00:00Not quite the calm before the storm today, because we are actually going to see some
00:04fairly lively weather in the coming hours.
00:06But we're still really concerned about the developments out in the Atlantic and Storm
00:10Aon arriving through tonight and into Friday.
00:14Before that, this weather front will bring a spell of wet and windy weather, but the
00:18storm is brewing off the eastern seaboard of North America.
00:22It doesn't look much at this stage, but it's been intensifying as we've been through the
00:26night and will continue to do so during today, becoming a fully blown storm by the time we
00:33get to this afternoon.
00:34And interacting with the jet stream, a really powerful jets coming across the North Atlantic
00:40and in particular, this little jet streak picking up below and intensifying it further
00:45as it approaches the Republic of Ireland during tonight's, then pushing it across Northern
00:50Ireland and into Scotland.
00:52The exact track may vary a little bit, but we're pretty confident the strongest winds
00:56are going to be in this zone where the isobars are really squeezing together.
00:59So for Northern Ireland, central, southern Scotland, northern England and parts of North
01:03Wales, that's where we have an amber warning in place.
01:07More on that in just a second.
01:08But first of all, let's get through today.
01:10As I said, this weather front is moving in, bringing a pretty wet and grim morning rush
01:15hour across Northern Ireland, some heavy bursts of rain as that edges in and then it pushes
01:20into Wales and southwest England.
01:22As it does so, the winds will really start to pick up around the west coast of Wales,
01:26southwest England.
01:27And then as it moves along the south coast of England, we'll see gusty winds as that
01:31rain band moves through, staying pretty wet through the afternoon across northern England,
01:35Scotland, some snow over the Pennines, certainly some snow over the hills and mountains of
01:39Scotland as it stays fairly soggy here into this evening.
01:43A blustery, gusty day everywhere, but we're a little concerned about the winds really
01:48whipping up as that rain band moves through.
01:50We do have a Met Office yellow warning in place, the winds really whipping up this morning
01:54over west Wales, southwest England and then strengthening through the day also along the
01:59south coast.
02:00So a spell of gusts of 40, 50, potentially 60 miles an hour that could cause some disruption.
02:07Temperature wise, well actually it's going to turn a little milder.
02:09Skies brighten through this afternoon over the Midlands, Wales, southwest England, 8,
02:139, maybe 10 Celsius, feeling cooler with the breeze and certainly another chilly one over
02:17much of northern England and Scotland as that rain and hill snow continues.
02:22Now that will steadily fizzle out as we go through Thursday evening, a few showers following
02:26on behind, many places dry for a time.
02:29But here comes that storm we saw earlier, you can see that circulation, damaging gusts
02:35of wind, certainly across the Republic of Ireland as that storm system moves in during
02:40Thursday night.
02:41But then continuing to bring strong winds, potentially disruptive winds for southwest
02:47England, Wales and then strengthening once more through the Irish sea coast during Friday
02:53as the low itself heads across northern Ireland up into parts of Scotland.
02:58There'll be more wet weather as well.
02:59Notice how the rain swings through there across England and Wales pretty smartly.
03:03So a good chunk of Friday actually just dry and gusty over England and Wales.
03:08There will be some snow mixed in again over the hills across northern Ireland and northern
03:13England through the night and then lasting for much of the day across the hills and mountains
03:18of northern Scotland.
03:19So that's another thing we need to watch by the end of Friday, a further 15, potentially
03:2320 centimetres of snow.
03:26Obviously with the strength of the wind, it's not going to feel all that mild, but look
03:28at the temperatures.
03:29Emptiness for a while, maybe double digits for much of the UK, perhaps 11 or 12 across
03:34parts of the south.
03:35As I said, feeling cooler with the winds, although the breeze will be easing down somewhat
03:39across southern areas once that rain has moved through.
03:43Let's take a closer look, though, at the winds, because they are the biggest issue with this
03:47storm system as it continues its track across Scotland.
03:52If we rewind and put the gust of wind on, you can see the ice was really close together
03:56there in its southwestern quadrant.
03:59That's where we like to see the strongest winds hitting the Republic of Ireland first
04:03through the early hours of Friday morning, damaging gusts of wind likely here and then
04:07spreading across into Northern Ireland.
04:09Another pulse of strong winds for north Wales, northwest England that will then push across
04:15southern Scotland through the central belt potentially as well.
04:19Now, this storm could be a little further north, could be a little further south.
04:22So these gusts still open to some doubt, but we are now pretty confident that there will
04:27be some significant disruption over parts of central and southern Scotland, northern
04:32England, north Wales and northern Ireland.
04:35Then the storm heads its way up towards Norway and still some gusty winds even into Saturday
04:41across northern parts of Scotland.
04:43Elsewhere, the winds will be easing.
04:45So the warnings, yes, we've got an amber warning in place.
04:48That's where we're most confident we are going to see disruption.
04:51Gusts of 60 to 70 miles an hour quite widely, gusts of maybe 80 miles an hour and potentially
04:57in exposed areas, coast and hills, we could see winds higher than that 80 to 90 miles
05:00an hour.
05:01So likely to cause structural damage, bring down power cables, bring down branches, certainly
05:07widespread disruption to the transport network is expected.
05:10That's in that amber warning zone.
05:12But everywhere we'll see gusty winds for a time further south and further north.
05:17So we have yellow wind warnings covering pretty much all parts of the United Kingdom for the
05:22winds during Friday and also rain warning.
05:26With that rain coming in today and then further rain across Wales, southwest England, that
05:30could cause some issues.
05:32And as I mentioned, some significant snow over parts of Scotland also.
05:35There's also a wind warning into Saturday across Scotland, because as we saw, that storm
05:39will continue to cause some problems here even then.
05:43Plenty going on.
05:44Please do stay up to date with the latest forecast.
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05:59them out in your own time by getting our weather app, our free weather app.
06:04Or, of course, you can always visit the Met Office website.
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