00:00Let's move to meet the field for the grade one summer, Scott.
00:03We're going to start with race number six.
00:05We'll just go in order of the three grade one races on Saturday at Woodbine.
00:09When you're looking at these grade one races, the trainer Charles Appleby and the owner Godolphin,
00:15when they have run races at Woodbine in grade ones, they are nine for 17 together.
00:22And they have three horses, one major player in each of the races we're going to talk about, Scott.
00:27When we look at the one Argos, both the one and the two come out of the Soaring Free race.
00:33That was a local prep race where five horses, the top five finishers, are all actually going to come back into this race right here.
00:40We have a replay from it, and the winner was two-out Hero.
00:44He's going to be the number five in the race on Saturday.
00:47What did you take from this race?
00:49We're talking a little bit about Argos and Rude Procedure, but overall, did you like anyone?
00:53Did you dislike anyone?
00:54Did you think the race was strong?
00:55Well, it's a stretch out from six and a half to a mile, so that's the key here, is who's going to be able to take the stretch out in distance.
01:03I thought Argos was just okay in there after a really good trip at Ellis, so I'm lukewarm, but he's got a real good rider and a real good post.
01:09Could you make any case for Rude Procedure, who was fourth in that race after kind of taking the early lead at the top of the stretch?
01:16No, there's a lot of sprinters stretching out in here that have speed.
01:19I expect things to be tough on the front end.
01:21It's a horse that hasn't gotten better in terms of numbers since that debut win when he was loose on the lead.
01:27Time frame is a little bit interesting, Scott.
01:29He's for Mark Cassie, John Velasquez, DJ Stables.
01:33If you're just talking about the human connections, this horse is a major, major player, and he's 20-1 on the morning line.
01:39He is, and he got hammered on debut over the synthetic.
01:43I can forgive that effort.
01:44And last out, it was somewhat workmanlike, but he just kept grinding and kept grinding.
01:48I think he's really going to get a good trip in here, and I think he's going to more so love the added ground.
01:53The secret adversary comes in from Ireland, most recently won a stakes race over there, and I thought it was a pretty good performance.
02:01Angled around, wins, wrapped up in the end.
02:04What do you think about this shipper?
02:05Well, this barn, James Stack, the trainer, I'm not too familiar with because he doesn't send hardly any horses over here.
02:11So, usually that's a barometer, as you mentioned, the Appleby barn.
02:14Plus, this horse lost in two starts back as a huge favorite against the five-horse field.
02:20So, just on that, I don't know a ton, but it's 6-1.
02:23That seems a little short.
02:25Two-out hero is the five.
02:27We saw him winning the replay, Scott, of that soaring free, but it was a good performance.
02:31He really did get a perfect trip in that race, though.
02:34And so, that always worries me with a short-price horse playing them the next time because you got that great trip from him last time out.
02:42He also has to stretch out a little bit and show us he can go a mile.
02:45Right, and the damn Song River, this is a pricey $240,000 purchase.
02:49The damn, most of the success was on the turf, but it was sprinting.
02:52So, I'm a little bit leery only because of the question marks at the short price.
02:57Scott, you and I are going price shopping in this race.
02:59I hope the number six, Bill of Ice, is going to sit back.
03:02He's going to make one late run.
03:04His debut win was visually very impressive.
03:07Now, it didn't grade out very well based on the speed figure.
03:11It was light.
03:12But with these young horses, these two-year-olds, sometimes the speed figures can be a little tough to make because there's not a whole lot of experience with these horses.
03:20What I love about him, Scott, in this entire field, only two horses have been a mile or beyond.
03:26And he's one of them.
03:28I think late in this race, a lot of these horses are going to be tired and stopping.
03:32And he is going to be passing a bunch of them at that point.
03:35Is he good enough to win?
03:36I'm not quite sure.
03:37But I think I'm going to be rewarded with the price taking a shot at what should be, you know, 15 or 20 to 1.
03:43Yeah, there's a lot of questions for these horses to answer, and he's answered two of them.
03:47Can you go the distance and can you finish at the distance?
