at that graphic.
00:148.5-point favorite for the Pels at home and a juicy total of 239.5, Joe.
00:21Mavericks, Pelicans tonight.
00:23Give me a spread line here.
00:23Well, did you see what Dallas did yesterday as a 15-point dog against the Cavaliers on the road?
00:32Yeah, they won outright, Donnie.
00:35So now you've got obviously everyone getting off of this trade now and hopping on the Pelicans who will obviously
00:41have the rest advantage.
00:42We get that.
00:43But I would not sweat out an under here either, Don.
00:47The Pelicans have been absolute money to the over at home this season.
00:52I don't see that changing here.
00:54It was obvious.
00:55But you've got to know, is Flagg playing?
00:57Is he not playing?
00:58Who's in for Dallas?
01:00But I think at 8.5-points, they're 8.5-point favorite for a reason.
01:0410 o'clock nightcap tonight, Joe.
01:06Take a look at this game.
01:07The San Antonio Spurs on the left coast to take on those Los Angeles Clippers.
01:12That line opened up overnight, Joe, at some outlets.
01:14As low as 6.5 as a favorite towards the Spurs.
01:17You see the graphic here, we've ballooned up to close to double digits here at minus 9.5.
01:22And the total listed at 227.5.
01:25What's your spread line tonight in the Association Spurs Clippers tonight?
01:30Yeah, well, the problem is Kawhi Leonard.
01:33That's the problem.
01:33Who got absolutely destroyed in that game over the weekend where he was getting beat up pretty good.
01:41Rolled his ankle, too.
01:42So, if there is no Kawhi, this is kind of what you're seeing now.
01:46And the market says, yeah, I don't think so here.
01:49Again, another one of these spots where if Kawhi was available at 100%, I don't care what the spread is.
01:55I'm likely looking at the Clippers.
01:57But without Kawhi, it's kind of hard to look anywhere except the San Antonio Spurs for this one.
02:02How about this one tonight?
02:03We'll keep it there in the Western Conference, Joe.
02:06At 9.30 tip time, the Los Angeles Lakers on the road to take on the Houston Rockets.
02:10It's the red-hot Los Angeles Lakers.
02:12They're underdogs in this game across the board, getting two-and-a-half here.
02:16And a total listed at 226-and-a-half.
02:18The Pacers, the Knicks, the Timberwolves, the Bulls, and the Nuggets all going down in flames to the Lakers
02:23as they now try to take down the Rockets tonight.
02:26Do we believe the Rockets should be the favorite tonight?
02:28And also, Joe, what's the spread line here for you?
02:31Well, listen, Lakers, I mean, are rolling here, Donnie, lately.
02:35In fact, that overtime win against Denver on Saturday went ahead and pushed them now a half a game ahead
02:42of the Rockets in the Western Cup.
02:45I think the number three seed right now.
02:47So where did that come from?
02:49Well, they had a very productive homestand, Donnie, where I believe they only lost one game.
02:54But now they've got to head on the road.
02:56They've got to take on the Rockets, who have kind of been floundering here a little bit.
03:00But the one thing we know about Houston is they'll bring the defense, but they need Sengun healthy for this
03:06one.
03:06He needs to go here.
03:08I think you're going to see a big Donchick versus Durant battle happening.
03:12But I would only look at the under, Donnie.
03:14I don't think points are going to be plentiful in this one.
03:17We've got to talk some NBA action tonight, Kevin.
03:20The Phoenix Suns in town to take on the Boston Celtics as roughly a double-digit favorite,
03:24depending on where he's shopping at, coming in around 9.5 and a low total of 213.5,
03:28which really seems to be a staple for Boston Celtics games here.
03:32Suns, Celtics tonight, Kevin.
03:34Give us a look here on this one.
03:35Yeah, these Boston games just continue to be under, under, under, under, and then more unders.
03:42So you settle into this 213.5 number, though, and you wonder, oh, have we moved too much, right?
03:49It's something that we talked about, the three of us, when we were looking at that Celtics-Spurs game, right?
03:55And they finally caught an over there.
03:58What I'm very interested, though, in right now with kind of Boston on a game-to-game basis
04:03is what we are to do with these Jalen Brown props.
04:07Because, man, people were like, don't worry, nothing's going to change.
04:12And it's like, well, that wasn't true, right?
04:15Like, that's just not true.
04:16I know his averages with Tatum were being dragged down because he was ejected against San Antonio,
04:21but he has scored over 25 points once, one time, since Tatum came back.
04:29This is a guy averaging, I mean, flirting with averaging 30 at night on this season.
04:34So I'm curious how the books start to adjust to these numbers for Jalen Brown,
04:39who was one of the most popular and bet on players throughout this season.
04:43Because Tatum, I mean, this guy Tatum just played 30 minutes against the Washington Wizards.
