00:00don pair bonnet and company a canadian market research company used data analytics ai and
00:08behavioral micro targeting to produce a poll for tnt's 2025 general election it's the same process
00:16director of research dr justine pair a grenadian by birth says was used to accurately predict
00:24the outcome of grenada's 2022 election the company also boasts of an accuracy rate of 90 percent for
00:33elections held in dominica antiga and barbuda st lucia and barbados of the over 5 100 people surveyed
00:42for the tnt poll 52 percent identifies themselves as pnm while the other 48 as unc and they come from
00:53various educational backgrounds diving into monday's expected outcome their study forecasts a quote
01:00narrow victory for the unc driven by declining pnm support in marginal constituencies and shifting
01:08afro-trinidadian voter sentiment towards the unc end quote don pair bonnet's paper analyzed voter
01:16sentiment surveys from march 20th to april 15th 2025 constituency level predictions key issues
01:25driving electoral shifts and ai and statistical modeling projections of those who identify
01:32themselves as pnm voters 64 percent said they are dissatisfied with the new leadership that is
01:40stuart young and 59 percent of afro-trinidadian voters they say believe pnm leadership should reflect
01:49black cultural identity leading to protest votes as it relates to racial and ethnic voting shifts the
01:57study found 81 of indo-trinidadians consistently support the unc while afro-trinidadian loyalty to the pnm
02:06has declined from 65 percent in 2020 to 49 percent in 2025 and cross-racial support for the unc they
02:17say is increasing due to economic discontent ai assisted models the study said initially predicted
02:24a unc landslide but were adjusted to reflect a narrow victory based on declining afro-trinidadian loyalty to
02:33pnm economic dissatisfaction in marginal constituencies and higher youth turnout favoring the unc dr pair in
02:42a brief telephone conversation tells tv6 over 800 000 tnt nationals are on social media every day and the
02:51unc's social media footprint and content is several times that of the pnm his company focuses on black
03:00indigenous and people of color their database comprises some 260 000 tnt nationals the canadian
03:08company is responsible for the 2019 tnt human trafficking study or vishita murray rupnarine tv6 news
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