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Tropical rainstorm to dump flooding rain into Gulf Coast
AccuWeather
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3 months ago
AccuWeather's Jon Porter warns of heavy rainfall to be dumped into the Gulf Coast by a tropical rainstorm this week, which will put the region, including Louisiana, at a high risk of flooding.
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00:00
Here's the eyepath, and with that I do want to bring in our chief meteorologist, Jonathan Porter.
00:05
And, John, you know, earlier we were talking about map discussion just ended.
00:10
I don't see any changes in the eyepath, but you can let us know.
00:16
Did we decide to make any changes with our eyepath?
00:20
Now, here at AccuWeather we have 100 expert meteorologists that are working together
00:24
and debating every aspect of the storm, watching its every move.
00:28
And we've made no changes to our forecast at this time.
00:32
As you mentioned, the storm itself is disorganized, but there's lots of showers and thunderstorms,
00:38
and that continues to be our main focus here in terms of the heavy rain risk
00:42
as the storm slowly drifts westward in the Gulf of America toward Louisiana.
00:48
And we remain very concerned about especially heavy rain risks and flooding across Louisiana.
00:54
And when you look at our impact, John, listen, we're forecasting a tropical depression.
01:00
We don't normally go with a moderate risk, but you see that moderate risk across southern Louisiana
01:07
and an AccuWeather real impact scale of one.
01:12
Let's go over that quickly for our viewers that may not have a clear understanding
01:18
of what the AccuWeather real impact scale is.
01:21
This is another exclusive AccuWeather tool to help you stay safer and best prepared,
01:26
whereas other weather sources look at simply the Saffir-Simpson hurricane wind scale,
01:32
which rates a tropical storm or hurricane based solely on its wind intensity.
01:37
AccuWeather's real impact scale for hurricanes, of course, we consider the wind,
01:41
but we also consider other factors to get a holistic view,
01:45
the most holistic view of a tropical storm or a tropical rainstorm's risk,
01:49
including flooding rain, storm surge, and total damage and economic loss.
01:54
And it's on that basis that a storm like this one,
01:57
which may not even be designated on the Saffir-Simpson wind scale,
02:02
is a one on the AccuWeather real impact scale for hurricanes
02:05
because we're concerned about that flooding risk.
02:08
And it may not be widespread, Bernie.
02:10
It may be a more localized flooding event than what happens with other tropical rainstorms.
02:15
But we're concerned about the rain rates of one to three inches per hour
02:18
in some parts of far east Texas, Louisiana,
02:22
as we head through the coming days and a resulting risk of flash flooding.
02:27
And some of that could be quite significant in some areas.
02:30
You know, you were just talking to the crystal ball meteorologist Joe Lumberg,
02:33
even beyond this, that there's some concern that some of this moisture may try to get northward
02:39
in toward the Midwest with frontal boundaries coming south.
02:42
And that could be a problem.
02:43
We are concerned about that because the rainstorm itself looks like it would diminish across
02:49
and sort of rain itself out across parts of the southern part of the Mississippi Valley.
02:55
But a part of that moisture is going to get drawn to the north.
02:59
And coupling that with an active jet stream,
03:02
we have concerns about the risk for flash flooding once again across parts of the Midwest,
03:07
Appalachians, and maybe even, I'm sorry, Midwest, the Ohio Valley,
03:11
and even in the Appalachians later next week.
03:14
So stay tuned to AccuWeather for more on that.
03:16
AccuWeather Chief Meteorologist John Porter.
03:18
John, thanks for joining us here on AccuWeather Early.
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