04:47So we're kind of back, right, when we think about usage and props for Jason Tatum.
04:54Yeah, we're also back with Boston laying 20 and a half against Washington.
05:00Okay, how'd that one work out?
05:02How about the Lakers, though, finally put it together?
05:05Great home stretch.
05:07Now they're going to be tested on the road, taking on a Houston Rockets team that's leaking a little.
05:13Yeah, it's a Rockets team that doesn't inspire a ton of confidence.
05:17I feel like they are.
05:19I know people look to fade this Lakers team, and there was a lot of merit to it,
05:24but you kind of pointed out, Joe, they might be turning it around.
05:27This Rockets team looks like one that we can kind of point to in the Western Conference
05:31that should be a round one fade.
05:34Shingun is questionable for this game.
05:36And that's almost throwing me a bit here because with the way the Rockets are playing,
05:41with the way the Lakers are playing, I know home court matters.
05:45I wonder if the Lakers could actually end up closing as favorites in this basketball game
05:50if Alperin Shingun misses the basketball game, that is.
05:55But the Lakers are maybe starting to put this thing together.
05:59Luke has obviously been fantastic of late.
06:03GTD, catch Kevin Walsh tonight, 6 p.m. Eastern,
06:05and also catch him over there on Fresh Pond at Rosa's Pizza.
06:08Grab a slice, people.
06:09Get that time of the year, baby!
06:21As we wait for the official start of the tournament tomorrow,
06:24the first four in Dayton, Joe, we got a lot of action in the association tonight.
06:28The floor is yours, Senator.
06:29Give us a pick.
06:31Well, we got two of the hottest teams in the association getting ready to do battle tonight.
06:36It's the Atlanta Hawks and the Orlando Magic.
06:39What? What is he creating? No, I'm serious.
06:41Orlando Magic, seven in a row, just beat my Miami Heat a couple of nights ago.
06:48Meanwhile, Atlanta has really started to figure it out here,
06:51and I'm going to go with the Atlanta Hawks at home in this one.
06:56Listen, congratulations, Orlando, rattling off seven in a row.
07:00But beating the likes of Dallas and Washington and those types of things,
07:04yeah, I think Atlanta at home brings enough defense here and scoring punch to be able to get it done.
07:13So it's a short number, and I like the Atlanta Hawks to keep the winning rolling tonight.
07:18By the way, the Atlanta Hawks on a nine-game win streak here to now propel themselves above .500
07:25and sit at .36 and .31.
07:27Impressive stuff.
07:28Ride that hot streak.
07:29We'll see if they can get it done in that game.
07:31By the way, their last game out, Joe, .122 to .99 over the Bucs, rolling into this game tonight for
07:36me.
07:36Oh, look at this line we're going to have coming up here.
07:38The Dallas Mavericks are in town to take on the Pelicans.
07:41The Mavericks, the question is, who are they going to play tonight?
07:43Not necessarily needing wins to end the season, and the New Orleans Pelicans just continue to play decent basketball.
07:48But look at this line.
07:50Opened up at .7.5 and now sits at .8.5 in just about every market you're looking at in
07:54a total of .239.5.
07:56Nobody's going to take the Pelicans.
07:58I love the Pelicans.
07:59They've made me more money in the NBA than any other team out there.
08:02And tonight, I usually play them as an underdog, Joe.
08:05I'm playing them as a heavy favorite.
08:07Double-digit victory tonight, I'm calling it, for the Pelicans.
08:11I'll lay the .8.5.
08:13And by the way, Joe, only 28% of the tickets currently coming in on those Pelicans.
08:18Nobody wants the Pelicans, Joe.
08:19I want the Pelicans, Joe.
08:22That's how you make money in the NBA, Donnie.
08:25When everyone's running left, you run right.
08:28And that is the Pelicans, who aren't tanking, Donnie, because they don't have any draft picks.
08:34So they're not exactly playing for anything.
08:37But at the same time, that was a huge win.
08:40I mean, huge win for Dallas yesterday as a 15-point underdog.
08:45Maybe a little letdown in store.
08:46I'm with you tonight.
08:47Joe, let's head it over to the Association for the next couple games tonight.
08:50In the NBA, Dallas is going to take on the Orleans.
08:53You know I love this game tonight.
08:55New Orleans trading just to win this game, 73% as a chance here.
09:00$100 investment on that, Joe, will pay back $134.
09:04Dallas, the underdog, only trading at 27% as a chance to win this game.
09:08If you look at the line, New Orleans by 8.5.
09:11They're currently trading here at 50 cents, Joe, which means $100 investment, pays back $200.
09:17No juice there.
09:18Dallas on the road to take on the Pelicans tonight.
09:22Well, the spot screams New Orleans.
09:24Why?
