00:00I said, I don't know what we're buying at minus 170 with Minnesota here tonight.
00:06They've gotten the money.
00:07The books respect Taj Bradley, and I get it.
00:12Last outing, though, 108, 109 pitches against the Guardians.
00:16I don't know that there's this big a difference between these teams.
00:20And Lugo's auditioning.
00:22Who are we kidding?
00:23He could very well be on another team in another week.
00:26And he's the kind of guy that, yeah, would not shot.
00:30He just pitched seven against San Francisco, I think.
00:33Only gave up three hits.
00:36I don't know.
00:37It feels like that's a big risk laying this kind of number with Minnesota.
00:41It is.
00:42And honestly, to me, this screams Royals or stay away.
00:46We don't have to bet every game on the slate.
00:48But if you're looking to handicap every game on the slate,
00:50we can say objectively that this price at minus 178, minus 180 for the Twins is crazy.
00:56Considering that they're just barely an above-average team.
01:00And Bradley's been good, but he's been overperforming.
01:03And do we want to lay this kind of price?
01:05I would say if you're interested in backing the Twins, I would not lay the minus 178.
01:09I would rather just play their run line, minus 1.5 at plus 116.
01:13Decrease the unit size.
01:14Take a shot on their run line.
01:15If you're truly interested in backing the Twins, go for the run line.
01:18But if you're just looking down from a normal money line side, it would be Royals or stay away
01:23because that price does not indicate the quality of the team that you're actually getting.
01:27A minus 178 price is what you're getting for what?
01:31What's another team that's minus 178 or close to it?
01:33The Padres are minus 220 at home against the Rockies.
01:37That's not that far.
01:38We're talking about the Twins here.
01:41I agree.
01:42It's a very risky proposition.
01:45Dog or pass?
01:47I'm with you on that one, Tom, for sure.
01:50The Rays are minus 178.
01:53The Rays are minus 178 at home.
01:55They're the best team in the AL.
01:56They're minus 178.
01:58You're not going to lay the same price with Taj Bradley and the Twins at home?
02:02Oh.
02:03Nope.
02:04That's not what I would say is the best use of funds here.
02:09They may very well win the game, but something tells me this is going to be a bit of a
02:15sweat here at 26 and 24 at home.
