00:00So as we watch this play out, New York City is center stage for this one.
00:03New York is, and as we've been stressing here at AccuWeather all week,
00:07ahead of other known sources, the coastal flooding aspect of this storm
00:12is likely how this storm is going to be remembered.
00:14Of course, there's going to be plenty of heavy rain and gusty winds,
00:18power outages, problems of that nature,
00:19but the coastal flooding may be significant and historic in some areas,
00:26especially as it relates to portions of the New Jersey coastline.
00:30As a result of this storm being drawn closer to the coast and slowing as it does so,
00:36and that's a concern because that high water will be present over multiple tide cycles.
00:41Now, as far as the rain is concerned, look at it pinwheeling in,
00:44bands of rain associated with the storm.
00:47And in New York City, it's not going to be raining all of the time,
00:50but there's going to be bursts of heavy rain as those bands move back to the west.
00:54So yes, it's a very wet day tomorrow, increasingly so,
00:58and then the peak of the storm, Jeff, looks like Saturday evening into the first part of Sunday.
01:04And John, just the wind driving.
01:07The main story here is the coastal flooding, but that's all because of that wind.
01:10And with that animation, you can see that pinwheel, the north side of that,
01:13that fierce east wind shoving water into the Long Island Sound and the Jersey Shore.
01:18So regarding the peak of the storm surge, how many high tide cycles are we going to see?
01:25Probably five or six here?
01:26Probably five or six in some areas.
01:28And I want to put the storm surge into context.
01:31In many of these areas, Hurricane Sandy is the high water mark.
01:35This storm is not as intense and not as large as Sandy.
01:39So in many places, particularly in the New York City area,
01:42we do not expect the extremely high levels that were observed during Hurricane Sandy.
01:48That said, this is likely in a lot of places going to be perhaps on the list of top five
01:54and in a couple of spots may be very close, especially in New Jersey,
01:58to some of the levels that were seen during the Hurricane Sandy event.
02:03And that's because we're going to be dealing with that persistent water
02:06that's going to be pushed toward the coastline.
02:08So one to three feet of storm surge associated with the storm near the coast
02:13from parts of southern Connecticut through the northern coast of Long Island
02:18near the New York City area.
02:19But there's a couple of areas and down the coast in New Jersey,
02:22a couple areas here in portions of northern New Jersey, near New York Harbor,
02:28and then also the northern part of Queens there
02:30where we could be dealing with the greatest risk for storm surge values above three feet.
02:35Look at this, we have an AccuWeather local storm max of six feet.
02:38That's the maximum conceivable value in some spots.
02:42And John, as we wrap this up, we've got about 20 seconds left.
02:44New York City, and then I also have, I think, Long Branch, New Jersey here.
02:49What are the impacts and takeaways for our viewers there?
02:51Heavy rain, bursts of heavy rain, as we talked about,
02:53with the gusty winds and the storm surge along the coastline,
02:56and that will be more significant down the coast as well.
02:59Download the free AccuWeather app.
03:00And there we are down the coast into Long Branch, New Jersey.
03:03Yankee Weather Chief Meteorologist Jonathan Porter, thanks so much, John.
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