09:25Because you just had Dallas as a 15-point dog yesterday on the road against the Cavs win the game
09:31outright.
09:31And now they're back on the road taking on a Pelicans team who, again, is not tanking because they don't
09:36have any draft picks to tank for.
09:38So, instead, what we're going to get is finally, maybe finally, a healthy Pelicans team, which includes, you ready for
09:47this?
09:48DeJounte Murray, who has, you know, missed 13 months, Donnie, because of the Achilles tear.
09:53And guess what?
09:54He's played eight games.
09:56In the last two, he's dropped 25.
09:59And he just dropped 30-plus against Houston as well, their last game.
10:05This is a very dangerous and healthy Pelicans team.
10:08It's no wonder they're laying eight and a half.
10:10But I would also look at their team total going up and over as well.
10:14Lay the eight and a half, people.
10:16Best bets.
10:17Gotta love it here.
10:17Let's go Pels by 10.
10:19Let's flip it over here to the Los Angeles Clippers.
10:22They're going to take on San Antonio.
10:23San Antonio's the road team tonight.
10:24But how about this, Joe?
10:25Trading at a 77% chance to win this game is San Antonio.
10:30Going up against the Clippers, who are listed at a 23% chance to win.
10:33But if we include the point spread here at the Cal State Marketplace, eight and a half as a favorite
10:37for San Antonio.
10:38That's currently trading at 55 cents, which means a $100 investment pays back 182.
10:44If you feel the Clippers can win this game, Joe, a $100 investment here on that line pays back 218.
10:50That's plus money, people.
10:53Yeah, I would feel better about this game had the Clippers not just lost to the Sacramento Kings and watching,
11:00you know, DeMar DeRozan drop 41 on them.
11:03But in that game, they beat up Kawhi Leonard.
11:06I mean, he got a cut above his eye.
11:09I mean, they were it was a rough game.
11:11He eventually twisted his ankle.
11:13He had to leave.
11:14And he still scored 31 in that game, by the way, and still had to leave the game.
11:18He's likely not going in this game, which is why this number is creeping up.
11:23Very hard to trust.
11:25Even with Garland now, you know, and Mathurin, great trades.
11:30I love the makeup of this Clippers team.
11:32But the problem is, without Kawhi Leonard, they may not keep this thing within double digits.
11:38Somebody's got to step up.
11:39If you want some points props, you can do that on these predictive marketplaces here.
11:42Victor Webb and Yami think you can get to the 30-point level, $100 investment would pay back $271 here.
11:49Let's get to the other L.A. team.
11:50That's the Los Angeles Lakers.
11:52They're on the road to take on Kevin Durant and the Houston Rockets.
11:55Current trading price is here to win the game.
11:57Houston at a 56% chance.
11:59The Los Angeles Lakers at a 44% chance.
12:02If we go spread line here, Houston by 3.5, currently trading at $0.47, which means a $100 investment,
12:09Joe, would pay back $213 if Houston covers the 3.5-point spread.
12:16I would much rather Houston if Albert Sangum was actually cleared to play in this game, but he's missed the
12:22last couple.
12:23And that's worrisome here against the Lakers team that is really starting to come into their own.
12:28I think home cooking is what the Lakers needed here.
12:32They're coming off a nice stretch where I believe they're 7-1.
12:35But, you know, they got to go on the road.
12:38This is not going to be an easy place to play.
12:41But the Lakers, this is a winnable game, the way they're playing and especially the way they're shooting.
12:46But I tend to think less points, not more points in this game.
12:51I'd be looking maybe to fade some team totals in this one.
12:55Taking a look also, if you want to go superstar hunting at some big prices here, look no further than
12:59Luka Doncic on the Calci Marketplace, Joe.
13:01You can place an investment on a triple-double for Luka Doncic, currently trading at 12% here, which means
13:08a $100 investment pays back $625.
13:12If you think LeBron James, the old man in the sea, can get it done, Joe, well, that $100 investment
13:17will pay $2,500 tonight.
13:19The association's got its poppin' here.
13:21And also, team totals, Joe, sides, you got it all in the predictive markets here.
13:26Fun little way to look.
13:28Yeah, listen, I'm with you.
13:29I think there's a lot of spots, especially DeJounte Murray here tonight.
13:33I'd like him to continue.
13:34But you're right.
13:35I think it's Durant and I think it's the Luka show in that game here tonight.
13:39I would look at both of them, rebounds as well, especially for Kevin Durant tonight.
13:45Great night in the association, Joe, but also the eyes are on the prize for us here.
13:49You're filling out brackets.
13:50We're going to get back to some NCAA basketball talk and see who's favored and which way you can go
13:55in these predictive markets here.
13:57To Monday, prediction markets edge right here on the early line.
14:00We'll be right back after this short break.
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