03:50And he was really finishing full of run in there.
03:53Got a favorable trip.
03:54Very encouraging effort.
03:56I don't know if you're going to get that 20 to 1 because I think others will see that going long, they'll see the part that he was able to do that.
04:02But he's got a slow speed figure, and I don't think that matters all that much in this case.
04:07Actually, a decent pedigree, too.
04:09He's a full sibling to a horse named American Revolution who won the grade one Cigar Mile, half sibling to a horse named Bull Journey who's a grade three winner.
04:16So he has a little class to him as well on the pedigree.
04:20Kassan and Marcus Jay, the next two that we'll talk about, they look like they might impact each other early in this race, Scott, because they're both really quick.
04:28Kassan's shown speed in all three of his races.
04:30And then Marcus Jay, he was really impressive when he won his debut by eight lengths.
04:36I'm just worried with them drawn right next door to each other that they might impact each other's chances.
04:41I agree with that sentiment.
04:42I think Kassan is the one more up against it.
04:44We know what he is.
04:45He's had three starts.
04:47He's been on the lead in all of them, and they were all shorter.
04:50And he also was hammered on debut, hasn't really necessarily moved forward since.
04:54Marcus Jay, I don't necessarily know if he needs the lead type at this point.
04:58He draws outside much to the other speed.
05:00He was dominant in that win, and I think he's got every right to move forward by the looks of him just watching that race and the pedigree.
05:08So, of those two, I much prefer Marcus Jay.
05:10Yeah, because with Marcus Jay, he only has that one race.
05:13We really don't even know if he has a running style yet, right?
05:16He might just have been better than that field, and they put him on the lead.
05:19So, it wouldn't be shocking to see him figure things out and sit off the pace here.
05:25Military time was supplemented into this race.
05:28What happens in horse racing when there are big stakes races like this, a lot of times you pay to nominate horses that you think might be horses to run in those races.
05:36And when you pay those nomination fees early, they're not much.
05:39When you supplement later, you have to pay more money to enter horses.
05:43And when a trainer like Mark Cassie pays to supplement a horse like this, I always take a second look, Scott, because he just knows the pulse of Woodbine in those big races as well as anyone.
05:54This was military time winning his debut.
05:57His dam is a six-time winner on the turf, and they're going to wheel him back in just a couple weeks.
06:03Like, I think the connections really like this horse by placing him back in here.
06:07I can see that.
06:08They also have a lot of money, Gary Barber and Vinny Viola, especially Gary Barber might have won a horse in here.
06:15Yeah.
06:15I can see this horse definitely moving forward here, but he got a pretty good trip relaxing moving up the inside.
06:20But winning from a one-turn race along the inside on debut, not always easy.
06:25We move to Wild Desert.
06:26He comes in off of a third-place finish at New Market.
06:30Scott, this horse was really unlucky in his most recent race because he was right towards the front end, and the leader was tiring.
06:37And the leader kept coming out right in front of him and, like, pushing him and impeding him.
06:42I don't know if he was going to win, but he may have been closer, and he seems like one of the horses to beat in here.
06:47Well, he's 5-2 on the line.
06:49I'm going to let him beat me.
06:50Appleby, you mentioned, likes to win races, these big ones at Woodbine.
06:54He hasn't moved forward in his time form ratings, 86, 86, 85.
06:58Not ideal, but he's one of the horses to beat, obviously.
07:01I couldn't make a case for Jupiter, who was 5th in that soaring free.
07:05I just didn't see an excuse why I would upgrade this one over some of the others who finished in front of him.
07:10Yeah, no real running in that August 16th race.
07:12I respect the win from Teddy's Rocket in the debut, Scott, and he's one of a couple horses in here who has the experience going long.
07:20But, wow, he got a pretty perfect trip.
07:22The way the race set up, it almost was like he fell into it.
07:26So, visually, I wasn't as impressed with him.
07:28I think he might look a little bit better on paper than when you watch the race.
07:31Well, I mean, if I thought he was going to get the same trip again, I might, you know, consider him a lot more.
07:36But he's way drawn to the outside there with Joel.
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