After Imelda, is there still danger in the tropics?

The peak of hurricane season has already passed, but it's far from over.

Transcript

00:00Well, hurricane season here is certainly in prime time, and we still have a ways to go.

00:06Hurricane season doesn't officially end until after Thanksgiving at the end of November.

00:11But by month, again, August, September, and October are the three busiest months,

00:17and we're making it through the month of September with no U.S. landfalls for even a tropical storm,

00:21which is good news.

00:23It has happened before.

00:24It's happened even in the past decade, but it is kind of rare that we make it through

00:27September with no named storms during the month of September.

00:30So Imelda was named yesterday on the 28th of September.

00:34That was 12 days later than the average naming of the ninth named storm.

00:39And, again, we've had three hurricanes so far.

00:43The third hurricane of the year is typically named on September 7th.

00:46We're running behind there.

00:47So, again, as we've been dealing with, Umberto not named until long after September 7th in the past several days.

00:54And we do have one metric here on this board where we're ahead of average.

00:58Our third major hurricane doesn't typically form until October 28th.

01:02And we have had three major hurricanes so far this year.

01:04Umberto was a Category 5, and that was our third major hurricane of the season, still a 4 at this point.

01:11Looking ahead, we are watching, even though there's not much out there yet,

01:14at the end of the month into early October, small chance of development in the Bay of Campeche there,

01:19the southwestern part of the Gulf.

01:20Small chance of development there.

01:22It's not a whole lot of moisture there right now, but we need to keep an eye out for a weak disturbance there.

01:26And then off the coast of Africa, we have a tropical wave that will be organizing,

01:30and that one has a slightly better chance of organizing.

01:33But in the short term, the rain and wind that we're dealing with here in the Carolinas

01:37and, at times, some gusty little squalls near the east side of Florida,

01:41the short-term threat, it's a manageable threat out there.

01:43We've got to keep an eye out for the Gulf, though.

01:45The waters are very warm there, and we may still see some trouble.

01:48October, often a very busy time for the tropics.